Radovan Michalik vs Vitalii Hnidets
UTR Trnava M01 | Hard |
21 Ene 2026, 14:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Radovan Michalik
Radovan …: 80,4% Vitalii …: 19,6%
¿Por qué Radovan Michalik?
UTR 12,61 vs 11,00 (+1,66) — Ligera ventaja
Radovan …
W41-L30
58% WR
vs UTR 12,2
W1
Vitalii …
W8-L22
27% WR
vs UTR 11,7
W1
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (31%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Radovan … Vitalii … Prob Impl. P1
Gamdom 1,14 4,30 87,7%
IA Fair Odds 1,24 5,10 80,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Radovan Michalik
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,61 Pro
UTR Ranking #1456
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 33% (9p)
WR Hard 0/1 = 0,0%
Vitalii Hnidets
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 11,00 General
UTR Ranking #7147
Forma L5 0% (1p)
Forma L10 0% (1p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Radovan Michalik
Record 2025 41W - 30L (58%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 12,2
Últimos 5:
W L W W W
Vitalii Hnidets
Record 2025 8W - 22L (27%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 11,7
Últimos 5:
W L L L L
Análisis Momentum
Radovan Michalik ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 12,2 vs 11,7).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -13,5778
surface_matches_ratio 2,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 6,6667
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 2,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance -1,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3267
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3133
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 66,9000
first_serve_won_diff 70,7000
second_serve_won_diff 58,5000
bp_saved_diff 37,5000
bp_converted_diff 50,0000
aces_per_match_diff 7,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,1000
last3_wr_diff -0,5000
momentum_p1 10,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff -40,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -17,5000
current_streak_diff -3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 9,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 30,0000
match_load_p1 5,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 5,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 11,7265
serve_consistency_p2 10,0000
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 1,6600
utr_p1 0,5482
utr_p2 0,3529
utr_advantage 14,0321
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23379
API ID 15380321
Gamdom ID 605338
Torneo UTR Trnava M01
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23379,
    "api_id": 15380321,
    "gamdom_id": 605338,
    "player1": "Radovan Michalik",
    "player2": "Vitalii Hnidets",
    "tournament": "UTR Trnava M01",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-21T10:50:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.14,
      "p2": 4.3
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.13,
      "p2": 5.48
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8038,
    "prob_p2": 0.1962,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8038,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.61,
      "utr_ranking": 1456,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 41,
      "utr_v4_losses": 30,
      "utr_v4_wr": 57.74647887323944,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.2,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Daniil Chizhuk"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Juan Ignacio Gallego"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Erik Gahnstr\u00f6m"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Jayden Saidizand"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.1,
          "opponent_name": "Maximilian Oezcelik"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:15.470102+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 1,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 9
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 11.0,
      "utr_ranking": 7147,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 8,
      "utr_v4_losses": 22,
      "utr_v4_wr": 26.666666666666668,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.68,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.47,
          "opponent_name": "Patric Prinoth"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.73,
          "opponent_name": "Adam Gabor Szoke"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.86,
          "opponent_name": "Stepan Baum"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Zden\u011bk D\u011brkas"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.47,
          "opponent_name": "Jan Klimas"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:59.428707+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 1,
      "form_l10_matches": 1
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.61,
      "ranking": 1456,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.0,
      "ranking": 7147,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.548235294117647,
    "utr_p2": 0.35294117647058826,
    "utr_diff": 1.6600000000000001,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 10.0,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 37.5,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.5,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.09999999999999998,
    "match_load_p1": 5,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -40.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 14.032121724429416,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 5,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 50.0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 2,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 66.9,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 7.0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.31333333333333335,
    "current_streak_diff": -3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 70.7,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -1.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 11.726539710464646,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 6.666666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 58.5,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 2.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -17.5,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 9,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -13.57777777777778,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}