Shuai Zhang vs Taylah Preston
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
20 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Shuai Zhang
Shuai …: 70,7% Taylah …: 29,3%
¿Por qué Shuai Zhang?
UTR 12,09 vs 11,50 (+0,69) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Shuai … Taylah … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,44 2,75 69,4%
Gamdom 1,47 2,85 68,0%
IA Fair Odds 1,42 3,41 70,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Shuai …: +5,0% Taylah …: -5,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Shuai Zhang
Ranking #75
UTR Rating 12,09 Pro
UTR Ranking #81
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 13/22 = 59,1%
Taylah Preston
Ranking #161
UTR Rating 11,50 Pro
UTR Ranking #275
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 3/6 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 131,0000
rank_ratio 2,7945
log_rank_ratio 1,0277
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 545,0000
best_rank_diff 112,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 9,0909
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 7,9932
surface_matches_ratio 3,6667
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 59,0909
surface_wr_p2 50,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 57,6923
surface_wr_p2_stable 43,3333
p1_surface_matches 22,0000
p2_surface_matches 6,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1818
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,7333
p2_confidence 0,3800
combined_confidence 0,5567
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 1,9758
first_serve_won_diff -1,1000
second_serve_won_diff -0,7727
bp_saved_diff -9,4909
bp_converted_diff 0,4091
aces_per_match_diff 1,3788
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,6667
momentum_p1 30,0000
momentum_p2 92,0000
momentum_diff -62,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -42,7200
current_streak_diff -5,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 8,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1,0000
h2h_on_surface 1,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,2000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,8571
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 1,0000
serve_consistency_p1 6,3710
serve_consistency_p2 5,1727
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 9,3424
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0401
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1310
elite_surface_amplifier 18,1818
UTR
utr_diff 0,6900
utr_p1 0,4835
utr_p2 0,4024
utr_advantage 5,8649
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23234
API ID 15372311
Gamdom ID 601031
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 128
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23234,
    "api_id": 15372311,
    "gamdom_id": 601031,
    "player1": "Shuai Zhang",
    "player2": "Taylah Preston",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 128",
    "date": "2026-01-20T00:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.44,
      "p2": 2.75
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.47,
      "p2": 2.85
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.49,
      "p2": 2.6
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7066,
    "prob_p2": 0.2934,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7066,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 75,
      "utr_singles": 12.09,
      "utr_ranking": 81,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 59.09090909090909,
      "wr_surface_wins": 13,
      "wr_surface_total": 22,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 161,
      "utr_singles": 11.5,
      "utr_ranking": 275,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 3,
      "wr_surface_total": 6,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.09,
      "ranking": 81,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.5,
      "ranking": 275,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4835294117647058,
    "utr_p2": 0.4023529411764706,
    "utr_diff": 0.6899999999999995,
    "rank_ratio": 2.7945205479452055,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 30.000000000000004,
    "momentum_p2": 92.0,
    "points_diff": 545,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -9.4909090909091,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 1,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666667,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": -62.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.7333333333333334,
    "p2_confidence": 0.38,
    "surface_wr_p1": 59.09090909090909,
    "surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
    "utr_advantage": 5.864853378665528,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 112,
    "h2h_on_surface": 1,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.0276605526958253,
    "rank_advantage": 131,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 9.090909090909093,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0.4090909090909065,
    "p1_surface_matches": 22,
    "p2_surface_matches": 6,
    "serve_quality_diff": 1.9757575757575694,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8571428571428571,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.378787878787879,
    "combined_confidence": 0.5566666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": -5,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -1.1000000000000085,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.18181818181818182,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.371004204817926,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.1727225305566975,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 9.342368660871141,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 57.692307692307686,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 43.33333333333333,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.7727272727272734,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 3.6666666666666665,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -42.72,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 18.181818181818187,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 8,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.040090909090909066,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.131,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 7.993162393162392,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}