Rafael Ymer vs Muyang Yi
UTR PTT Chapel Hill Men 01 | Hard | Quarterfinals
16 Ene 2026, 20:00
16 Ene 2026, 20:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Rafael Ymer
Rafael …: 51,7%
Muyang …: 48,3%
¿Por qué Rafael Ymer?
UTR 12,00 vs 12,00
— Niveles similares
Rafael …
Sin datos
Muyang …
W28-L13
68% WR
vs UTR 11,0
L3
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Rafael … | Muyang … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,33 | 3,25 | 75,0% |
| Gamdom | 1,27 | 3,04 | 78,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,93 | 2,07 | 51,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Rafael …: -19,2%
Muyang …: +19,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Rafael Ymer
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
12,00 General
UTR Ranking
#2504
Forma L5
33% (3p)
Forma L10
33% (3p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Muyang Yi
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
12,00 General
UTR Ranking
#3930
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (6p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Rafael Ymer
Sin datos UTR v4
Muyang Yi
Record 2025
28W - 13L (68%)
Racha
3L
UTR Oponentes
11,0
Últimos 5:
L
L
L
W
W
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,0667 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 33,3333 | |
| momentum_p2 | 42,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -8,6667 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -6,5000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,5927 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 2,3661 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,3529 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,3529 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23260
API ID
15378267
Gamdom ID
603907
Torneo
UTR PTT Chapel Hill Men 01
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23260,
"api_id": 15378267,
"gamdom_id": 603907,
"player1": "Rafael Ymer",
"player2": "Muyang Yi",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Chapel Hill Men 01",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2026-01-16T16:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.3333333333333333,
"p2": 3.25
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.27,
"p2": 3.04
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.3,
"p2": 3.22
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.517,
"prob_p2": 0.483,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.517,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 12.0,
"utr_ranking": 2504,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 12.0,
"utr_ranking": 3930,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 28,
"utr_v4_losses": 13,
"utr_v4_wr": 68.29268292682927,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 3,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 10.96,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "William Freshwater"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Asaf Friedler"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.18,
"opponent_name": "Enzo Kohlmann de Freitas"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Pedro Sasso"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Zachary Cohen"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:54.312412+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 6
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.0,
"ranking": 2504,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.0,
"ranking": 3930,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.35294117647058826,
"utr_p2": 0.35294117647058826,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 33.33333333333333,
"momentum_p2": 42.00000000000001,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.06666666666666671,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": -8.666666666666679,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": -2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.592653378193257,
"serve_consistency_p2": 2.3660723074720353,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -6.5,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}