Shuai Zhang vs Taylah Preston
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
20 Ene 2026, 04:00
20 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Shuai Zhang
Shuai …: 70,7%
Taylah …: 29,3%
¿Por qué Shuai Zhang?
UTR 12,09 vs 11,50
(+0,69)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Shuai … | Taylah … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,44 | 2,75 | 69,4% |
| Gamdom | 1,47 | 2,85 | 68,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,42 | 3,41 | 70,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Shuai …: +5,0%
Taylah …: -5,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Shuai Zhang
Ranking
#75
UTR Rating
12,09 Pro
UTR Ranking
#81
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
13/22 = 59,1%
Taylah Preston
Ranking
#161
UTR Rating
11,50 Pro
UTR Ranking
#275
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
3/6 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 131,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,7945 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,0277 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 545,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 112,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 9,0909 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 7,9932 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 3,6667 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 59,0909 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 57,6923 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 43,3333 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 22,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 6,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1818 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,7333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3800 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,5567 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 1,9758 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -1,1000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0,7727 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -9,4909 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,4091 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,3788 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 92,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -62,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -42,7200 | |
| current_streak_diff | -5,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 8,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8571 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,3710 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,1727 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 9,3424 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0401 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1310 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 18,1818 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,6900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4835 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4024 | |
| utr_advantage | 5,8649 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23234
API ID
15372311
Gamdom ID
601031
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23234,
"api_id": 15372311,
"gamdom_id": 601031,
"player1": "Shuai Zhang",
"player2": "Taylah Preston",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2026-01-20T00:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.44,
"p2": 2.75
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.47,
"p2": 2.85
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.49,
"p2": 2.6
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7066,
"prob_p2": 0.2934,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7066,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 75,
"utr_singles": 12.09,
"utr_ranking": 81,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 59.09090909090909,
"wr_surface_wins": 13,
"wr_surface_total": 22,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 161,
"utr_singles": 11.5,
"utr_ranking": 275,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 6,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 81,
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"is_pro": true
},
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"ranking": 275,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4023529411764706,
"utr_diff": 0.6899999999999995,
"rank_ratio": 2.7945205479452055,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 30.000000000000004,
"momentum_p2": 92.0,
"points_diff": 545,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -9.4909090909091,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666667,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": -62.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.7333333333333334,
"p2_confidence": 0.38,
"surface_wr_p1": 59.09090909090909,
"surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
"utr_advantage": 5.864853378665528,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 112,
"h2h_on_surface": 1,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.0276605526958253,
"rank_advantage": 131,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 9.090909090909093,
"bp_converted_diff": 0.4090909090909065,
"p1_surface_matches": 22,
"p2_surface_matches": 6,
"serve_quality_diff": 1.9757575757575694,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8571428571428571,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.378787878787879,
"combined_confidence": 0.5566666666666666,
"current_streak_diff": -5,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"first_serve_won_diff": -1.1000000000000085,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.18181818181818182,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.371004204817926,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.1727225305566975,
"surface_rank_synergy": 9.342368660871141,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 57.692307692307686,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 43.33333333333333,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.7727272727272734,
"surface_matches_ratio": 3.6666666666666665,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -42.72,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 18.181818181818187,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 8,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.040090909090909066,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.131,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 7.993162393162392,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}