Suzan Lamens vs Anastasia Potapova
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
18 Ene 2026, 12:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Anastasia Potapova
Suzan …: 33,9% Anastasia …: 66,1%
¿Por qué Anastasia Potapova?
UTR 11,90 vs 12,10 (-0,24) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Suzan … Anastasia … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,50 1,53 40,0%
Gamdom 2,90 1,46 34,5%
IA Fair Odds 2,95 1,51 33,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Suzan …: -4,1% Anastasia …: +4,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Suzan Lamens
Ranking #97
UTR Rating 11,90 Pro
UTR Ranking #130
Forma L5 0% (5p)
Forma L10 20% (10p)
WR Hard 20/40 = 50,0%
Anastasia Potapova
Ranking #55
UTR Rating 12,10 Pro
UTR Ranking #78
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 17/29 = 58,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -41,0000
rank_ratio 0,5684
log_rank_ratio -0,5649
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -323,0000
best_rank_diff -36,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -8,6207
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -7,4495
surface_matches_ratio 1,3793
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,0000
surface_wr_p2 58,6207
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 57,5758
p1_surface_matches 40,0000
p2_surface_matches 29,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,9667
combined_confidence 0,9833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -4,9681
first_serve_won_diff -3,9676
second_serve_won_diff -4,5628
bp_saved_diff -1,9634
bp_converted_diff 7,5710
aces_per_match_diff -0,8078
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 0,0000
momentum_p2 22,0000
momentum_diff -22,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -12,3200
current_streak_diff -3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 7,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 4,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 5,0000
match_load_diff -3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,5950
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,6639
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5714
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3333
serve_consistency_p1 6,5061
serve_consistency_p2 10,1111
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 4,8698
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0410
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0452
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,2400
utr_p1 0,4647
utr_p2 0,4929
utr_advantage -1,9884
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23240
API ID 15372291
Gamdom ID 601076
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 128
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23240,
    "api_id": 15372291,
    "gamdom_id": 601076,
    "player1": "Suzan Lamens",
    "player2": "Anastasia Potapova",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 128",
    "date": "2026-01-18T08:50:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.5,
      "p2": 1.53
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.9,
      "p2": 1.46
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.86,
      "p2": 1.41
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.339,
    "prob_p2": 0.661,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.661,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 97,
      "utr_singles": 11.9,
      "utr_ranking": 130,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 20,
      "wr_surface_total": 40,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 55,
      "utr_singles": 12.1,
      "utr_ranking": 78,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 58.620689655172406,
      "wr_surface_wins": 17,
      "wr_surface_total": 29,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.9,
      "ranking": 130,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.1,
      "ranking": 78,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4647058823529411,
    "utr_p2": 0.49294117647058816,
    "utr_diff": -0.2400000000000002,
    "rank_ratio": 0.5684210526315789,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 0.0,
    "momentum_p2": 22.0,
    "points_diff": -323,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -1.9634482758620777,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 5,
    "momentum_diff": -22.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 58.620689655172406,
    "utr_advantage": -1.988400994200499,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -36,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.5648928450362665,
    "rank_advantage": -41,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5714285714285714,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -3,
    "surface_wr_diff": -8.620689655172406,
    "bp_converted_diff": 7.571034482758613,
    "p1_surface_matches": 40,
    "p2_surface_matches": 29,
    "serve_quality_diff": -4.968137931034477,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5950413223140496,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6638655462184874,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.8077586206896552,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9833333333333334,
    "current_streak_diff": -3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -3.9675862068965415,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.506131343042713,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.111146047942693,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 4.8697659054850515,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 57.57575757575758,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -4.562758620689657,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.3793103448275863,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -12.320000000000007,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 7,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 4,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.041000000000000036,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.04520689655172405,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -7.4494949494949525,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}