Radovan Michalik vs Alec Beckley
UTR Trnava M01 | Hard |
20 Ene 2026, 12:00
20 Ene 2026, 12:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alec Beckley
Radovan …: 40,9%
Alec …: 59,1%
¿Por qué Alec Beckley?
UTR 12,61 vs 13,34
(-0,69)
— Niveles similares
Radovan …
W41-L30
58% WR
vs UTR 12,2
W1
Alec …
W37-L21
64% WR
vs UTR 12,8
L1
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (33%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Radovan … | Alec … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gamdom | 8,00 | 1,02 | 12,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,44 | 1,69 | 40,9% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Radovan Michalik
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
12,61 Pro
UTR Ranking
#1456
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
38% (8p)
WR Hard
0/1 = 0,0%
Alec Beckley
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,34 Pro
UTR Ranking
#825
Forma L5
100% (1p)
Forma L10
100% (1p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Radovan Michalik
Record 2025
41W - 30L (58%)
Racha
1W
UTR Oponentes
12,2
Últimos 5:
W
L
W
W
W
Alec Beckley
Record 2025
37W - 21L (64%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
12,8
Últimos 5:
L
W
W
W
W
Análisis Momentum
Momentum similar entre ambos jugadores.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 6,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 6,6667 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 2,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 2,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -1,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3267 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3267 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3267 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 17,2500 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 12,1000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 4,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -19,6000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 3,8000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 5,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,1000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,5000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -40,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -17,5000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 9,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 30,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 5,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 11,7265 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,6900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5482 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,6294 | |
| utr_advantage | -5,3057 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23378
API ID
15380311
Gamdom ID
605321
Torneo
UTR Trnava M01
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23378,
"api_id": 15380311,
"gamdom_id": 605321,
"player1": "Radovan Michalik",
"player2": "Alec Beckley",
"tournament": "UTR Trnava M01",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-20T08:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 8.0,
"p2": 1.02
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 11.9,
"p2": 1.02
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4094,
"prob_p2": 0.5906,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5906,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 12.61,
"utr_ranking": 1456,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 41,
"utr_v4_losses": 30,
"utr_v4_wr": 57.74647887323944,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.2,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Daniil Chizhuk"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Juan Ignacio Gallego"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Erik Gahnstr\u00f6m"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Jayden Saidizand"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.1,
"opponent_name": "Maximilian Oezcelik"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:15.470102+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 1,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 37.5,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 8
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.34,
"utr_ranking": 825,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 37,
"utr_v4_losses": 21,
"utr_v4_wr": 63.793103448275865,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.79,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.38,
"opponent_name": "Matt Ponchet"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.21,
"opponent_name": "Petr Michnev"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.54,
"opponent_name": "Peter Goldsteiner"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Patrik Homola"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Vitek Horak"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:05.452427+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 100.0,
"form_l5_matches": 1,
"form_l10_matches": 1
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.61,
"ranking": 1456,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 13.34,
"ranking": 825,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.548235294117647,
"utr_p2": 0.6294117647058823,
"utr_diff": -0.6899999999999995,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 10.0,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -19.6,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.5,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.09999999999999998,
"match_load_p1": 5,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -40.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
"p2_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": -5.305651672433676,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 5,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 3.799999999999997,
"p1_surface_matches": 2,
"p2_surface_matches": 2,
"serve_quality_diff": 17.250000000000007,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 5.0,
"combined_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
"current_streak_diff": -3,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 12.100000000000001,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -1.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 11.726539710464646,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 6.666666666666666,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 6.666666666666666,
"second_serve_won_diff": 4.0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -17.5,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 9,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}