Sorana Cirstea vs Eva Lys
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
20 Ene 2026, 09:55
20 Ene 2026, 09:55
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Sorana Cirstea
Sorana …: 60,1%
Eva …: 39,9%
¿Por qué Sorana Cirstea?
UTR 12,48 vs 12,41
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Sorana … | Eva … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,80 | 2,00 | 55,6% |
| Gamdom | 1,87 | 2,02 | 53,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,67 | 2,50 | 60,1% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Sorana …: +7,4%
Eva …: -7,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sorana Cirstea
Ranking
#41
UTR Rating
12,48 Pro
UTR Ranking
#25
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
26/41 = 63,4%
Eva Lys
Ranking
#39
UTR Rating
12,41 Pro
UTR Ranking
#32
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
25/41 = 61,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,9512 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,0500 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -54,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 18,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 2,4390 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 2,2222 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 63,4146 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 60,9756 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 62,2222 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 60,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 41,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 41,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2683 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 8,7322 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 7,3512 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,5951 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 3,1000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -2,5049 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,4390 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 38,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 42,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 31,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 6,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 12,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 4,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,9589 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7872 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,2500 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 13,2757 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 11,4322 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0,1220 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1361 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1078 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5188 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5188 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23238
API ID
15372330
Gamdom ID
601050
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23238,
"api_id": 15372330,
"gamdom_id": 601050,
"player1": "Sorana Cirstea",
"player2": "Eva Lys",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2026-01-20T05:55:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.8,
"p2": 2.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.87,
"p2": 2.02
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.83,
"p2": 1.96
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6006,
"prob_p2": 0.3994,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6006,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 41,
"utr_singles": 12.48,
"utr_ranking": 25,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 63.41463414634146,
"wr_surface_wins": 26,
"wr_surface_total": 41,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 39,
"utr_singles": 12.41,
"utr_ranking": 32,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 60.97560975609756,
"wr_surface_wins": 25,
"wr_surface_total": 41,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.48,
"ranking": 25,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.41,
"ranking": 32,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.5188235294117647,
"utr_p2": 0.5188235294117647,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 0.9512195121951219,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 80.0,
"momentum_p2": 38.0,
"points_diff": -54,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 3.0999999999999943,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
"match_load_p1": 5,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 42.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 63.41463414634146,
"surface_wr_p2": 60.97560975609756,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 18,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.05001042057466142,
"rank_advantage": -2,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.25,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 4,
"surface_wr_diff": 2.439024390243901,
"bp_converted_diff": -2.5048780487804834,
"p1_surface_matches": 41,
"p2_surface_matches": 41,
"serve_quality_diff": 8.732195121951221,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.958904109589041,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7872340425531915,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.4390243902439024,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 3,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 7.351219512195108,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2682926829268293,
"serve_consistency_p1": 13.275727948168935,
"serve_consistency_p2": 11.4321649524873,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.12197663554795463,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 62.22222222222222,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 60.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.595121951219518,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 31.000000000000014,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 6,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 12,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.13614634146341464,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.1077560975609756,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.2222222222222214,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}