Simona Waltert vs Amanda Anisimova
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
19 Ene 2026, 07:55
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Amanda Anisimova
Simona …: 14,8% Amanda …: 85,2%
¿Por qué Amanda Anisimova?
UTR 12,15 vs 12,84 (-0,64) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Simona … Amanda … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 13,00 1,04 7,7%
Gamdom 15,00 1,04 6,7%
IA Fair Odds 6,74 1,17 14,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Simona …: +7,4% Amanda …: -7,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Simona Waltert
Ranking #87
UTR Rating 12,15 Pro
UTR Ranking #66
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 8/12 = 66,7%
Amanda Anisimova
Ranking #4
UTR Rating 12,84 Pro
UTR Ranking #4
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 27/37 = 73,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -82,0000
rank_ratio 0,0465
log_rank_ratio -3,0681
rank_tier_advantage -3,0000
points_diff -5496,0000
best_rank_diff -83,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -6,3063
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -6,0091
surface_matches_ratio 0,3243
surface_tournaments_won_diff -2,0000
surface_wr_p1 66,6667
surface_wr_p2 72,9730
surface_wr_p1_stable 62,5000
surface_wr_p2_stable 70,7317
p1_surface_matches 12,0000
p2_surface_matches 37,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,3333
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4600
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,7300
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,2625
first_serve_won_diff 2,7599
second_serve_won_diff -5,8869
bp_saved_diff 6,3613
bp_converted_diff -2,2878
aces_per_match_diff 0,3243
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 40,0000
momentum_p2 40,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -9,7200
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 6,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 9,0000
match_load_p1 5,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,9504
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6667
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6000
serve_consistency_p1 7,4764
serve_consistency_p2 4,8795
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 19,3481
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,2487
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1477
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,6400
utr_p1 0,4965
utr_p2 0,5718
utr_advantage -5,1037
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23235
API ID 15372321
Gamdom ID 601042
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 128
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23235,
    "api_id": 15372321,
    "gamdom_id": 601042,
    "player1": "Simona Waltert",
    "player2": "Amanda Anisimova",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 128",
    "date": "2026-01-19T03:55:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 13.0,
      "p2": 1.04
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 15.0,
      "p2": 1.04
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 11.87,
      "p2": 1.04
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.1483,
    "prob_p2": 0.8517,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.8517,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 87,
      "utr_singles": 12.15,
      "utr_ranking": 66,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
      "wr_surface_wins": 8,
      "wr_surface_total": 12,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 4,
      "utr_singles": 12.84,
      "utr_ranking": 4,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 72.97297297297297,
      "wr_surface_wins": 27,
      "wr_surface_total": 37,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.15,
      "ranking": 66,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.84,
      "ranking": 4,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.5717647058823528,
    "utr_diff": -0.6399999999999988,
    "rank_ratio": 0.046511627906976744,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 40.0,
    "momentum_p2": 40.0,
    "points_diff": -5496,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 6.361261261261262,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 5,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.46,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 66.66666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p2": 72.97297297297297,
    "utr_advantage": -5.10366826156299,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -83,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -3.068052935133617,
    "rank_advantage": -82,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 3,
    "surface_wr_diff": -6.306306306306311,
    "bp_converted_diff": -2.2878378378378414,
    "p1_surface_matches": 12,
    "p2_surface_matches": 37,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.2625225225225236,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.950381679389313,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.3243243243243241,
    "combined_confidence": 0.73,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -3,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 2.759909909909908,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.3333333333333333,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.476408156605505,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 4.87953195015833,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 19.348081572914715,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 62.5,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 70.73170731707317,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -5.886936936936934,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.32432432432432434,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -9.719999999999999,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 6,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 9,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.24866666666666648,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.14772972972972975,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -6.009146341463416,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}