Renata Zarazua vs Marie Bouzkova
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
19 Ene 2026, 11:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Marie Bouzkova
Renata …: 26,5% Marie …: 73,5%
¿Por qué Marie Bouzkova?
UTR 12,08 vs 12,48 (-0,42) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Renata … Marie … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 3,50 1,30 28,6%
Gamdom 3,90 1,29 25,6%
IA Fair Odds 3,78 1,36 26,5%
Edge vs Mercado: Renata …: -0,6% Marie …: +0,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Renata Zarazua
Ranking #80
UTR Rating 12,08 Pro
UTR Ranking #85
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 11/26 = 42,3%
Marie Bouzkova
Ranking #44
UTR Rating 12,48 Pro
UTR Ranking #22
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 20/32 = 62,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -39,0000
rank_ratio 0,5357
log_rank_ratio -0,6242
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -352,0000
best_rank_diff -27,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -20,1923
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -16,5926
surface_matches_ratio 0,8125
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 42,3077
surface_wr_p2 62,5000
surface_wr_p1_stable 43,3333
surface_wr_p2_stable 61,1111
p1_surface_matches 26,0000
p2_surface_matches 32,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1538
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,8667
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,9333
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -6,3589
first_serve_won_diff -5,3452
second_serve_won_diff -0,3327
bp_saved_diff -5,1279
bp_converted_diff -3,0750
aces_per_match_diff -1,7933
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 58,0000
momentum_p2 38,0000
momentum_diff 20,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 12,4500
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 4,0000
match_load_p1 6,0000
match_load_p2 6,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff -1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,5200
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,5962
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3750
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,7143
serve_consistency_p1 7,0517
serve_consistency_p2 16,5756
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 12,6031
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0379
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0860
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,4200
utr_p1 0,4776
utr_p2 0,5271
utr_advantage -3,4230
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23233
API ID 15372326
Gamdom ID 601058
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 128
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23233,
    "api_id": 15372326,
    "gamdom_id": 601058,
    "player1": "Renata Zarazua",
    "player2": "Marie Bouzkova",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 128",
    "date": "2026-01-19T07:05:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 3.5,
      "p2": 1.3
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 3.9,
      "p2": 1.29
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 3.59,
      "p2": 1.29
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2649,
    "prob_p2": 0.7351,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7351,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 80,
      "utr_singles": 12.08,
      "utr_ranking": 85,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 42.30769230769231,
      "wr_surface_wins": 11,
      "wr_surface_total": 26,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 44,
      "utr_singles": 12.48,
      "utr_ranking": 22,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 62.5,
      "wr_surface_wins": 20,
      "wr_surface_total": 32,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.08,
      "ranking": 85,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.48,
      "ranking": 22,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.5270588235294118,
    "utr_diff": -0.41999999999999993,
    "rank_ratio": 0.5357142857142857,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 57.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 38.0,
    "points_diff": -352,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -5.127884615384616,
    "h2h_wins_diff": -1,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 6,
    "match_load_p2": 6,
    "momentum_diff": 19.999999999999993,
    "p1_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 42.30769230769231,
    "surface_wr_p2": 62.5,
    "utr_advantage": -3.4229828850855744,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -27,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.6241543090729939,
    "rank_advantage": -39,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.375,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7142857142857143,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -20.192307692307693,
    "bp_converted_diff": -3.0749999999999957,
    "p1_surface_matches": 26,
    "p2_surface_matches": 32,
    "serve_quality_diff": -6.358942307692317,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.52,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5961538461538461,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.7932692307692308,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -5.345192307692322,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.15384615384615385,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.051709214320913,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 16.57555619884863,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 12.603115856281608,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 43.333333333333336,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 61.111111111111114,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.3326923076923194,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.8125,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 12.450000000000003,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 4,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.03792307692307689,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.08599999999999997,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -16.592592592592595,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}