Veronika Erjavec vs Magdalena Frech
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
19 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Veronika Erjavec
Veronika …: 54,9% Magdalena …: 45,1%
¿Por qué Veronika Erjavec?
UTR 11,92 vs 12,16 (-0,10) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Veronika … Magdalena … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 4,00 1,25 25,0%
Gamdom 4,30 1,25 23,3%
IA Fair Odds 1,82 2,22 54,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Veronika …: +31,1% Magdalena …: -31,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Veronika Erjavec
Ranking #102
UTR Rating 11,92 Pro
UTR Ranking #126
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 6/12 = 50,0%
Magdalena Frech
Ranking #57
UTR Rating 12,16 Pro
UTR Ranking #62
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 8/23 = 34,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -42,0000
rank_ratio 0,5758
log_rank_ratio -0,5521
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -308,0000
best_rank_diff -76,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 15,2174
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 7,9506
surface_matches_ratio 0,5217
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,0000
surface_wr_p2 34,7826
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 37,0370
p1_surface_matches 12,0000
p2_surface_matches 23,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4600
p2_confidence 0,7667
combined_confidence 0,6133
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,2655
first_serve_won_diff -0,4000
second_serve_won_diff 1,6000
bp_saved_diff 7,3000
bp_converted_diff 4,1000
aces_per_match_diff -0,0072
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 40,0000
momentum_p2 62,0000
momentum_diff -22,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -30,1500
current_streak_diff -2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 14,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 4,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff -3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6286
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7049
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3333
serve_consistency_p1 12,1648
serve_consistency_p2 8,6348
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -8,4010
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0420
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1942
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,1000
utr_p1 0,4647
utr_p2 0,4765
utr_advantage -0,8333
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23244
API ID 15372294
Gamdom ID 601053
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 128
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23244,
    "api_id": 15372294,
    "gamdom_id": 601053,
    "player1": "Veronika Erjavec",
    "player2": "Magdalena Frech",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 128",
    "date": "2026-01-19T00:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 4.0,
      "p2": 1.25
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 4.3,
      "p2": 1.25
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 4.04,
      "p2": 1.24
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5487,
    "prob_p2": 0.4513,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5487,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 102,
      "utr_singles": 11.92,
      "utr_ranking": 126,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 6,
      "wr_surface_total": 12,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 57,
      "utr_singles": 12.16,
      "utr_ranking": 62,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 34.78260869565217,
      "wr_surface_wins": 8,
      "wr_surface_total": 23,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.92,
      "ranking": 126,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.16,
      "ranking": 62,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4647058823529411,
    "utr_p2": 0.4764705882352942,
    "utr_diff": -0.10000000000000142,
    "rank_ratio": 0.5757575757575758,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 40.0,
    "momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
    "points_diff": -308,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 7.300000000000011,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": -22.000000000000014,
    "p1_confidence": 0.46,
    "p2_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 34.78260869565217,
    "utr_advantage": -0.8333333333333451,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -76,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.5520685823000397,
    "rank_advantage": -42,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -3,
    "surface_wr_diff": 15.217391304347828,
    "bp_converted_diff": 4.1000000000000085,
    "p1_surface_matches": 12,
    "p2_surface_matches": 23,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.26550724637680645,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6285714285714286,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7049180327868853,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.007246376811594235,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6133333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": -2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -0.3999999999999986,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 12.164788536505771,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.634845892680262,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -8.401043643696259,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 37.03703703703704,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 1.5999999999999872,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.5217391304347826,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -30.150000000000013,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 14,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 4,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.04200000000000004,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.1941739130434783,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 7.950617283950616,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}