Storm Hunter vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
19 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Storm …: 9,0% Jessica …: 91,0%
¿Por qué Jessica Bouzas Maneiro?
UTR 11,54 vs 12,24 (-0,81) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Storm … Jessica … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,75 1,44 36,4%
Gamdom 2,95 1,45 33,9%
IA Fair Odds 11,09 1,10 9,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Storm …: -25,3% Jessica …: +25,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Storm Hunter
Ranking #367
UTR Rating 11,54 Pro
UTR Ranking #266
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 1/4 = 25,0%
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Ranking #40
UTR Rating 12,24 Pro
UTR Ranking #56
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 15/31 = 48,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -323,0000
rank_ratio 0,1102
log_rank_ratio -2,2055
rank_tier_advantage -3,0000
points_diff -1093,0000
best_rank_diff -74,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -23,3871
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -15,9500
surface_matches_ratio 0,1290
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 25,0000
surface_wr_p2 48,3871
surface_wr_p1_stable 25,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 48,5714
p1_surface_matches 4,0000
p2_surface_matches 31,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,5000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3533
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,6767
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -9,8471
first_serve_won_diff -6,2000
second_serve_won_diff -8,2968
bp_saved_diff -10,7419
bp_converted_diff -7,9387
aces_per_match_diff -2,1290
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,6000
last3_wr_diff 0,6667
momentum_p1 98,0000
momentum_p2 30,0000
momentum_diff 68,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 35,9640
current_streak_diff 5,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 5,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,6848
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3333
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4286
serve_consistency_p1 12,4394
serve_consistency_p2 6,4579
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 51,5808
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0730
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,3391
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,8100
utr_p1 0,4071
utr_p2 0,5024
utr_advantage -6,8268
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23239
API ID 15373437
Gamdom ID 601583
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 128
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23239,
    "api_id": 15373437,
    "gamdom_id": 601583,
    "player1": "Storm Hunter",
    "player2": "Jessica Bouzas Maneiro",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 128",
    "date": "2026-01-19T00:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.75,
      "p2": 1.44
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.95,
      "p2": 1.45
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.0902,
    "prob_p2": 0.9098,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.9098,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 367,
      "utr_singles": 11.54,
      "utr_ranking": 266,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 25.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 4,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 40,
      "utr_singles": 12.24,
      "utr_ranking": 56,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 48.38709677419355,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 31,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "ranking": 266,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.24,
      "ranking": 56,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.5023529411764706,
    "utr_diff": -0.8099999999999987,
    "rank_ratio": 0.11019283746556474,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 30.0,
    "points_diff": -1093,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -10.741935483870968,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666667,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.6000000000000001,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": 67.99999999999999,
    "p1_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 25.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 48.38709677419355,
    "utr_advantage": -6.8268015170669925,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -74,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -2.2055233801509146,
    "rank_advantage": -323,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.42857142857142855,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -23.38709677419355,
    "bp_converted_diff": -7.938709677419361,
    "p1_surface_matches": 4,
    "p2_surface_matches": 31,
    "serve_quality_diff": -9.847096774193552,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6847826086956522,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -2.129032258064516,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6766666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": 5,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -3,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -6.200000000000003,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.5,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 12.439444189519001,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.457903654175099,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 51.580788729335914,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 25.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 48.57142857142857,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -8.296774193548394,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.12903225806451613,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 35.964,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.07299999999999995,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.33912903225806446,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -15.949999999999998,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}