Alec Beckley vs Peter Sallay
UTR Trnava M01 | Hard |
19 Ene 2026, 12:00
19 Ene 2026, 12:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alec Beckley
Alec …: 63,5%
Peter …: 36,5%
¿Por qué Alec Beckley?
UTR 13,34 vs 12,46
(+0,89)
— Niveles similares
Alec …
W37-L21
64% WR
vs UTR 12,8
L1
Peter …
W26-L29
47% WR
vs UTR 12,3
L1
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (31%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alec … | Peter … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gamdom | 1,09 | 5,20 | 91,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,58 | 2,74 | 63,5% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alec Beckley
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,34 Pro
UTR Ranking
#825
Forma L5
50% (0p)
Forma L10
50% (0p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Peter Sallay
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
12,46 Pro
UTR Ranking
#1577
Forma L5
50% (0p)
Forma L10
50% (0p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Alec Beckley
Record 2025
37W - 21L (64%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
12,8
Últimos 5:
L
W
W
W
W
Peter Sallay
Record 2025
26W - 29L (47%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
12,3
Últimos 5:
L
W
L
W
L
Análisis Momentum
Momentum similar entre ambos jugadores.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -13,5778 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 6,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 2,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -1,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3267 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3133 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 49,6500 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 58,6000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 54,5000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 57,1000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 46,2000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 30,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,8900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,6294 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5247 | |
| utr_advantage | 6,8966 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23373
API ID
15380337
Gamdom ID
605301
Torneo
UTR Trnava M01
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23373,
"api_id": 15380337,
"gamdom_id": 605301,
"player1": "Alec Beckley",
"player2": "Peter Sallay",
"tournament": "UTR Trnava M01",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-19T08:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.09,
"p2": 5.2
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.2,
"p2": 6.1
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6348,
"prob_p2": 0.3652,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6348,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.34,
"utr_ranking": 825,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 37,
"utr_v4_losses": 21,
"utr_v4_wr": 63.793103448275865,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.79,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.38,
"opponent_name": "Matt Ponchet"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.21,
"opponent_name": "Petr Michnev"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.54,
"opponent_name": "Peter Goldsteiner"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Patrik Homola"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Vitek Horak"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:05.452427+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50,
"form_l10_wr": 50,
"form_l5_matches": 0,
"form_l10_matches": 0
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 12.46,
"utr_ranking": 1577,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 26,
"utr_v4_losses": 29,
"utr_v4_wr": 47.27272727272727,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.26,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.24,
"opponent_name": "Attila Dominik Boros"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Haru Kawanaka"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.89,
"opponent_name": "Daniel Siniakov"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.54,
"opponent_name": "Peter Goldsteiner"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.23,
"opponent_name": "Daniel De Jonge"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:12.298602+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50,
"form_l10_wr": 50,
"form_l5_matches": 0,
"form_l10_matches": 0
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 13.34,
"ranking": 825,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.46,
"ranking": 1577,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.6294117647058823,
"utr_p2": 0.5247058823529412,
"utr_diff": 0.8899999999999988,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 57.1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 6.896551724137921,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 46.2,
"p1_surface_matches": 2,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 49.65,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.0,
"combined_confidence": 0.31333333333333335,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 58.6,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -1.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 6.666666666666666,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 54.5,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0.0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 30,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -13.57777777777778,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}