Renata Zarazua vs Marie Bouzkova
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
19 Ene 2026, 11:05
19 Ene 2026, 11:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Marie Bouzkova
Renata …: 26,5%
Marie …: 73,5%
¿Por qué Marie Bouzkova?
UTR 12,08 vs 12,48
(-0,42)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Renata … | Marie … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 3,50 | 1,30 | 28,6% |
| Gamdom | 3,90 | 1,29 | 25,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,78 | 1,36 | 26,5% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Renata …: -0,6%
Marie …: +0,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Renata Zarazua
Ranking
#80
UTR Rating
12,08 Pro
UTR Ranking
#85
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
11/26 = 42,3%
Marie Bouzkova
Ranking
#44
UTR Rating
12,48 Pro
UTR Ranking
#22
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
20/32 = 62,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -39,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,5357 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,6242 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -352,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -27,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -20,1923 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -16,5926 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,8125 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 42,3077 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 62,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 43,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 61,1111 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 26,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 32,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1538 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,8667 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9333 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -6,3589 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -5,3452 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0,3327 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -5,1279 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -3,0750 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,7933 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 58,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 38,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 20,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 12,4500 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,5200 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,5962 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3750 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,7143 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,0517 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 16,5756 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 12,6031 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0379 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0860 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,4200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4776 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5271 | |
| utr_advantage | -3,4230 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23233
API ID
15372326
Gamdom ID
601058
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23233,
"api_id": 15372326,
"gamdom_id": 601058,
"player1": "Renata Zarazua",
"player2": "Marie Bouzkova",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2026-01-19T07:05:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 3.5,
"p2": 1.3
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 3.9,
"p2": 1.29
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 3.59,
"p2": 1.29
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2649,
"prob_p2": 0.7351,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7351,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 80,
"utr_singles": 12.08,
"utr_ranking": 85,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.30769230769231,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 26,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 44,
"utr_singles": 12.48,
"utr_ranking": 22,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 62.5,
"wr_surface_wins": 20,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 85,
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"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 22,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_diff": -0.41999999999999993,
"rank_ratio": 0.5357142857142857,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 57.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 38.0,
"points_diff": -352,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -5.127884615384616,
"h2h_wins_diff": -1,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 6,
"match_load_p2": 6,
"momentum_diff": 19.999999999999993,
"p1_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 42.30769230769231,
"surface_wr_p2": 62.5,
"utr_advantage": -3.4229828850855744,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -27,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.6241543090729939,
"rank_advantage": -39,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.375,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7142857142857143,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -20.192307692307693,
"bp_converted_diff": -3.0749999999999957,
"p1_surface_matches": 26,
"p2_surface_matches": 32,
"serve_quality_diff": -6.358942307692317,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.52,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5961538461538461,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.7932692307692308,
"combined_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -5.345192307692322,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.15384615384615385,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.051709214320913,
"serve_consistency_p2": 16.57555619884863,
"surface_rank_synergy": 12.603115856281608,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 43.333333333333336,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 61.111111111111114,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.3326923076923194,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.8125,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 12.450000000000003,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 4,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.03792307692307689,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.08599999999999997,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -16.592592592592595,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}