Xinyu Wang vs Anhelina Kalinina
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
20 Ene 2026, 05:35
20 Ene 2026, 05:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Xinyu Wang
Xinyu …: 53,7%
Anhelina …: 46,3%
¿Por qué Xinyu Wang?
UTR 12,25 vs 12,11
(+0,09)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Xinyu … | Anhelina … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,67 | 2,20 | 59,9% |
| Gamdom | 1,70 | 2,26 | 58,8% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,86 | 2,16 | 53,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Xinyu …: -3,2%
Anhelina …: +3,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Xinyu Wang
Ranking
#46
UTR Rating
12,25 Pro
UTR Ranking
#54
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
12/27 = 44,4%
Anhelina Kalinina
Ranking
#179
UTR Rating
12,11 Pro
UTR Ranking
#77
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
12/21 = 57,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 135,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 4,1395 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,4206 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 801,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -7,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -12,6984 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -8,6710 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,2857 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 44,4444 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 57,1429 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 45,1613 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 56,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 27,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 21,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1111 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,9000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,7000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 1,7074 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0,5651 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1,2011 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 1,8603 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -4,1376 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,8148 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 92,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -52,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -36,9160 | |
| current_streak_diff | -4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 7,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 4,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7416 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,2500 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3333 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,9709 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,2260 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -18,0392 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1906 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2064 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -25,3968 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4918 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4812 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,7417 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23246
API ID
15373428
Gamdom ID
601589
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23246,
"api_id": 15373428,
"gamdom_id": 601589,
"player1": "Xinyu Wang",
"player2": "Anhelina Kalinina",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2026-01-20T01:35:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.67,
"p2": 2.2
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.7,
"p2": 2.26
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.67,
"p2": 2.19
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5367,
"prob_p2": 0.4633,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5367,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 46,
"utr_singles": 12.25,
"utr_ranking": 54,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 44.44444444444444,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 27,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 179,
"utr_singles": 12.11,
"utr_ranking": 77,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 57.14285714285714,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 21,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 54,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 77,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.48117647058823526,
"utr_diff": 0.08999999999999986,
"rank_ratio": 4.1395348837209305,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 92.0,
"points_diff": 801,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 1.8603174603174466,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666667,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 7,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": -52.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.9,
"p2_confidence": 0.7,
"surface_wr_p1": 44.44444444444444,
"surface_wr_p2": 57.14285714285714,
"utr_advantage": 0.741656365883806,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -7,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.4205834345985229,
"rank_advantage": 135,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.25,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 4,
"surface_wr_diff": -12.698412698412696,
"bp_converted_diff": -4.1375661375661466,
"p1_surface_matches": 27,
"p2_surface_matches": 21,
"serve_quality_diff": 1.7074074074074232,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7415730337078652,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.8148148148148149,
"combined_confidence": 0.8,
"current_streak_diff": -4,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.565079365079356,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.1111111111111111,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.970905533132263,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.225994228605071,
"surface_rank_synergy": -18.039154725060605,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 45.16129032258064,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.00000000000001,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.2010582010582098,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.2857142857142858,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -36.916,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -25.396825396825392,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.1905555555555556,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.2064285714285714,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -8.670967741935494,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}