Achilles Belkovics vs Alexandru Luca
UTR Belgrade M01 | Clay | Semifinals
17 Ene 2026, 13:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Achilles Belkovics
Achilles …: 60,5% Alexandru …: 39,5%
¿Por qué Achilles Belkovics?
UTR 12,72 vs 11,00 (+1,73) — Ligera ventaja
Achilles …
W36-L28
56% WR
vs UTR 12,2
L1
Alexandru …
W12-L17
41% WR
vs UTR 11,8
L2
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Achilles … Alexandru … Prob Impl. P1
Gamdom 1,18 3,68 84,7%
IA Fair Odds 1,65 2,53 60,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Achilles Belkovics
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,72 Pro
UTR Ranking #1365
Forma L5 50% (4p)
Forma L10 50% (4p)
WR Clay 0/0 = 0,0%
Alexandru Luca
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 11,00 General
UTR Ranking #5570
Forma L5 25% (4p)
Forma L10 25% (4p)
WR Clay 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Achilles Belkovics
Record 2025 36W - 28L (56%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 12,2
Últimos 5:
L W W L W
Alexandru Luca
Record 2025 12W - 17L (41%)
Racha 2L
UTR Oponentes 11,8
Últimos 5:
L L W L L
Análisis Momentum
Achilles Belkovics ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 12,2 vs 11,8).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2500
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 28,5714
momentum_p2 40,8163
momentum_diff -12,2449
weighted_momentum_diff -9,1837
current_streak_diff -3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 18,5911
serve_consistency_p2 11,1898
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 1,7300
utr_p1 0,5565
utr_p2 0,3529
utr_advantage 14,5807
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23303
API ID 15380774
Gamdom ID 605576
Torneo UTR Belgrade M01
Superficie Clay
Ronda Semifinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23303,
    "api_id": 15380774,
    "gamdom_id": 605576,
    "player1": "Achilles Belkovics",
    "player2": "Alexandru Luca",
    "tournament": "UTR Belgrade M01",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Semifinals",
    "date": "2026-01-17T09:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.18,
      "p2": 3.68
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.32,
      "p2": 4.15
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6047,
    "prob_p2": 0.3953,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6047,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.72,
      "utr_ranking": 1365,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 36,
      "utr_v4_losses": 28,
      "utr_v4_wr": 56.25,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.2,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.21,
          "opponent_name": "Petr Michnev"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.6,
          "opponent_name": "Sebastian Prechtel"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Kristian Tumbas Kajgo"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Adam Jurajda"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "David Schwarc"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:00.395020+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 11.0,
      "utr_ranking": 5570,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 12,
      "utr_v4_losses": 17,
      "utr_v4_wr": 41.37931034482759,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 2,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.83,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.87,
          "opponent_name": "Carles Cordoba"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Oleg Syrovatskiy"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Dragos Constantin Ignat"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.24,
          "opponent_name": "Stijn Paardekooper"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.02,
          "opponent_name": "Leon Formella"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:10.767606+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 25.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 25.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.72,
      "ranking": 1365,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.0,
      "ranking": 5570,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5564705882352942,
    "utr_p2": 0.35294117647058826,
    "utr_diff": 1.7300000000000004,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 28.571428571428577,
    "momentum_p2": 40.816326530612244,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.25,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": -12.244897959183668,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 14.580699536451752,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": -3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 18.591130489360037,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 11.18977536620787,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -9.183673469387756,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}