Victoria Mboko vs Emerson Jones
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
19 Ene 2026, 10:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Victoria Mboko
Victoria …: 90,5% Emerson …: 9,5%
¿Por qué Victoria Mboko?
UTR 12,62 vs 11,85 (+0,81) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Victoria … Emerson … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,17 5,00 85,5%
Gamdom 1,25 4,40 80,0%
IA Fair Odds 1,11 10,52 90,5%
Edge vs Mercado: Victoria …: +9,5% Emerson …: -9,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Victoria Mboko
Ranking #16
UTR Rating 12,62 Pro
UTR Ranking #13
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 20/26 = 76,9%
Emerson Jones
Ranking #153
UTR Rating 11,85 Junior
UTR Ranking #3
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 3/7 = 42,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 138,0000
rank_ratio 9,1176
log_rank_ratio 2,2102
rank_tier_advantage 3,0000
points_diff 1694,0000
best_rank_diff 130,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 34,0659
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 16,7045
surface_matches_ratio 3,7143
surface_tournaments_won_diff 2,0000
surface_wr_p1 76,9231
surface_wr_p2 42,8571
surface_wr_p1_stable 73,3333
surface_wr_p2_stable 46,8182
p1_surface_matches 26,0000
p2_surface_matches 7,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,5385
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,8667
p2_confidence 0,3933
combined_confidence 0,6300
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 15,4711
first_serve_won_diff 6,7923
second_serve_won_diff 7,2462
bp_saved_diff 15,7077
bp_converted_diff 14,7077
aces_per_match_diff 4,9505
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,6667
momentum_p1 92,0000
momentum_p2 22,0000
momentum_diff 70,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 48,0300
current_streak_diff 5,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 6,0000
match_load_p1 5,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff 2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,3667
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,3750
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,1250
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 4,5933
serve_consistency_p2 2,5790
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 75,2929
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1312
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0666
elite_surface_amplifier 102,1978
UTR
utr_diff 0,8100
utr_p1 0,5424
utr_p2 0,4471
utr_advantage 6,6366
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23245
API ID 15372289
Gamdom ID 601074
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 128
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23245,
    "api_id": 15372289,
    "gamdom_id": 601074,
    "player1": "Victoria Mboko",
    "player2": "Emerson Jones",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 128",
    "date": "2026-01-19T06:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.17,
      "p2": 5.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.25,
      "p2": 4.4
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.22,
      "p2": 4.18
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.9049,
    "prob_p2": 0.0951,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.9049,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 16,
      "utr_singles": 12.62,
      "utr_ranking": 13,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 76.92307692307693,
      "wr_surface_wins": 20,
      "wr_surface_total": 26,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 153,
      "utr_singles": 11.85,
      "utr_ranking": 3,
      "utr_division": "Junior",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
      "wr_surface_wins": 3,
      "wr_surface_total": 7,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.62,
      "ranking": 13,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.85,
      "ranking": 3,
      "division": "Junior",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5423529411764705,
    "utr_p2": 0.44705882352941184,
    "utr_diff": 0.8099999999999987,
    "rank_ratio": 9.117647058823529,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 92.0,
    "momentum_p2": 22.0,
    "points_diff": 1694,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 15.707692307692312,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666667,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 5,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": 70.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 76.92307692307693,
    "surface_wr_p2": 42.857142857142854,
    "utr_advantage": 6.636624334289215,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 130,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 2.2102117728630306,
    "rank_advantage": 138,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.125,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 2,
    "surface_wr_diff": 34.06593406593408,
    "bp_converted_diff": 14.707692307692312,
    "p1_surface_matches": 26,
    "p2_surface_matches": 7,
    "serve_quality_diff": 15.471098901098905,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.36666666666666664,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.375,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 4.950549450549451,
    "combined_confidence": 0.63,
    "current_streak_diff": 5,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 3,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 6.792307692307709,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.5384615384615384,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 4.593274051982989,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 2.5790298565288223,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 75.29292852610327,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 73.33333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 46.81818181818182,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 7.246153846153852,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 3.7142857142857144,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 48.029999999999994,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 102.19780219780225,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 6,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.13123076923076937,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.06657142857142856,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 16.70454545454545,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}