Simona Waltert vs Amanda Anisimova
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
19 Ene 2026, 07:55
19 Ene 2026, 07:55
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Amanda Anisimova
Simona …: 14,8%
Amanda …: 85,2%
¿Por qué Amanda Anisimova?
UTR 12,15 vs 12,84
(-0,64)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Simona … | Amanda … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 13,00 | 1,04 | 7,7% |
| Gamdom | 15,00 | 1,04 | 6,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 6,74 | 1,17 | 14,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Simona …: +7,4%
Amanda …: -7,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Simona Waltert
Ranking
#87
UTR Rating
12,15 Pro
UTR Ranking
#66
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
8/12 = 66,7%
Amanda Anisimova
Ranking
#4
UTR Rating
12,84 Pro
UTR Ranking
#4
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
27/37 = 73,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -82,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,0465 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -3,0681 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -3,0000 | |
| points_diff | -5496,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -83,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -6,3063 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -6,0091 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,3243 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 66,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 72,9730 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 62,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 70,7317 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 12,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 37,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,3333 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4600 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7300 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,2625 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 2,7599 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -5,8869 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 6,3613 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -2,2878 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,3243 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -9,7200 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 6,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 9,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,9504 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,4764 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,8795 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 19,3481 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,2487 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1477 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,6400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4965 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5718 | |
| utr_advantage | -5,1037 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23235
API ID
15372321
Gamdom ID
601042
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23235,
"api_id": 15372321,
"gamdom_id": 601042,
"player1": "Simona Waltert",
"player2": "Amanda Anisimova",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2026-01-19T03:55:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 13.0,
"p2": 1.04
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 15.0,
"p2": 1.04
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 11.87,
"p2": 1.04
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.1483,
"prob_p2": 0.8517,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.8517,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 87,
"utr_singles": 12.15,
"utr_ranking": 66,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 12,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 4,
"utr_singles": 12.84,
"utr_ranking": 4,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 72.97297297297297,
"wr_surface_wins": 27,
"wr_surface_total": 37,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 66,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 4,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.5717647058823528,
"utr_diff": -0.6399999999999988,
"rank_ratio": 0.046511627906976744,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 40.0,
"points_diff": -5496,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 6.361261261261262,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 5,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.46,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 66.66666666666666,
"surface_wr_p2": 72.97297297297297,
"utr_advantage": -5.10366826156299,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -83,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -3.068052935133617,
"rank_advantage": -82,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 3,
"surface_wr_diff": -6.306306306306311,
"bp_converted_diff": -2.2878378378378414,
"p1_surface_matches": 12,
"p2_surface_matches": 37,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.2625225225225236,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.950381679389313,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.3243243243243241,
"combined_confidence": 0.73,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": -3,
"first_serve_won_diff": 2.759909909909908,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.3333333333333333,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.476408156605505,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.87953195015833,
"surface_rank_synergy": 19.348081572914715,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 62.5,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 70.73170731707317,
"second_serve_won_diff": -5.886936936936934,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.32432432432432434,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -9.719999999999999,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 6,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 9,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.24866666666666648,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.14772972972972975,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -6.009146341463416,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2
},
"feature_importance": {}
}