Toshiki Karigyo vs Taketo Takamisawa
UTR Yokohama M02 | Hard | Semifinals
17 Ene 2026, 07:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Taketo Takamisawa
Toshiki …: 41,3% Taketo …: 58,7%
¿Por qué Taketo Takamisawa?
UTR 12,50 vs 12,93 (-0,57) — Niveles similares
Toshiki …
W32-L23
58% WR
vs UTR 11,9
L1
Taketo …
W55-L25
69% WR
vs UTR 12,0
L2
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (31%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Toshiki … Taketo … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,75 1,40 36,4%
Gamdom 2,70 1,35 37,0%
IA Fair Odds 2,42 1,70 41,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Toshiki …: +7,6% Taketo …: -7,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Toshiki Karigyo
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,50 Pro
UTR Ranking #1540
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Taketo Takamisawa
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,93 Pro
UTR Ranking #1166
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 67% (9p)
WR Hard 0/1 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Toshiki Karigyo
Record 2025 32W - 23L (58%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 11,9
Últimos 5:
L W W L W
Taketo Takamisawa
Record 2025 55W - 25L (69%)
Racha 2L
UTR Oponentes 12,0
Últimos 5:
L L W W L
Análisis Momentum
Taketo Takamisawa ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 12,0 vs 11,9).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 14,1067
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff -2,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 4,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 1,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3133
combined_confidence 0,3067
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -38,0900
first_serve_won_diff -56,2000
second_serve_won_diff -33,3000
bp_saved_diff -37,5000
bp_converted_diff -33,3000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 78,0000
momentum_p2 68,0000
momentum_diff 10,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 7,5000
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 9,0000
match_load_p2 9,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff -1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 11,6404
serve_consistency_p2 8,7489
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,5700
utr_p1 0,5188
utr_p2 0,5859
utr_advantage -4,4900
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23270
API ID 15378776
Gamdom ID 604060
Torneo UTR Yokohama M02
Superficie Hard
Ronda Semifinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23270,
    "api_id": 15378776,
    "gamdom_id": 604060,
    "player1": "Toshiki Karigyo",
    "player2": "Taketo Takamisawa",
    "tournament": "UTR Yokohama M02",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Semifinals",
    "date": "2026-01-17T03:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.75,
      "p2": 1.4
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.7,
      "p2": 1.35
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.8,
      "p2": 1.38
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4134,
    "prob_p2": 0.5866,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5866,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.5,
      "utr_ranking": 1540,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 32,
      "utr_v4_losses": 23,
      "utr_v4_wr": 58.18181818181818,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.92,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.78,
          "opponent_name": "Makoto Ochi"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Seonyong Han"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.11,
          "opponent_name": "Bang Shuo Yin"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.32,
          "opponent_name": "Dong Ju Kim"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Genki Fukushima"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:51.856470+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.93,
      "utr_ranking": 1166,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 55,
      "utr_v4_losses": 25,
      "utr_v4_wr": 68.75,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 2,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.04,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.59,
          "opponent_name": "Arthur Weber"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 14.04,
          "opponent_name": "Max Basing"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Yan Cheng CHEN"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.4,
          "opponent_name": "Ryota Tanuma"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.53,
          "opponent_name": "Moerani Bouzige"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:43.336693+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 1,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 9
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.5,
      "ranking": 1540,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.93,
      "ranking": 1166,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5188235294117647,
    "utr_p2": 0.5858823529411765,
    "utr_diff": -0.5700000000000003,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 77.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 68.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -37.5,
    "h2h_wins_diff": -1,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 9,
    "match_load_p2": 9,
    "momentum_diff": 9.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": -4.4899566758566385,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": -33.3,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 1,
    "serve_quality_diff": -38.09,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.30666666666666664,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -56.2,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 11.640382280343722,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.74888365650093,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 4.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -33.3,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 7.5,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 14.106666666666666,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}