Deni Zmak vs Stijn Paardekooper
UTR Carvoeiro M02 | Hard |
20 Ene 2026, 17:45
20 Ene 2026, 17:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Stijn Paardekooper
Deni …: 42,4%
Stijn …: 57,6%
¿Por qué Stijn Paardekooper?
UTR 13,00 vs 13,06
(-0,02)
— Niveles similares
Deni …
W20-L7
74% WR
vs UTR 12,6
L1
Stijn …
W104-L36
74% WR
vs UTR 12,5
W3
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Deni … | Stijn … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gamdom | 1,29 | 2,95 | 77,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,36 | 1,74 | 42,4% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Deni Zmak
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,00 Pro
UTR Ranking
#765
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Stijn Paardekooper
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,06 Pro
UTR Ranking
#1044
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Deni Zmak
Record 2025
20W - 7L (74%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
12,6
Últimos 5:
L
W
W
W
W
Stijn Paardekooper
Record 2025
104W - 36L (74%)
Racha
3W
UTR Oponentes
12,5
Últimos 5:
W
W
W
L
W
Análisis Momentum
Stijn Paardekooper en racha: 3 victorias seguidas.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 98,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -58,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -43,5000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -5,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,2518 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,0901 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,0200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5882 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5906 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,1537 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23344
API ID
15381802
Gamdom ID
606730
Torneo
UTR Carvoeiro M02
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23344,
"api_id": 15381802,
"gamdom_id": 606730,
"player1": "Deni Zmak",
"player2": "Stijn Paardekooper",
"tournament": "UTR Carvoeiro M02",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-20T13:45:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.29,
"p2": 2.95
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.32,
"p2": 3.13
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4244,
"prob_p2": 0.5756,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5756,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.0,
"utr_ranking": 765,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 20,
"utr_v4_losses": 7,
"utr_v4_wr": 74.07407407407408,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.6,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.0,
"opponent_name": "Radu David Turcanu"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.01,
"opponent_name": "Ali Habib"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.21,
"opponent_name": "Mirko Martinez"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.11,
"opponent_name": "Maximilian Homberg"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.84,
"opponent_name": "Marcel Volz"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:01.332445+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.06,
"utr_ranking": 1044,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 104,
"utr_v4_losses": 36,
"utr_v4_wr": 74.28571428571429,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 3,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.51,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Hikaru Takahashi"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Oren Ezerzer"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.64,
"opponent_name": "Roberto Ferrer Guimaraes"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.11,
"opponent_name": "Ryan Fishback"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.03,
"opponent_name": "Gabriele Vulpitta"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:41.739445+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 13.0,
"ranking": 765,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": 13.06,
"ranking": 1044,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.5882352941176471,
"utr_p2": 0.5905882352941176,
"utr_diff": -0.019999999999999574,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666667,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": -57.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": -0.15372790161413968,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": -5,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.251820887556374,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.090124456320083,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -43.5,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 4,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}