Tereza Valentová vs Maya Joint
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
20 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Tereza Valentová
Tereza …: 73,4% Maya …: 26,7%
¿Por qué Tereza Valentová?
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Tereza … Maya … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,40 3,00 71,4%
IA Fair Odds 1,36 3,75 73,4%
Edge vs Mercado: Tereza …: +5,2% Maya …: -5,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tereza Valentová
Ranking #54
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 13/16 = 81,3%
Maya Joint
Ranking #31
UTR Rating 12,15 Pro
UTR Ranking #68
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 29/47 = 61,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -28,0000
rank_ratio 0,5333
log_rank_ratio -0,6286
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -454,0000
best_rank_diff -23,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 19,5479
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 10,8987
surface_matches_ratio 0,3404
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 81,2500
surface_wr_p2 61,7021
surface_wr_p1_stable 75,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 60,7843
p1_surface_matches 16,0000
p2_surface_matches 47,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,6250
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,5333
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,7667
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 7,4101
first_serve_won_diff 7,3915
second_serve_won_diff 1,2021
bp_saved_diff 7,4000
bp_converted_diff 4,4511
aces_per_match_diff 1,6769
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 58,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff 8,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 2,4010
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 5,0000
match_load_p2 5,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7273
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,4054
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3333
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,7778
serve_consistency_p1 4,3218
serve_consistency_p2 10,7692
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -12,2880
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,3405
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0890
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,4918
utr_p2 0,4918
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23242
API ID 15372322
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 128
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23242,
    "api_id": 15372322,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Tereza Valentov\u00e1",
    "player2": "Maya Joint",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 128",
    "date": "2026-01-20T00:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.4,
      "p2": 3.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7335,
    "prob_p2": 0.2665,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7335,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 54,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 81.25,
      "wr_surface_wins": 13,
      "wr_surface_total": 16,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 31,
      "utr_singles": 12.15,
      "utr_ranking": 68,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 61.702127659574465,
      "wr_surface_wins": 29,
      "wr_surface_total": 47,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.15,
      "ranking": 68,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.4917647058823529,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 0.5333333333333333,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 57.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": -454,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 7.400000000000006,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 5,
    "match_load_p2": 5,
    "momentum_diff": 7.999999999999993,
    "p1_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 81.25,
    "surface_wr_p2": 61.702127659574465,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
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    "best_rank_diff": -23,
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    "rank_advantage": -28,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7777777777777778,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 19.547872340425535,
    "bp_converted_diff": 4.451063829787238,
    "p1_surface_matches": 16,
    "p2_surface_matches": 47,
    "serve_quality_diff": 7.410106382978725,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7272727272727273,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.40540540540540543,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.6768617021276595,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 7.391489361702128,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.625,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 4.321781024692773,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.769176020055054,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -12.287961826474604,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 75.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 60.78431372549019,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 1.2021276595744723,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.3404255319148936,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 2.4010000000000105,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.3405,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.08902127659574466,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 10.898692810457518,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}