Sofia Kenin vs Peyton Stearns
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
19 Ene 2026, 04:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Sofia Kenin
Sofia …: 59,2% Peyton …: 40,8%
¿Por qué Sofia Kenin?
UTR 11,99 vs 12,07 (-0,12) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Sofia … Peyton … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,67 2,20 59,9%
Gamdom 1,70 2,26 58,8%
IA Fair Odds 1,69 2,45 59,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Sofia …: +2,3% Peyton …: -2,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sofia Kenin
Ranking #30
UTR Rating 11,99 Pro
UTR Ranking #96
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 18/35 = 51,4%
Peyton Stearns
Ranking #68
UTR Rating 12,07 Pro
UTR Ranking #76
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 10/25 = 40,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 39,0000
rank_ratio 2,3929
log_rank_ratio 0,8725
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 609,0000
best_rank_diff 24,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 11,4286
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 9,0775
surface_matches_ratio 1,4000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 51,4286
surface_wr_p2 40,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 51,2821
surface_wr_p2_stable 41,3793
p1_surface_matches 35,0000
p2_surface_matches 25,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0286
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,8333
combined_confidence 0,9167
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -2,3430
first_serve_won_diff 0,3840
second_serve_won_diff 5,1120
bp_saved_diff -2,2720
bp_converted_diff -9,2360
aces_per_match_diff -2,0343
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 20,0000
momentum_p2 30,0000
momentum_diff -10,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -6,2550
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 4,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 3,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,5000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,8148
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,7143
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4444
serve_consistency_p1 10,1703
serve_consistency_p2 6,7400
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 9,9713
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0247
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0610
elite_surface_amplifier 11,4286
UTR
utr_diff -0,1200
utr_p1 0,4741
utr_p2 0,4882
utr_advantage -0,9926
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23236
API ID 15372312
Gamdom ID 601034
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 128
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23236,
    "api_id": 15372312,
    "gamdom_id": 601034,
    "player1": "Sofia Kenin",
    "player2": "Peyton Stearns",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 128",
    "date": "2026-01-19T00:05:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.67,
      "p2": 2.2
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.7,
      "p2": 2.26
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.68,
      "p2": 2.18
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5917,
    "prob_p2": 0.4083,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5917,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 30,
      "utr_singles": 11.99,
      "utr_ranking": 96,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 51.42857142857142,
      "wr_surface_wins": 18,
      "wr_surface_total": 35,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 68,
      "utr_singles": 12.07,
      "utr_ranking": 76,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 40.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 10,
      "wr_surface_total": 25,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.99,
      "ranking": 96,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.07,
      "ranking": 76,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4741176470588235,
    "utr_p2": 0.4882352941176471,
    "utr_diff": -0.120000000000001,
    "rank_ratio": 2.392857142857143,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 20.0,
    "momentum_p2": 30.0,
    "points_diff": 609,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -2.2719999999999985,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": -10.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 51.42857142857142,
    "surface_wr_p2": 40.0,
    "utr_advantage": -0.992555831265517,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 24,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.8724881092157621,
    "rank_advantage": 39,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7142857142857143,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4444444444444444,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 11.428571428571423,
    "bp_converted_diff": -9.236000000000004,
    "p1_surface_matches": 35,
    "p2_surface_matches": 25,
    "serve_quality_diff": -2.342971428571431,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8148148148148148,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -2.034285714285714,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9166666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0.38400000000000034,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.02857142857142857,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.170306336889945,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.740016159659895,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 9.971292676751563,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.28205128205128,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 41.37931034482759,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 5.112000000000002,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.4,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -6.255000000000003,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 11.428571428571423,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 4,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.02471428571428569,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.061000000000000054,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 9.077512525788382,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}