Roman Garkavenko vs Peter Alam
UTR Trnava M01 | Hard |
19 Ene 2026, 16:25
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Peter Alam
Roman …: 24,5% Peter …: 75,5%
¿Por qué Peter Alam?
UTR 11,00 vs 12,74 (-1,73) — Ligera ventaja
Roman …
W15-L26
37% WR
vs UTR 12,1
L1
Peter …
W24-L24
50% WR
vs UTR 12,0
L1
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Roman … Peter … Prob Impl. P1
Gamdom 3,55 1,21 28,2%
IA Fair Odds 4,08 1,32 24,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Roman Garkavenko
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 11,00 General
UTR Ranking #4654
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 20% (10p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Peter Alam
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,74 Pro
UTR Ranking #1350
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Roman Garkavenko
Record 2025 15W - 26L (37%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 12,1
Últimos 5:
L W L W L
Peter Alam
Record 2025 24W - 24L (50%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 12,0
Últimos 5:
L W W L L
Análisis Momentum
Momentum similar entre ambos jugadores.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,6000
last3_wr_diff -0,6667
momentum_p1 2,0000
momentum_p2 60,0000
momentum_diff -58,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -43,5000
current_streak_diff -3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 8,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 29,0000
match_load_p1 5,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 5,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 8,7998
serve_consistency_p2 5,1809
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -1,7300
utr_p1 0,3529
utr_p2 0,5565
utr_advantage -14,5807
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23387
API ID 15381338
Gamdom ID 606465
Torneo UTR Trnava M01
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23387,
    "api_id": 15381338,
    "gamdom_id": 606465,
    "player1": "Roman Garkavenko",
    "player2": "Peter Alam",
    "tournament": "UTR Trnava M01",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-19T12:25:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 3.55,
      "p2": 1.21
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 4.05,
      "p2": 1.33
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2452,
    "prob_p2": 0.7548,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7548,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 11.0,
      "utr_ranking": 4654,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 15,
      "utr_v4_losses": 26,
      "utr_v4_wr": 36.58536585365854,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.1,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.3,
          "opponent_name": "Luka Vuglar"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.51,
          "opponent_name": "Tymofii Milovanov"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Janos FEKETE"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.86,
          "opponent_name": "Enrique Bogo"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.36,
          "opponent_name": "Peetu Pohjola"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:22.840502+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.74,
      "utr_ranking": 1350,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 24,
      "utr_v4_losses": 24,
      "utr_v4_wr": 50.0,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.0,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.97,
          "opponent_name": "Jonas GUNDACKER"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Tomas Talajka"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.6,
          "opponent_name": "Sebastian Prechtel"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.23,
          "opponent_name": "Daniel De Jonge"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Oscar Brown"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:11.098980+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.0,
      "ranking": 4654,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.74,
      "ranking": 1350,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.35294117647058826,
    "utr_p2": 0.5564705882352942,
    "utr_diff": -1.7300000000000004,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 2.0,
    "momentum_p2": 60.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.6000000000000001,
    "match_load_p1": 5,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -58.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": -14.580699536451752,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 5,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": -3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.799799997513492,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.180917188639397,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -43.5,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 8,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 29,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}