Michiru Furuya vs Nana Kawagishi
UTR Yokohama W02 | Hard | Semifinals
17 Ene 2026, 08:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Nana Kawagishi
Michiru …: 47,4% Nana …: 52,6%
¿Por qué Nana Kawagishi?
UTR 10,00 vs 10,03 (-0,03) — Niveles similares
Michiru …
W57-L22
72% WR
vs UTR 9,2
L1
Nana …
W24-L30
44% WR
vs UTR 9,9
L1
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Michiru … Nana … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,83 1,83 54,5%
Gamdom 1,76 1,76 56,8%
IA Fair Odds 2,11 1,90 47,4%
Edge vs Mercado: Michiru …: -2,6% Nana …: +2,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Michiru Furuya
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 10,00 General
UTR Ranking #1806
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Nana Kawagishi
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 10,03 Pro
UTR Ranking #1029
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Michiru Furuya
Record 2025 57W - 22L (72%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 9,2
Últimos 5:
L W W W W
Nana Kawagishi
Record 2025 24W - 30L (44%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 9,9
Últimos 5:
L W L W L
Análisis Momentum
Momentum similar entre ambos jugadores.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 80,0000
momentum_p2 72,0000
momentum_diff 8,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 6,0000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 9,0000
match_load_p2 9,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 6,2995
serve_consistency_p2 12,5166
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,0300
utr_p1 0,2353
utr_p2 0,2388
utr_advantage -0,2996
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23282
API ID 15378801
Gamdom ID 604201
Torneo UTR Yokohama W02
Superficie Hard
Ronda Semifinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23282,
    "api_id": 15378801,
    "gamdom_id": 604201,
    "player1": "Michiru Furuya",
    "player2": "Nana Kawagishi",
    "tournament": "UTR Yokohama W02",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Semifinals",
    "date": "2026-01-17T04:50:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.8333333333333335,
      "p2": 1.8333333333333335
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.76,
      "p2": 1.76
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.84,
      "p2": 1.85
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4741,
    "prob_p2": 0.5259,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5259,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 10.0,
      "utr_ranking": 1806,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 57,
      "utr_v4_losses": 22,
      "utr_v4_wr": 72.15189873417721,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.18,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Kanami Nishimura"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.68,
          "opponent_name": "YUI OHWAKI"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.89,
          "opponent_name": "Junri Namigata"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Misaki Yamagishi"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Rito Arima"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:49.536056+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 10.03,
      "utr_ranking": 1029,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 24,
      "utr_v4_losses": 30,
      "utr_v4_wr": 44.44444444444444,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.85,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.77,
          "opponent_name": "Yuhan Wang"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.97,
          "opponent_name": "Lunda Kumhom"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.37,
          "opponent_name": "Ulyana Hrabavets"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.31,
          "opponent_name": "Merel Hoedt"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.37,
          "opponent_name": "Ulyana Hrabavets"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:56.255921+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 10.0,
      "ranking": 1806,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 10.03,
      "ranking": 1029,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.23529411764705882,
    "utr_p2": 0.23882352941176463,
    "utr_diff": -0.02999999999999936,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 80.0,
    "momentum_p2": 72.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 9,
    "match_load_p2": 9,
    "momentum_diff": 8.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": -0.2995506739890101,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.29952035814963,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 12.516570093783512,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 6.0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}