Suzan Lamens vs Anastasia Potapova
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
18 Ene 2026, 12:50
18 Ene 2026, 12:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Anastasia Potapova
Suzan …: 33,9%
Anastasia …: 66,1%
¿Por qué Anastasia Potapova?
UTR 11,90 vs 12,10
(-0,24)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Suzan … | Anastasia … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,50 | 1,53 | 40,0% |
| Gamdom | 2,90 | 1,46 | 34,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,95 | 1,51 | 33,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Suzan …: -4,1%
Anastasia …: +4,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Suzan Lamens
Ranking
#97
UTR Rating
11,90 Pro
UTR Ranking
#130
Forma L5
0% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (10p)
WR Hard
20/40 = 50,0%
Anastasia Potapova
Ranking
#55
UTR Rating
12,10 Pro
UTR Ranking
#78
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
17/29 = 58,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -41,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,5684 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,5649 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -323,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -36,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -8,6207 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -7,4495 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,3793 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 58,6207 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 57,5758 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 40,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 29,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,9667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -4,9681 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -3,9676 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -4,5628 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -1,9634 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 7,5710 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,8078 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 22,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -22,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -12,3200 | |
| current_streak_diff | -3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 7,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,5950 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6639 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5714 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3333 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,5061 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,1111 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 4,8698 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0410 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0452 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,2400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4647 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4929 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,9884 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23240
API ID
15372291
Gamdom ID
601076
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23240,
"api_id": 15372291,
"gamdom_id": 601076,
"player1": "Suzan Lamens",
"player2": "Anastasia Potapova",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2026-01-18T08:50:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.5,
"p2": 1.53
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.9,
"p2": 1.46
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.86,
"p2": 1.41
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.339,
"prob_p2": 0.661,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.661,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 97,
"utr_singles": 11.9,
"utr_ranking": 130,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 20,
"wr_surface_total": 40,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 55,
"utr_singles": 12.1,
"utr_ranking": 78,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 58.620689655172406,
"wr_surface_wins": 17,
"wr_surface_total": 29,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 130,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.1,
"ranking": 78,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.49294117647058816,
"utr_diff": -0.2400000000000002,
"rank_ratio": 0.5684210526315789,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 0.0,
"momentum_p2": 22.0,
"points_diff": -323,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -1.9634482758620777,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"momentum_diff": -22.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 58.620689655172406,
"utr_advantage": -1.988400994200499,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -36,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.5648928450362665,
"rank_advantage": -41,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5714285714285714,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -3,
"surface_wr_diff": -8.620689655172406,
"bp_converted_diff": 7.571034482758613,
"p1_surface_matches": 40,
"p2_surface_matches": 29,
"serve_quality_diff": -4.968137931034477,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5950413223140496,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6638655462184874,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.8077586206896552,
"combined_confidence": 0.9833333333333334,
"current_streak_diff": -3,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -3.9675862068965415,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.506131343042713,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.111146047942693,
"surface_rank_synergy": 4.8697659054850515,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 57.57575757575758,
"second_serve_won_diff": -4.562758620689657,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.3793103448275863,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -12.320000000000007,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 7,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 4,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.041000000000000036,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.04520689655172405,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -7.4494949494949525,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}