Victoria Mboko vs Emerson Jones
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
19 Ene 2026, 10:00
19 Ene 2026, 10:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Victoria Mboko
Victoria …: 90,5%
Emerson …: 9,5%
¿Por qué Victoria Mboko?
UTR 12,62 vs 11,85
(+0,81)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Victoria … | Emerson … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,17 | 5,00 | 85,5% |
| Gamdom | 1,25 | 4,40 | 80,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,11 | 10,52 | 90,5% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Victoria …: +9,5%
Emerson …: -9,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Victoria Mboko
Ranking
#16
UTR Rating
12,62 Pro
UTR Ranking
#13
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
20/26 = 76,9%
Emerson Jones
Ranking
#153
UTR Rating
11,85 Junior
UTR Ranking
#3
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
3/7 = 42,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 138,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 9,1176 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 2,2102 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 3,0000 | |
| points_diff | 1694,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 130,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 34,0659 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 16,7045 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 3,7143 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 76,9231 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 42,8571 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 73,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 46,8182 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 26,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 7,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,5385 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,8667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3933 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6300 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 15,4711 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 6,7923 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 7,2462 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 15,7077 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 14,7077 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 4,9505 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 92,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 22,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 70,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 48,0300 | |
| current_streak_diff | 5,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,3667 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,3750 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,1250 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,5933 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 2,5790 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 75,2929 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1312 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0666 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 102,1978 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,8100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5424 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4471 | |
| utr_advantage | 6,6366 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23245
API ID
15372289
Gamdom ID
601074
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23245,
"api_id": 15372289,
"gamdom_id": 601074,
"player1": "Victoria Mboko",
"player2": "Emerson Jones",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2026-01-19T06:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.17,
"p2": 5.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.25,
"p2": 4.4
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.22,
"p2": 4.18
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.9049,
"prob_p2": 0.0951,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.9049,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 16,
"utr_singles": 12.62,
"utr_ranking": 13,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 76.92307692307693,
"wr_surface_wins": 20,
"wr_surface_total": 26,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 153,
"utr_singles": 11.85,
"utr_ranking": 3,
"utr_division": "Junior",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 7,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 13,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 3,
"division": "Junior",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_diff": 0.8099999999999987,
"rank_ratio": 9.117647058823529,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 92.0,
"momentum_p2": 22.0,
"points_diff": 1694,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 15.707692307692312,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666667,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
"match_load_p1": 5,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": 70.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 76.92307692307693,
"surface_wr_p2": 42.857142857142854,
"utr_advantage": 6.636624334289215,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 130,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 2.2102117728630306,
"rank_advantage": 138,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.125,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_diff": 34.06593406593408,
"bp_converted_diff": 14.707692307692312,
"p1_surface_matches": 26,
"p2_surface_matches": 7,
"serve_quality_diff": 15.471098901098905,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.36666666666666664,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.375,
"aces_per_match_diff": 4.950549450549451,
"combined_confidence": 0.63,
"current_streak_diff": 5,
"rank_tier_advantage": 3,
"first_serve_won_diff": 6.792307692307709,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.5384615384615384,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.593274051982989,
"serve_consistency_p2": 2.5790298565288223,
"surface_rank_synergy": 75.29292852610327,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 73.33333333333333,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 46.81818181818182,
"second_serve_won_diff": 7.246153846153852,
"surface_matches_ratio": 3.7142857142857144,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 48.029999999999994,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 102.19780219780225,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 6,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.13123076923076937,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.06657142857142856,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 16.70454545454545,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2
},
"feature_importance": {}
}