Yulia Putintseva vs Beatriz Haddad Maia
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 128
18 Ene 2026, 04:00
18 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Yulia Putintseva
Yulia …: 59,8%
Beatriz …: 40,2%
¿Por qué Yulia Putintseva?
UTR 12,00 vs 12,13
(-0,15)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Yulia … | Beatriz … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,80 | 2,00 | 55,6% |
| Gamdom | 1,75 | 2,17 | 57,1% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,67 | 2,49 | 59,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Yulia …: +7,1%
Beatriz …: -7,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Yulia Putintseva
Ranking
#94
UTR Rating
12,00 Pro
UTR Ranking
#104
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
15/32 = 46,9%
Beatriz Haddad Maia
Ranking
#61
UTR Rating
12,13 Pro
UTR Ranking
#72
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
6/22 = 27,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -46,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,5619 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,5764 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -311,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -10,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 19,6023 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 14,2593 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,4545 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 46,8750 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 27,2727 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 47,2222 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 30,7692 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 32,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 22,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,0625 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,7333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8667 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -2,5210 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0,4497 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1,8582 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -7,8597 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,5202 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,8693 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 58,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 22,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 36,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 35,1190 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 5,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,5574 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7643 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3333 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,0624 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,9633 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -11,2992 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0148 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,2733 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4706 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4882 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,2422 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23248
API ID
15372293
Gamdom ID
601069
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23248,
"api_id": 15372293,
"gamdom_id": 601069,
"player1": "Yulia Putintseva",
"player2": "Beatriz Haddad Maia",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2026-01-18T00:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.8,
"p2": 2.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.75,
"p2": 2.17
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.71,
"p2": 2.11
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5976,
"prob_p2": 0.4024,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5976,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 94,
"utr_singles": 12.0,
"utr_ranking": 104,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 46.875,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 61,
"utr_singles": 12.13,
"utr_ranking": 72,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 27.27272727272727,
"wr_surface_wins": 6,
"wr_surface_total": 22,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 104,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.13,
"ranking": 72,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4882352941176471,
"utr_diff": -0.15000000000000036,
"rank_ratio": 0.5619047619047619,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 57.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 22.0,
"points_diff": -311,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -7.859659090909098,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 6,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 35.99999999999999,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.7333333333333334,
"surface_wr_p1": 46.875,
"surface_wr_p2": 27.27272727272727,
"utr_advantage": -1.2422360248447235,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -10,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.5764229062518039,
"rank_advantage": -46,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 5,
"surface_wr_diff": 19.60227272727273,
"bp_converted_diff": 0.5201704545454646,
"p1_surface_matches": 32,
"p2_surface_matches": 22,
"serve_quality_diff": -2.5209659090909042,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5573770491803278,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7643312101910829,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.8693181818181817,
"combined_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.4497159090909122,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.0625,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.062447326090273,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.963333006642198,
"surface_rank_synergy": -11.299199014595022,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 47.22222222222222,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 30.76923076923077,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.8582386363636374,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.4545454545454546,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 35.11900000000001,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 6,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.01475000000000004,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.27327272727272733,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 14.259259259259258,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}