Solana Sierra vs Moyuka Uchijima
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
19 Ene 2026, 12:25
19 Ene 2026, 12:25
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Solana Sierra
Solana …: 62,7%
Moyuka …: 37,3%
¿Por qué Solana Sierra?
UTR 12,06 vs 11,46
(+0,52)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Solana … | Moyuka … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,62 | 2,30 | 61,7% |
| Gamdom | 1,47 | 2,85 | 68,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,59 | 2,68 | 62,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Solana …: +4,1%
Moyuka …: -4,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Solana Sierra
Ranking
#63
UTR Rating
12,06 Pro
UTR Ranking
#89
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
6/14 = 42,9%
Moyuka Uchijima
Ranking
#88
UTR Rating
11,46 Pro
UTR Ranking
#280
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
14/34 = 41,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 23,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,3594 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,3070 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 179,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -17,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 1,6807 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 1,7388 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,4118 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 42,8571 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 41,1765 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 44,4444 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 42,1053 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 14,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 34,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1429 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4867 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7433 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -1,1833 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -3,2462 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,4017 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2,2160 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 3,0462 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,1597 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 32,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 20,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 12,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 17,4500 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 7,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6364 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7984 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5833 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,4876 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,8072 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,5160 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0944 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0652 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,5200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4753 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4141 | |
| utr_advantage | 4,4143 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23237
API ID
15372324
Gamdom ID
601035
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23237,
"api_id": 15372324,
"gamdom_id": 601035,
"player1": "Solana Sierra",
"player2": "Moyuka Uchijima",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2026-01-19T08:25:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.62,
"p2": 2.3
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.47,
"p2": 2.85
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.46,
"p2": 2.7
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6273,
"prob_p2": 0.3727,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6273,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 63,
"utr_singles": 12.06,
"utr_ranking": 89,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
"wr_surface_wins": 6,
"wr_surface_total": 14,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 88,
"utr_singles": 11.46,
"utr_ranking": 280,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 41.17647058823529,
"wr_surface_wins": 14,
"wr_surface_total": 34,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.06,
"ranking": 89,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.46,
"ranking": 280,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.4752941176470587,
"utr_p2": 0.4141176470588235,
"utr_diff": 0.5199999999999996,
"rank_ratio": 1.359375,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 32.0,
"momentum_p2": 20.0,
"points_diff": 179,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -2.215966386554612,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": 12.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 42.857142857142854,
"surface_wr_p2": 41.17647058823529,
"utr_advantage": 4.414261460101864,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -17,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.3070250352949119,
"rank_advantage": 23,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5833333333333334,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 1.6806722689075642,
"bp_converted_diff": 3.0462184873949596,
"p1_surface_matches": 14,
"p2_surface_matches": 34,
"serve_quality_diff": -1.1832773109243675,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6363636363636364,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7984496124031008,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.1596638655462188,
"combined_confidence": 0.7433333333333334,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -3.2462184873949624,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.14285714285714285,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.487601404554545,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.8071598831209785,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.5160084626805245,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 44.44444444444444,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 42.10526315789473,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.4016806722689168,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.4117647058823529,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 17.450000000000003,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 7,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.09442857142857147,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.06523529411764706,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.7387914230019514,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}