Mirra Andreeva vs Victoria Mboko
Adelaide | Hard | Final
17 Ene 2026, 06:00
17 Ene 2026, 06:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Mirra Andreeva
Mirra …: 51,6%
Victoria …: 48,4%
¿Por qué Mirra Andreeva?
UTR 12,64 vs 12,62
(+0,05)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Mirra … | Victoria … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,40 | 3,00 | 71,4% |
| Gamdom | 1,53 | 2,60 | 65,4% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,94 | 2,06 | 51,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Mirra …: -16,6%
Victoria …: +16,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Mirra Andreeva
Ranking
#7
UTR Rating
12,64 Pro
UTR Ranking
#10
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
24/32 = 75,0%
Victoria Mboko
Ranking
#16
UTR Rating
12,62 Pro
UTR Ranking
#13
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
90% (10p)
WR Hard
20/26 = 76,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 9,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,1250 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,7538 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 2075,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 12,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -1,9231 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -1,0370 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,2308 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 75,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 76,9231 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 72,2222 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 73,3333 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 32,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 26,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,5000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,8667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9333 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -4,9804 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -1,6923 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,3538 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -3,1077 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -3,6077 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,1202 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 92,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 98,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -6,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7446 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,3667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,7143 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,1250 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,9210 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,8870 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -1,4496 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,2410 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2782 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -1,9231 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5482 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5424 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,3957 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23265
API ID
15328448
Gamdom ID
580616
Torneo
Adelaide
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23265,
"api_id": 15328448,
"gamdom_id": 580616,
"player1": "Mirra Andreeva",
"player2": "Victoria Mboko",
"tournament": "Adelaide",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Final",
"date": "2026-01-17T02:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.4,
"p2": 3.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.53,
"p2": 2.6
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.52,
"p2": 2.51
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5157,
"prob_p2": 0.4843,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5157,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 7,
"utr_singles": 12.64,
"utr_ranking": 10,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 75.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 24,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 16,
"utr_singles": 12.62,
"utr_ranking": 13,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 76.92307692307693,
"wr_surface_wins": 20,
"wr_surface_total": 26,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 90.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.64,
"ranking": 10,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.62,
"ranking": 13,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.548235294117647,
"utr_p2": 0.5423529411764705,
"utr_diff": 0.05000000000000071,
"rank_ratio": 2.125,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 92.0,
"momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 2075,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -3.107692307692311,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 6,
"match_load_p2": 6,
"momentum_diff": -5.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 75.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 76.92307692307693,
"utr_advantage": 0.3957261574990163,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 12,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.7537718023763802,
"rank_advantage": 9,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7142857142857143,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.125,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -1.923076923076934,
"bp_converted_diff": -3.607692307692311,
"p1_surface_matches": 32,
"p2_surface_matches": 26,
"serve_quality_diff": -4.980384615384622,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7445652173913043,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.36666666666666664,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.1201923076923075,
"combined_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -1.6923076923077076,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.5,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.920993276593522,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.887025147510431,
"surface_rank_synergy": -1.449561158416124,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 72.22222222222221,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 73.33333333333333,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.35384615384614904,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.2307692307692308,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -1.923076923076934,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.241,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.2782307692307694,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.03703703703704,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}