Iva Jovic vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Hobart | Hard | Final
17 Ene 2026, 06:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Iva Jovic
Iva …: 81,3% Elisabetta …: 18,7%
¿Por qué Iva Jovic?
UTR 12,41 vs 12,14 (+0,22) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Iva … Elisabetta … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,30 3,50 76,9%
Gamdom 1,33 3,50 75,2%
IA Fair Odds 1,23 5,34 81,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Iva …: +8,4% Elisabetta …: -8,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Iva Jovic
Ranking #27
UTR Rating 12,41 Pro
UTR Ranking #39
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 12/19 = 63,2%
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Ranking #56
UTR Rating 12,14 Pro
UTR Ranking #70
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 14/30 = 46,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 50,0000
rank_ratio 2,6667
log_rank_ratio 0,9808
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 671,0000
best_rank_diff -1,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 16,4912
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 11,2788
surface_matches_ratio 0,6333
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 63,1579
surface_wr_p2 46,6667
surface_wr_p1_stable 60,8696
surface_wr_p2_stable 47,0588
p1_surface_matches 19,0000
p2_surface_matches 30,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2632
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,6333
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,8167
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 2,1148
first_serve_won_diff 0,1100
second_serve_won_diff 1,1467
bp_saved_diff 8,7400
bp_converted_diff 5,5133
aces_per_match_diff 0,8579
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 98,0000
momentum_p2 100,0000
momentum_diff -2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,0000
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 8,0000
match_load_p2 8,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7778
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,5733
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,1429
serve_consistency_p1 11,3344
serve_consistency_p2 6,4082
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 16,1751
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0816
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0167
elite_surface_amplifier 16,4912
UTR
utr_diff 0,2200
utr_p1 0,5094
utr_p2 0,4835
utr_advantage 1,8003
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23266
API ID 15328389
Gamdom ID 580575
Torneo Hobart
Superficie Hard
Ronda Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23266,
    "api_id": 15328389,
    "gamdom_id": 580575,
    "player1": "Iva Jovic",
    "player2": "Elisabetta Cocciaretto",
    "tournament": "Hobart",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Final",
    "date": "2026-01-17T02:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.3,
      "p2": 3.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.33,
      "p2": 3.5
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.32,
      "p2": 3.34
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8129,
    "prob_p2": 0.1871,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8129,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 27,
      "utr_singles": 12.41,
      "utr_ranking": 39,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 63.1578947368421,
      "wr_surface_wins": 12,
      "wr_surface_total": 19,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 56,
      "utr_singles": 12.14,
      "utr_ranking": 70,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 46.666666666666664,
      "wr_surface_wins": 14,
      "wr_surface_total": 30,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.41,
      "ranking": 39,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.14,
      "ranking": 70,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5094117647058823,
    "utr_p2": 0.4835294117647058,
    "utr_diff": 0.22000000000000064,
    "rank_ratio": 2.6666666666666665,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 671,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 8.740000000000002,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 8,
    "match_load_p2": 8,
    "momentum_diff": -2.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.6333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 63.1578947368421,
    "surface_wr_p2": 46.666666666666664,
    "utr_advantage": 1.800327332242231,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -1,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.9808292530117262,
    "rank_advantage": 50,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.14285714285714285,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 16.49122807017544,
    "bp_converted_diff": 5.513333333333335,
    "p1_surface_matches": 19,
    "p2_surface_matches": 30,
    "serve_quality_diff": 2.114789473684205,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7777777777777778,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5733333333333334,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.8578947368421053,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8166666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0.10999999999999943,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2631578947368421,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 11.33442480504747,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.408243336106867,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 16.175078909316188,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 60.86956521739131,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 47.05882352941176,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 1.1466666666666612,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.6333333333333333,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 16.49122807017544,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.08157894736842097,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.016666666666666663,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 11.278772378516633,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}