Iva Jovic vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Hobart | Hard | Final
17 Ene 2026, 06:00
17 Ene 2026, 06:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Iva Jovic
Iva …: 81,3%
Elisabetta …: 18,7%
¿Por qué Iva Jovic?
UTR 12,41 vs 12,14
(+0,22)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Iva … | Elisabetta … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,30 | 3,50 | 76,9% |
| Gamdom | 1,33 | 3,50 | 75,2% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,23 | 5,34 | 81,3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Iva …: +8,4%
Elisabetta …: -8,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Iva Jovic
Ranking
#27
UTR Rating
12,41 Pro
UTR Ranking
#39
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
12/19 = 63,2%
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Ranking
#56
UTR Rating
12,14 Pro
UTR Ranking
#70
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
14/30 = 46,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 50,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,6667 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,9808 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 671,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -1,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 16,4912 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 11,2788 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,6333 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 63,1579 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 46,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 60,8696 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 47,0588 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 19,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 30,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2632 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,6333 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8167 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 2,1148 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,1100 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1,1467 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 8,7400 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 5,5133 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,8579 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 98,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 8,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 8,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7778 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,5733 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,1429 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 11,3344 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,4082 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 16,1751 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0816 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0167 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 16,4912 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,2200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5094 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4835 | |
| utr_advantage | 1,8003 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23266
API ID
15328389
Gamdom ID
580575
Torneo
Hobart
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23266,
"api_id": 15328389,
"gamdom_id": 580575,
"player1": "Iva Jovic",
"player2": "Elisabetta Cocciaretto",
"tournament": "Hobart",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Final",
"date": "2026-01-17T02:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.3,
"p2": 3.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.33,
"p2": 3.5
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.32,
"p2": 3.34
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.8129,
"prob_p2": 0.1871,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.8129,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 27,
"utr_singles": 12.41,
"utr_ranking": 39,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 63.1578947368421,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 19,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 56,
"utr_singles": 12.14,
"utr_ranking": 70,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 46.666666666666664,
"wr_surface_wins": 14,
"wr_surface_total": 30,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.41,
"ranking": 39,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.14,
"ranking": 70,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.5094117647058823,
"utr_p2": 0.4835294117647058,
"utr_diff": 0.22000000000000064,
"rank_ratio": 2.6666666666666665,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 671,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 8.740000000000002,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 8,
"match_load_p2": 8,
"momentum_diff": -2.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.6333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 63.1578947368421,
"surface_wr_p2": 46.666666666666664,
"utr_advantage": 1.800327332242231,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -1,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.9808292530117262,
"rank_advantage": 50,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.14285714285714285,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 16.49122807017544,
"bp_converted_diff": 5.513333333333335,
"p1_surface_matches": 19,
"p2_surface_matches": 30,
"serve_quality_diff": 2.114789473684205,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7777777777777778,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5733333333333334,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.8578947368421053,
"combined_confidence": 0.8166666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.10999999999999943,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2631578947368421,
"serve_consistency_p1": 11.33442480504747,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.408243336106867,
"surface_rank_synergy": 16.175078909316188,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 60.86956521739131,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 47.05882352941176,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.1466666666666612,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.6333333333333333,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 16.49122807017544,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.08157894736842097,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.016666666666666663,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 11.278772378516633,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}