Talia Gibson vs Anna Blinkova
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
18 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Anna Blinkova
Talia …: 35,8% Anna …: 64,2%
¿Por qué Anna Blinkova?
UTR 11,84 vs 11,99 (-0,21) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Talia … Anna … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,91 1,91 52,4%
Gamdom 1,84 2,06 54,3%
IA Fair Odds 2,80 1,56 35,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Talia …: -14,2% Anna …: +14,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Talia Gibson
Ranking #119
UTR Rating 11,84 Pro
UTR Ranking #145
Forma L5 0% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 6/16 = 37,5%
Anna Blinkova
Ranking #64
UTR Rating 11,99 Pro
UTR Ranking #111
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 17/33 = 51,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -57,0000
rank_ratio 0,5210
log_rank_ratio -0,6520
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -382,0000
best_rank_diff -71,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -14,0152
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -8,7027
surface_matches_ratio 0,4848
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 37,5000
surface_wr_p2 51,5152
surface_wr_p1_stable 40,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 51,3514
p1_surface_matches 16,0000
p2_surface_matches 33,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,2500
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,5333
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,7667
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 6,7344
first_serve_won_diff 2,3848
second_serve_won_diff 3,1576
bp_saved_diff -4,5455
bp_converted_diff -14,1818
aces_per_match_diff 2,2973
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,6000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 0,0000
momentum_p2 30,0000
momentum_diff -30,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -17,9000
current_streak_diff -3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 4,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 7,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,5361
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,8431
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,7143
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,8000
serve_consistency_p1 6,3684
serve_consistency_p2 8,9710
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 9,1377
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0680
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0418
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,2100
utr_p1 0,4494
utr_p2 0,4741
utr_advantage -1,7610
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23241
API ID 15372303
Gamdom ID 601065
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 128
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23241,
    "api_id": 15372303,
    "gamdom_id": 601065,
    "player1": "Talia Gibson",
    "player2": "Anna Blinkova",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 128",
    "date": "2026-01-18T00:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.9100000000000001,
      "p2": 1.9100000000000001
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.84,
      "p2": 2.06
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.78,
      "p2": 2.02
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3577,
    "prob_p2": 0.6423,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6423,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 119,
      "utr_singles": 11.84,
      "utr_ranking": 145,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 37.5,
      "wr_surface_wins": 6,
      "wr_surface_total": 16,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 64,
      "utr_singles": 11.99,
      "utr_ranking": 111,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 51.515151515151516,
      "wr_surface_wins": 17,
      "wr_surface_total": 33,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.84,
      "ranking": 145,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.99,
      "ranking": 111,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4494117647058824,
    "utr_p2": 0.4741176470588235,
    "utr_diff": -0.20999999999999908,
    "rank_ratio": 0.5210084033613446,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 0.0,
    "momentum_p2": 30.000000000000004,
    "points_diff": -382,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -4.54545454545454,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.6,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": -30.000000000000004,
    "p1_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 37.5,
    "surface_wr_p2": 51.515151515151516,
    "utr_advantage": -1.7610062893081682,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -71,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.6519891080664377,
    "rank_advantage": -57,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7142857142857143,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.8,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -14.015151515151516,
    "bp_converted_diff": -14.18181818181818,
    "p1_surface_matches": 16,
    "p2_surface_matches": 33,
    "serve_quality_diff": 6.734393939393939,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5360824742268041,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8431372549019608,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.297348484848485,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": -3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 2.384848484848483,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.25,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.368374822970264,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.971044941789915,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 9.13772613577962,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 40.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 51.35135135135135,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 3.1575757575757564,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.48484848484848486,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -17.90000000000001,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 4,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 7,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.06799999999999995,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.04184848484848491,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -8.702702702702698,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}