Varvara Gracheva vs Viktorija Golubic
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
20 Ene 2026, 04:00
20 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Varvara Gracheva
Varvara …: 53,3%
Viktorija …: 46,7%
¿Por qué Varvara Gracheva?
UTR 12,08 vs 12,02
(+0,04)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Varvara … | Viktorija … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,91 | 1,91 | 52,4% |
| Gamdom | 1,96 | 1,93 | 51,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,88 | 2,14 | 53,3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Varvara …: +3,3%
Viktorija …: -3,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Varvara Gracheva
Ranking
#77
UTR Rating
12,08 Pro
UTR Ranking
#79
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
18/32 = 56,3%
Viktorija Golubic
Ranking
#83
UTR Rating
12,02 Pro
UTR Ranking
#99
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
21/37 = 56,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 7,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0946 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0904 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 46,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -4,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -0,5068 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -0,5420 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,8649 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 56,2500 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 56,7568 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 55,5556 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 56,0976 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 32,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 37,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1250 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 4,7983 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -1,9718 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 6,5216 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -5,7830 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -2,8744 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,9139 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 30,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -20,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -9,5000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 7,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,5867 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,8242 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,2000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4444 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 11,2326 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,5500 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0,0458 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0555 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0746 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4788 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4741 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,3320 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23243
API ID
15372325
Gamdom ID
601037
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23243,
"api_id": 15372325,
"gamdom_id": 601037,
"player1": "Varvara Gracheva",
"player2": "Viktorija Golubic",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2026-01-20T00:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.9100000000000001,
"p2": 1.9100000000000001
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.96,
"p2": 1.93
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.89,
"p2": 1.89
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5326,
"prob_p2": 0.4674,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5326,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 77,
"utr_singles": 12.08,
"utr_ranking": 79,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 56.25,
"wr_surface_wins": 18,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 83,
"utr_singles": 12.02,
"utr_ranking": 99,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 56.75675675675676,
"wr_surface_wins": 21,
"wr_surface_total": 37,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 79,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.02,
"ranking": 99,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4741176470588235,
"utr_diff": 0.040000000000000924,
"rank_ratio": 1.0945945945945945,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 10.0,
"momentum_p2": 30.000000000000004,
"points_diff": 46,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -5.783023648648644,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": -20.000000000000004,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 56.25,
"surface_wr_p2": 56.75675675675676,
"utr_advantage": 0.3319502074688873,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -4,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.09038406146826894,
"rank_advantage": 7,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.2,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4444444444444444,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": -0.5067567567567579,
"bp_converted_diff": -2.874408783783778,
"p1_surface_matches": 32,
"p2_surface_matches": 37,
"serve_quality_diff": 4.798293918918922,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5866666666666667,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8241758241758241,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.9138513513513513,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -1.971790540540539,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.125,
"serve_consistency_p1": 11.232570750987543,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.550047145775925,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.045802733852163414,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.55555555555556,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.09756097560976,
"second_serve_won_diff": 6.52162162162162,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.8648648648648649,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -9.500000000000007,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 5,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 7,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.055499999999999994,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.07456756756756755,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -0.5420054200542026,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}