Solana Sierra vs Moyuka Uchijima
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
19 Ene 2026, 12:25
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Solana Sierra
Solana …: 62,7% Moyuka …: 37,3%
¿Por qué Solana Sierra?
UTR 12,06 vs 11,46 (+0,52) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Solana … Moyuka … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,62 2,30 61,7%
Gamdom 1,47 2,85 68,0%
IA Fair Odds 1,59 2,68 62,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Solana …: +4,1% Moyuka …: -4,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Solana Sierra
Ranking #63
UTR Rating 12,06 Pro
UTR Ranking #89
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 6/14 = 42,9%
Moyuka Uchijima
Ranking #88
UTR Rating 11,46 Pro
UTR Ranking #280
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 14/34 = 41,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 23,0000
rank_ratio 1,3594
log_rank_ratio 0,3070
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 179,0000
best_rank_diff -17,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 1,6807
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 1,7388
surface_matches_ratio 0,4118
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 42,8571
surface_wr_p2 41,1765
surface_wr_p1_stable 44,4444
surface_wr_p2_stable 42,1053
p1_surface_matches 14,0000
p2_surface_matches 34,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1429
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4867
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,7433
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -1,1833
first_serve_won_diff -3,2462
second_serve_won_diff 0,4017
bp_saved_diff -2,2160
bp_converted_diff 3,0462
aces_per_match_diff 0,1597
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 32,0000
momentum_p2 20,0000
momentum_diff 12,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 17,4500
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 7,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6364
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7984
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5833
serve_consistency_p1 4,4876
serve_consistency_p2 5,8072
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,5160
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0944
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0652
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,5200
utr_p1 0,4753
utr_p2 0,4141
utr_advantage 4,4143
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23237
API ID 15372324
Gamdom ID 601035
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 128
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23237,
    "api_id": 15372324,
    "gamdom_id": 601035,
    "player1": "Solana Sierra",
    "player2": "Moyuka Uchijima",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 128",
    "date": "2026-01-19T08:25:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.62,
      "p2": 2.3
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.47,
      "p2": 2.85
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.46,
      "p2": 2.7
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6273,
    "prob_p2": 0.3727,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6273,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 63,
      "utr_singles": 12.06,
      "utr_ranking": 89,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
      "wr_surface_wins": 6,
      "wr_surface_total": 14,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 88,
      "utr_singles": 11.46,
      "utr_ranking": 280,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 41.17647058823529,
      "wr_surface_wins": 14,
      "wr_surface_total": 34,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.06,
      "ranking": 89,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.46,
      "ranking": 280,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4752941176470587,
    "utr_p2": 0.4141176470588235,
    "utr_diff": 0.5199999999999996,
    "rank_ratio": 1.359375,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 32.0,
    "momentum_p2": 20.0,
    "points_diff": 179,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -2.215966386554612,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": 12.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 42.857142857142854,
    "surface_wr_p2": 41.17647058823529,
    "utr_advantage": 4.414261460101864,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -17,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.3070250352949119,
    "rank_advantage": 23,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5833333333333334,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 1.6806722689075642,
    "bp_converted_diff": 3.0462184873949596,
    "p1_surface_matches": 14,
    "p2_surface_matches": 34,
    "serve_quality_diff": -1.1832773109243675,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6363636363636364,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7984496124031008,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.1596638655462188,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7433333333333334,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -3.2462184873949624,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.14285714285714285,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 4.487601404554545,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.8071598831209785,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.5160084626805245,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 44.44444444444444,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 42.10526315789473,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0.4016806722689168,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.4117647058823529,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 17.450000000000003,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 7,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.09442857142857147,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.06523529411764706,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.7387914230019514,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}