Veronika Erjavec vs Magdalena Frech
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
19 Ene 2026, 04:00
19 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Veronika Erjavec
Veronika …: 54,9%
Magdalena …: 45,1%
¿Por qué Veronika Erjavec?
UTR 11,92 vs 12,16
(-0,10)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Veronika … | Magdalena … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 4,00 | 1,25 | 25,0% |
| Gamdom | 4,30 | 1,25 | 23,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,82 | 2,22 | 54,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Veronika …: +31,1%
Magdalena …: -31,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Veronika Erjavec
Ranking
#102
UTR Rating
11,92 Pro
UTR Ranking
#126
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
6/12 = 50,0%
Magdalena Frech
Ranking
#57
UTR Rating
12,16 Pro
UTR Ranking
#62
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
8/23 = 34,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -42,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,5758 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,5521 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -308,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -76,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 15,2174 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 7,9506 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,5217 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 34,7826 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 37,0370 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 12,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 23,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4600 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,7667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6133 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,2655 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0,4000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1,6000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 7,3000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 4,1000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,0072 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 62,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -22,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -30,1500 | |
| current_streak_diff | -2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 14,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6286 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7049 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3333 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 12,1648 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,6348 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -8,4010 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0420 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1942 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4647 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4765 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,8333 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23244
API ID
15372294
Gamdom ID
601053
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23244,
"api_id": 15372294,
"gamdom_id": 601053,
"player1": "Veronika Erjavec",
"player2": "Magdalena Frech",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2026-01-19T00:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 4.0,
"p2": 1.25
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 4.3,
"p2": 1.25
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 4.04,
"p2": 1.24
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5487,
"prob_p2": 0.4513,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5487,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 102,
"utr_singles": 11.92,
"utr_ranking": 126,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 6,
"wr_surface_total": 12,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 57,
"utr_singles": 12.16,
"utr_ranking": 62,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 34.78260869565217,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 23,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 126,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.16,
"ranking": 62,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4764705882352942,
"utr_diff": -0.10000000000000142,
"rank_ratio": 0.5757575757575758,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
"points_diff": -308,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 7.300000000000011,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": -22.000000000000014,
"p1_confidence": 0.46,
"p2_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
"surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 34.78260869565217,
"utr_advantage": -0.8333333333333451,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -76,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.5520685823000397,
"rank_advantage": -42,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -3,
"surface_wr_diff": 15.217391304347828,
"bp_converted_diff": 4.1000000000000085,
"p1_surface_matches": 12,
"p2_surface_matches": 23,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.26550724637680645,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6285714285714286,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7049180327868853,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.007246376811594235,
"combined_confidence": 0.6133333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": -2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.3999999999999986,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 12.164788536505771,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.634845892680262,
"surface_rank_synergy": -8.401043643696259,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 37.03703703703704,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.5999999999999872,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.5217391304347826,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -30.150000000000013,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 14,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 4,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.04200000000000004,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.1941739130434783,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 7.950617283950616,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}