Yulia Putintseva vs Beatriz Haddad Maia
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
18 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Yulia Putintseva
Yulia …: 59,8% Beatriz …: 40,2%
¿Por qué Yulia Putintseva?
UTR 12,00 vs 12,13 (-0,15) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Yulia … Beatriz … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,80 2,00 55,6%
Gamdom 1,75 2,17 57,1%
IA Fair Odds 1,67 2,49 59,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Yulia …: +7,1% Beatriz …: -7,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Yulia Putintseva
Ranking #94
UTR Rating 12,00 Pro
UTR Ranking #104
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 15/32 = 46,9%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
Ranking #61
UTR Rating 12,13 Pro
UTR Ranking #72
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 6/22 = 27,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -46,0000
rank_ratio 0,5619
log_rank_ratio -0,5764
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -311,0000
best_rank_diff -10,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 19,6023
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 14,2593
surface_matches_ratio 1,4545
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 46,8750
surface_wr_p2 27,2727
surface_wr_p1_stable 47,2222
surface_wr_p2_stable 30,7692
p1_surface_matches 32,0000
p2_surface_matches 22,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,0625
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,7333
combined_confidence 0,8667
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -2,5210
first_serve_won_diff -0,4497
second_serve_won_diff -1,8582
bp_saved_diff -7,8597
bp_converted_diff 0,5202
aces_per_match_diff -0,8693
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 58,0000
momentum_p2 22,0000
momentum_diff 36,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 35,1190
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 6,0000
match_load_p1 6,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 5,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,5574
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7643
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3333
serve_consistency_p1 6,0624
serve_consistency_p2 6,9633
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -11,2992
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0148
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,2733
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,1500
utr_p1 0,4706
utr_p2 0,4882
utr_advantage -1,2422
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23248
API ID 15372293
Gamdom ID 601069
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 128
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23248,
    "api_id": 15372293,
    "gamdom_id": 601069,
    "player1": "Yulia Putintseva",
    "player2": "Beatriz Haddad Maia",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 128",
    "date": "2026-01-18T00:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.8,
      "p2": 2.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.75,
      "p2": 2.17
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.71,
      "p2": 2.11
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5976,
    "prob_p2": 0.4024,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5976,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 94,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 104,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 46.875,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 32,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 61,
      "utr_singles": 12.13,
      "utr_ranking": 72,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 27.27272727272727,
      "wr_surface_wins": 6,
      "wr_surface_total": 22,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 104,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.13,
      "ranking": 72,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.47058823529411764,
    "utr_p2": 0.4882352941176471,
    "utr_diff": -0.15000000000000036,
    "rank_ratio": 0.5619047619047619,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 57.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 22.0,
    "points_diff": -311,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -7.859659090909098,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 6,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 35.99999999999999,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.7333333333333334,
    "surface_wr_p1": 46.875,
    "surface_wr_p2": 27.27272727272727,
    "utr_advantage": -1.2422360248447235,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -10,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.5764229062518039,
    "rank_advantage": -46,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 5,
    "surface_wr_diff": 19.60227272727273,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0.5201704545454646,
    "p1_surface_matches": 32,
    "p2_surface_matches": 22,
    "serve_quality_diff": -2.5209659090909042,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5573770491803278,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7643312101910829,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.8693181818181817,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -0.4497159090909122,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.0625,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.062447326090273,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.963333006642198,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -11.299199014595022,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 47.22222222222222,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 30.76923076923077,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -1.8582386363636374,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.4545454545454546,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 35.11900000000001,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 6,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.01475000000000004,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.27327272727272733,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 14.259259259259258,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}