Storm Hunter vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
19 Ene 2026, 04:00
19 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Storm …: 9,0%
Jessica …: 91,0%
¿Por qué Jessica Bouzas Maneiro?
UTR 11,54 vs 12,24
(-0,81)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Storm … | Jessica … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,75 | 1,44 | 36,4% |
| Gamdom | 2,95 | 1,45 | 33,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 11,09 | 1,10 | 9,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Storm …: -25,3%
Jessica …: +25,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Storm Hunter
Ranking
#367
UTR Rating
11,54 Pro
UTR Ranking
#266
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
1/4 = 25,0%
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Ranking
#40
UTR Rating
12,24 Pro
UTR Ranking
#56
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
15/31 = 48,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -323,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,1102 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -2,2055 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -3,0000 | |
| points_diff | -1093,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -74,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -23,3871 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -15,9500 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,1290 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 25,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 48,3871 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 25,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 48,5714 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 4,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 31,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,5000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3533 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6767 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -9,8471 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -6,2000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -8,2968 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -10,7419 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -7,9387 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,1290 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,6000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 98,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 30,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 68,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 35,9640 | |
| current_streak_diff | 5,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6848 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4286 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 12,4394 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,4579 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 51,5808 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0730 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,3391 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,8100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4071 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5024 | |
| utr_advantage | -6,8268 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23239
API ID
15373437
Gamdom ID
601583
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23239,
"api_id": 15373437,
"gamdom_id": 601583,
"player1": "Storm Hunter",
"player2": "Jessica Bouzas Maneiro",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2026-01-19T00:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.75,
"p2": 1.44
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.95,
"p2": 1.45
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.0902,
"prob_p2": 0.9098,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.9098,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
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"ranking": 367,
"utr_singles": 11.54,
"utr_ranking": 266,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 25.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 4,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 40,
"utr_singles": 12.24,
"utr_ranking": 56,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 48.38709677419355,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 31,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
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"utr": {
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},
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"ranking": 56,
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}
},
"features": {
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"utr_diff": -0.8099999999999987,
"rank_ratio": 0.11019283746556474,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 30.0,
"points_diff": -1093,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -10.741935483870968,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666667,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.6000000000000001,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": 67.99999999999999,
"p1_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 25.0,
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"utr_advantage": -6.8268015170669925,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -74,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -2.2055233801509146,
"rank_advantage": -323,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.42857142857142855,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": -23.38709677419355,
"bp_converted_diff": -7.938709677419361,
"p1_surface_matches": 4,
"p2_surface_matches": 31,
"serve_quality_diff": -9.847096774193552,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6847826086956522,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.129032258064516,
"combined_confidence": 0.6766666666666666,
"current_streak_diff": 5,
"rank_tier_advantage": -3,
"first_serve_won_diff": -6.200000000000003,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.5,
"serve_consistency_p1": 12.439444189519001,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.457903654175099,
"surface_rank_synergy": 51.580788729335914,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 25.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 48.57142857142857,
"second_serve_won_diff": -8.296774193548394,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.12903225806451613,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 35.964,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.07299999999999995,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.33912903225806446,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -15.949999999999998,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
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"feature_importance": {}
}