Guilherme Valdoleiros vs Ewen Lumsden
UTR Carvoeiro M02 | Hard |
21 Ene 2026, 00:25
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ewen Lumsden
Guilherme …: 27,7% Ewen …: 72,3%
¿Por qué Ewen Lumsden?
UTR 12,00 vs 13,24 (-1,18) — Ligera ventaja
Guilherme …
W37-L32
54% WR
vs UTR 12,3
W3
Ewen …
Sin datos
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Guilherme … Ewen … Prob Impl. P1
Gamdom 8,20 1,01 12,2%
IA Fair Odds 3,62 1,38 27,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Guilherme Valdoleiros
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,00 Pro
UTR Ranking #1596
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (8p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Ewen Lumsden
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,24 Pro
UTR Ranking #895
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 86% (7p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Guilherme Valdoleiros
Record 2025 37W - 32L (54%)
Racha 3W
UTR Oponentes 12,3
Últimos 5:
W W W L L
Ewen Lumsden
Sin datos UTR v4
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -15,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 0,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,6667
last3_wr_diff -0,6667
momentum_p1 44,4444
momentum_p2 100,0000
momentum_diff -55,5556
weighted_momentum_diff -41,6667
current_streak_diff -4,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 4,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 8,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 1,9525
serve_consistency_p2 5,5770
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -1,1800
utr_p1 0,4706
utr_p2 0,6094
utr_advantage -9,3725
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23356
API ID 15381798
Gamdom ID 606728
Torneo UTR Carvoeiro M02
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23356,
    "api_id": 15381798,
    "gamdom_id": 606728,
    "player1": "Guilherme Valdoleiros",
    "player2": "Ewen Lumsden",
    "tournament": "UTR Carvoeiro M02",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-20T20:25:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 8.2,
      "p2": 1.01
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 11.9,
      "p2": 1.02
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2766,
    "prob_p2": 0.7234,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7234,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 1596,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 37,
      "utr_v4_losses": 32,
      "utr_v4_wr": 53.62318840579711,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 3,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.27,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Ignacio Ayuso"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.72,
          "opponent_name": "Pedro Rodenas"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.43,
          "opponent_name": "Mikel Martinez"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.25,
          "opponent_name": "Nicholas David Ionel"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.93,
          "opponent_name": "Andrej Martin"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:33.108100+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 8
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.24,
      "utr_ranking": 895,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 85.71428571428571,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 7
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 1596,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 13.24,
      "ranking": 895,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.47058823529411764,
    "utr_p2": 0.6094117647058823,
    "utr_diff": -1.1799999999999997,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 44.44444444444445,
    "momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666667,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666667,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": -55.555555555555536,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": -9.372517871326448,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": -4,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 1.9524646427869048,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.577009571261486,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -41.666666666666664,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 4,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 8,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -15.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}