Mirra Andreeva vs Victoria Mboko
Adelaide | Hard | Final
17 Ene 2026, 06:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Mirra Andreeva
Mirra …: 51,6% Victoria …: 48,4%
¿Por qué Mirra Andreeva?
UTR 12,64 vs 12,62 (+0,05) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Mirra … Victoria … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,40 3,00 71,4%
Gamdom 1,53 2,60 65,4%
IA Fair Odds 1,94 2,06 51,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Mirra …: -16,6% Victoria …: +16,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Mirra Andreeva
Ranking #7
UTR Rating 12,64 Pro
UTR Ranking #10
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 24/32 = 75,0%
Victoria Mboko
Ranking #16
UTR Rating 12,62 Pro
UTR Ranking #13
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 90% (10p)
WR Hard 20/26 = 76,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 9,0000
rank_ratio 2,1250
log_rank_ratio 0,7538
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 2075,0000
best_rank_diff 12,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -1,9231
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -1,0370
surface_matches_ratio 1,2308
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 75,0000
surface_wr_p2 76,9231
surface_wr_p1_stable 72,2222
surface_wr_p2_stable 73,3333
p1_surface_matches 32,0000
p2_surface_matches 26,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,5000
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,8667
combined_confidence 0,9333
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -4,9804
first_serve_won_diff -1,6923
second_serve_won_diff 0,3538
bp_saved_diff -3,1077
bp_converted_diff -3,6077
aces_per_match_diff -2,1202
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 92,0000
momentum_p2 98,0000
momentum_diff -6,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,0000
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 6,0000
match_load_p2 6,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7446
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,3667
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,7143
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,1250
serve_consistency_p1 4,9210
serve_consistency_p2 6,8870
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -1,4496
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,2410
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,2782
elite_surface_amplifier -1,9231
UTR
utr_diff 0,0500
utr_p1 0,5482
utr_p2 0,5424
utr_advantage 0,3957
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23265
API ID 15328448
Gamdom ID 580616
Torneo Adelaide
Superficie Hard
Ronda Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23265,
    "api_id": 15328448,
    "gamdom_id": 580616,
    "player1": "Mirra Andreeva",
    "player2": "Victoria Mboko",
    "tournament": "Adelaide",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Final",
    "date": "2026-01-17T02:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.4,
      "p2": 3.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.53,
      "p2": 2.6
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.52,
      "p2": 2.51
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5157,
    "prob_p2": 0.4843,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5157,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 7,
      "utr_singles": 12.64,
      "utr_ranking": 10,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 75.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 24,
      "wr_surface_total": 32,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 16,
      "utr_singles": 12.62,
      "utr_ranking": 13,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 76.92307692307693,
      "wr_surface_wins": 20,
      "wr_surface_total": 26,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 90.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.64,
      "ranking": 10,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.62,
      "ranking": 13,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.548235294117647,
    "utr_p2": 0.5423529411764705,
    "utr_diff": 0.05000000000000071,
    "rank_ratio": 2.125,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 92.0,
    "momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 2075,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -3.107692307692311,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 6,
    "match_load_p2": 6,
    "momentum_diff": -5.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 75.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 76.92307692307693,
    "utr_advantage": 0.3957261574990163,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 12,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.7537718023763802,
    "rank_advantage": 9,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7142857142857143,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.125,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -1.923076923076934,
    "bp_converted_diff": -3.607692307692311,
    "p1_surface_matches": 32,
    "p2_surface_matches": 26,
    "serve_quality_diff": -4.980384615384622,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7445652173913043,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.36666666666666664,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -2.1201923076923075,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -1.6923076923077076,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.5,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 4.920993276593522,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.887025147510431,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -1.449561158416124,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 72.22222222222221,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 73.33333333333333,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0.35384615384614904,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.2307692307692308,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -1.923076923076934,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.241,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.2782307692307694,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.03703703703704,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}