Xavier Jakubovic vs Gergely Madarasz
UTR Trnava M01 | Hard |
21 Ene 2026, 17:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Gergely Madarasz
Xavier …: 23,7% Gergely …: 76,3%
¿Por qué Gergely Madarasz?
UTR 12,00 vs 13,18 (-2,17) — Ventaja clara
Xavier …
W11-L20
35% WR
vs UTR 12,0
W1
Gergely …
W78-L25
76% WR
vs UTR 12,4
W6
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Xavier … Gergely … Prob Impl. P1
Gamdom 8,40 1,01 11,9%
IA Fair Odds 4,21 1,31 23,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Xavier Jakubovic
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,00 Pro
UTR Ranking #1976
Forma L5 0% (2p)
Forma L10 0% (2p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Gergely Madarasz
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,18 Pro
UTR Ranking #945
Forma L5 67% (3p)
Forma L10 67% (3p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Xavier Jakubovic
Record 2025 11W - 20L (35%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 12,0
Últimos 5:
W L W W L
Gergely Madarasz
Record 2025 78W - 25L (76%)
Racha 6W
UTR Oponentes 12,4
Últimos 5:
W W W W W
Análisis Momentum
Gergely Madarasz en racha: 6 victorias seguidas.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,5000
last3_wr_diff -0,5000
momentum_p1 50,0000
momentum_p2 100,0000
momentum_diff -50,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -50,0000
current_streak_diff -2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 30,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 42,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 10,0000
serve_consistency_p2 2,7174
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -2,1700
utr_p1 0,3529
utr_p2 0,6082
utr_advantage -17,9561
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23392
API ID 15380309
Gamdom ID 605313
Torneo UTR Trnava M01
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23392,
    "api_id": 15380309,
    "gamdom_id": 605313,
    "player1": "Xavier Jakubovic",
    "player2": "Gergely Madarasz",
    "tournament": "UTR Trnava M01",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-21T13:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 8.4,
      "p2": 1.01
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 13.5,
      "p2": 1.01
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2374,
    "prob_p2": 0.7626,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7626,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 1976,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 11,
      "utr_v4_losses": 20,
      "utr_v4_wr": 35.483870967741936,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.99,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.57,
          "opponent_name": "Juliusz Bienkiewicz"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Michael Savano"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Marcel Musil"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Tomas Talajka"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.97,
          "opponent_name": "Jonas GUNDACKER"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:59:01.859374+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 2,
      "form_l10_matches": 2
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.18,
      "utr_ranking": 945,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 78,
      "utr_v4_losses": 25,
      "utr_v4_wr": 75.72815533980582,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 6,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.44,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.28,
          "opponent_name": "Botond Kisantal"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.58,
          "opponent_name": "Vardan Manukyan"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Luka Plosnic"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.53,
          "opponent_name": "Aleksandar Mihailovic"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.99,
          "opponent_name": "Tadija Radovanovic"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:30.910355+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "form_l5_matches": 3,
      "form_l10_matches": 3
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 1976,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 13.18,
      "ranking": 945,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.35294117647058826,
    "utr_p2": 0.6082352941176471,
    "utr_diff": -2.17,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 50.0,
    "momentum_p2": 100.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.5,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.5,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -50.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": -17.956143980140666,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": -2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 2.717391304347828,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -50.0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 30,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 42,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}