Franco Agamenone vs Andrea Collarini
Buenos Aires, Argentina | Clay | Final
17 Ene 2026, 18:00
17 Ene 2026, 18:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Andrea Collarini
Franco …: 50,0%
Andrea …: 50,0%
¿Por qué Andrea Collarini?
UTR 14,08 vs 14,26
(-0,21)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Franco … | Andrea … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,25 | 1,57 | 44,4% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,00 | 2,00 | 50,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Franco …: +8,9%
Andrea …: -8,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Franco Agamenone
Ranking
#279
UTR Rating
14,08 Pro
UTR Ranking
#345
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
57% (7p)
WR Clay
14/27 = 51,9%
Andrea Collarini
Ranking
#233
UTR Rating
14,26 Pro
UTR Ranking
#253
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Clay
32/56 = 57,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -95,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,7164 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,3335 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -79,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 69,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -5,2910 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -4,8011 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,4821 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 51,8519 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 57,1429 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 51,6129 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 56,6667 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 27,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 56,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0370 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,9000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9500 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 3,8019 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,1000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1,7000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 4,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -14,4000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,1310 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 98,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 98,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -0,0990 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,1429 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5263 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,6988 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,7752 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 1,7645 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1135 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0236 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,2100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7047 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7294 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,4899 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23309
API ID
15327994
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Buenos Aires, Argentina
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23309,
"api_id": 15327994,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Franco Agamenone",
"player2": "Andrea Collarini",
"tournament": "Buenos Aires, Argentina",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Final",
"date": "2026-01-17T14:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.25,
"p2": 1.5699999999999998
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.27,
"p2": 1.58
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4997,
"prob_p2": 0.5003,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5003,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 279,
"utr_singles": 14.08,
"utr_ranking": 345,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 51.85185185185185,
"wr_surface_wins": 14,
"wr_surface_total": 27,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 57.14285714285714,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 7
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 233,
"utr_singles": 14.26,
"utr_ranking": 253,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 57.14285714285714,
"wr_surface_wins": 32,
"wr_surface_total": 56,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.08,
"ranking": 345,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.26,
"ranking": 253,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.7047058823529412,
"utr_p2": 0.7294117647058823,
"utr_diff": -0.20999999999999908,
"rank_ratio": 0.7164179104477612,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
"points_diff": -79,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 4.0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.9,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 51.85185185185185,
"surface_wr_p2": 57.14285714285714,
"utr_advantage": -1.4898900319262085,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 69,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.3334916084830752,
"rank_advantage": -95,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.14285714285714285,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5263157894736842,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -5.291005291005291,
"bp_converted_diff": -14.399999999999999,
"p1_surface_matches": 27,
"p2_surface_matches": 56,
"serve_quality_diff": 3.8019047619047655,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.1309523809523805,
"combined_confidence": 0.95,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.10000000000000142,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.037037037037037035,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.698782266577691,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.77522700300679,
"surface_rank_synergy": 1.7645058649898158,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.61290322580645,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 56.666666666666664,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.7000000000000028,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.48214285714285715,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -0.09899999999998954,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.11351851851851846,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.023571428571428577,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -4.801075268817205,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}