Vitalii Hnidets vs Alec Beckley
UTR Trnava M01 | Hard |
22 Ene 2026, 12:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alec Beckley
Vitalii …: 25,9% Alec …: 74,1%
¿Por qué Alec Beckley?
UTR 11,00 vs 13,34 (-2,35) — Ventaja clara
Vitalii …
W8-L22
27% WR
vs UTR 11,7
W1
Alec …
W37-L21
64% WR
vs UTR 12,8
L1
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (31%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Vitalii … Alec … Prob Impl. P1
Gamdom 8,80 1,01 11,4%
IA Fair Odds 3,86 1,35 25,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Vitalii Hnidets
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 11,00 General
UTR Ranking #7147
Forma L5 0% (2p)
Forma L10 0% (2p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Alec Beckley
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,34 Pro
UTR Ranking #825
Forma L5 100% (2p)
Forma L10 100% (2p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Vitalii Hnidets
Record 2025 8W - 22L (27%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 11,7
Últimos 5:
W L L L L
Alec Beckley
Record 2025 37W - 21L (64%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 12,8
Últimos 5:
L W W W W
Análisis Momentum
Alec Beckley ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 12,8 vs 11,7).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 13,5778
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 6,6667
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 2,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3267
combined_confidence 0,3133
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -49,6500
first_serve_won_diff -58,6000
second_serve_won_diff -54,5000
bp_saved_diff -57,1000
bp_converted_diff -46,2000
aces_per_match_diff -2,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 50,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,0000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 30,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 30,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 10,0000
serve_consistency_p2 10,0000
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -2,3500
utr_p1 0,3529
utr_p2 0,6294
utr_advantage -19,3018
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23382
API ID 15380336
Gamdom ID 605299
Torneo UTR Trnava M01
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23382,
    "api_id": 15380336,
    "gamdom_id": 605299,
    "player1": "Vitalii Hnidets",
    "player2": "Alec Beckley",
    "tournament": "UTR Trnava M01",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-22T08:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 8.8,
      "p2": 1.01
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 17.5,
      "p2": 1.01
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2594,
    "prob_p2": 0.7406,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7406,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 11.0,
      "utr_ranking": 7147,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 8,
      "utr_v4_losses": 22,
      "utr_v4_wr": 26.666666666666668,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.68,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.47,
          "opponent_name": "Patric Prinoth"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.73,
          "opponent_name": "Adam Gabor Szoke"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.86,
          "opponent_name": "Stepan Baum"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Zden\u011bk D\u011brkas"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.47,
          "opponent_name": "Jan Klimas"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:59.428707+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 2,
      "form_l10_matches": 2
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.34,
      "utr_ranking": 825,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 37,
      "utr_v4_losses": 21,
      "utr_v4_wr": 63.793103448275865,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.79,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.38,
          "opponent_name": "Matt Ponchet"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.21,
          "opponent_name": "Petr Michnev"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.54,
          "opponent_name": "Peter Goldsteiner"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Patrik Homola"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Vitek Horak"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:05.452427+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 2,
      "form_l10_matches": 2
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.0,
      "ranking": 7147,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 13.34,
      "ranking": 825,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.35294117647058826,
    "utr_p2": 0.6294117647058823,
    "utr_diff": -2.3499999999999996,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 50.0,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -57.1,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": -19.301848049281308,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": -46.2,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 2,
    "serve_quality_diff": -49.65,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -2.0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.31333333333333335,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -58.6,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 6.666666666666666,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -54.5,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 30,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 13.57777777777778,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}