Jamie Connel vs Matei Florin Breazu
UTR Belgrade M01 | Clay | Semifinals
17 Ene 2026, 15:55
17 Ene 2026, 15:55
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jamie Connel
Jamie …: 67,0%
Matei …: 33,0%
¿Por qué Jamie Connel?
UTR 13,00 vs 12,48
(+0,56)
— Niveles similares
Jamie …
Sin datos
Matei …
W30-L20
60% WR
vs UTR 12,0
L1
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Jamie … | Matei … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| IA Fair Odds | 1,49 | 3,03 | 67,0% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jamie Connel
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,00 General
UTR Ranking
#778
Forma L5
100% (4p)
Forma L10
100% (4p)
WR Clay
0/0 = 0,0%
Matei Florin Breazu
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
12,48 Junior
UTR Ranking
#93
Forma L5
75% (4p)
Forma L10
75% (4p)
WR Clay
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Jamie Connel
Sin datos UTR v4
Matei Florin Breazu
Record 2025
30W - 20L (60%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
12,0
Últimos 5:
L
W
W
L
L
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2500 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 69,3878 | |
| momentum_diff | 30,6122 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 22,9592 | |
| current_streak_diff | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,8780 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 2,6819 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,5600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5882 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5224 | |
| utr_advantage | 4,4025 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23299
API ID
15380768
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
UTR Belgrade M01
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Semifinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23299,
"api_id": 15380768,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Jamie Connel",
"player2": "Matei Florin Breazu",
"tournament": "UTR Belgrade M01",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Semifinals",
"date": "2026-01-17T11:55:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6703,
"prob_p2": 0.3297,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6703,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.0,
"utr_ranking": 778,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 100.0,
"form_l5_matches": 4,
"form_l10_matches": 4
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 12.48,
"utr_ranking": 93,
"utr_division": "Junior",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 30,
"utr_v4_losses": 20,
"utr_v4_wr": 60.0,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.03,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.54,
"opponent_name": "Twan van Zijl"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Dylan Leeman"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Kristian Tumbas Kajgo"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.82,
"opponent_name": "Mihai Alexandru Coman"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Cian Mcdonnell"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:40.537043+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 75.0,
"form_l10_wr": 75.0,
"form_l5_matches": 4,
"form_l10_matches": 4
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 13.0,
"ranking": 778,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.48,
"ranking": 93,
"division": "Junior",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.5882352941176471,
"utr_p2": 0.5223529411764706,
"utr_diff": 0.5600000000000005,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 69.38775510204083,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.25,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": 30.612244897959158,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 4.402515723270445,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": 3,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.878022954911376,
"serve_consistency_p2": 2.6818617479315217,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 22.959183673469383,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}