Xinyu Wang vs Anhelina Kalinina
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
20 Ene 2026, 05:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Xinyu Wang
Xinyu …: 53,7% Anhelina …: 46,3%
¿Por qué Xinyu Wang?
UTR 12,25 vs 12,11 (+0,09) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Xinyu … Anhelina … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,67 2,20 59,9%
Gamdom 1,70 2,26 58,8%
IA Fair Odds 1,86 2,16 53,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Xinyu …: -3,2% Anhelina …: +3,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Xinyu Wang
Ranking #46
UTR Rating 12,25 Pro
UTR Ranking #54
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 12/27 = 44,4%
Anhelina Kalinina
Ranking #179
UTR Rating 12,11 Pro
UTR Ranking #77
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 12/21 = 57,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 135,0000
rank_ratio 4,1395
log_rank_ratio 1,4206
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 801,0000
best_rank_diff -7,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -12,6984
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -8,6710
surface_matches_ratio 1,2857
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 44,4444
surface_wr_p2 57,1429
surface_wr_p1_stable 45,1613
surface_wr_p2_stable 56,0000
p1_surface_matches 27,0000
p2_surface_matches 21,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1111
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,9000
p2_confidence 0,7000
combined_confidence 0,8000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 1,7074
first_serve_won_diff -0,5651
second_serve_won_diff 1,2011
bp_saved_diff 1,8603
bp_converted_diff -4,1376
aces_per_match_diff 0,8148
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,6667
momentum_p1 40,0000
momentum_p2 92,0000
momentum_diff -52,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -36,9160
current_streak_diff -4,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 3,0000
match_load_p1 7,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff 4,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7416
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,2500
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3333
serve_consistency_p1 5,9709
serve_consistency_p2 5,2260
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -18,0392
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1906
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,2064
elite_surface_amplifier -25,3968
UTR
utr_diff 0,0900
utr_p1 0,4918
utr_p2 0,4812
utr_advantage 0,7417
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23246
API ID 15373428
Gamdom ID 601589
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 128
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23246,
    "api_id": 15373428,
    "gamdom_id": 601589,
    "player1": "Xinyu Wang",
    "player2": "Anhelina Kalinina",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 128",
    "date": "2026-01-20T01:35:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.67,
      "p2": 2.2
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.7,
      "p2": 2.26
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.67,
      "p2": 2.19
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5367,
    "prob_p2": 0.4633,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5367,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 46,
      "utr_singles": 12.25,
      "utr_ranking": 54,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 44.44444444444444,
      "wr_surface_wins": 12,
      "wr_surface_total": 27,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 179,
      "utr_singles": 12.11,
      "utr_ranking": 77,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 57.14285714285714,
      "wr_surface_wins": 12,
      "wr_surface_total": 21,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.25,
      "ranking": 54,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.11,
      "ranking": 77,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4917647058823529,
    "utr_p2": 0.48117647058823526,
    "utr_diff": 0.08999999999999986,
    "rank_ratio": 4.1395348837209305,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 40.0,
    "momentum_p2": 92.0,
    "points_diff": 801,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 1.8603174603174466,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666667,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 7,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": -52.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.9,
    "p2_confidence": 0.7,
    "surface_wr_p1": 44.44444444444444,
    "surface_wr_p2": 57.14285714285714,
    "utr_advantage": 0.741656365883806,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -7,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.4205834345985229,
    "rank_advantage": 135,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.25,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 4,
    "surface_wr_diff": -12.698412698412696,
    "bp_converted_diff": -4.1375661375661466,
    "p1_surface_matches": 27,
    "p2_surface_matches": 21,
    "serve_quality_diff": 1.7074074074074232,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7415730337078652,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.8148148148148149,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8,
    "current_streak_diff": -4,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -0.565079365079356,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.1111111111111111,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.970905533132263,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.225994228605071,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -18.039154725060605,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 45.16129032258064,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.00000000000001,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 1.2010582010582098,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.2857142857142858,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -36.916,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -25.396825396825392,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.1905555555555556,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.2064285714285714,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -8.670967741935494,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}