Xavier Jakubovic vs Peter Alam
UTR Trnava M01 | Hard |
22 Ene 2026, 12:00
22 Ene 2026, 12:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Peter Alam
Xavier …: 28,2%
Peter …: 71,8%
¿Por qué Peter Alam?
UTR 12,00 vs 12,74
(-1,73)
— Ligera ventaja
Xavier …
W11-L20
35% WR
vs UTR 12,0
W1
Peter …
W24-L24
50% WR
vs UTR 12,0
L1
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Xavier … | Peter … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gamdom | 3,90 | 1,17 | 25,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,54 | 1,39 | 28,2% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Xavier Jakubovic
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
12,00 Pro
UTR Ranking
#1976
Forma L5
0% (3p)
Forma L10
0% (3p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Peter Alam
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
12,74 Pro
UTR Ranking
#1350
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Xavier Jakubovic
Record 2025
11W - 20L (35%)
Racha
1W
UTR Oponentes
12,0
Últimos 5:
W
L
W
W
L
Peter Alam
Record 2025
24W - 24L (50%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
12,0
Últimos 5:
L
W
W
L
L
Análisis Momentum
Momentum similar entre ambos jugadores.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,3000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,1667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -10,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -20,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 29,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,1809 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -1,7300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,3529 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5565 | |
| utr_advantage | -14,5807 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23394
API ID
15380324
Gamdom ID
605323
Torneo
UTR Trnava M01
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23394,
"api_id": 15380324,
"gamdom_id": 605323,
"player1": "Xavier Jakubovic",
"player2": "Peter Alam",
"tournament": "UTR Trnava M01",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-22T08:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 3.9,
"p2": 1.17
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 4.25,
"p2": 1.18
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2824,
"prob_p2": 0.7176,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7176,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 12.0,
"utr_ranking": 1976,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 11,
"utr_v4_losses": 20,
"utr_v4_wr": 35.483870967741936,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.99,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.57,
"opponent_name": "Juliusz Bienkiewicz"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Michael Savano"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Marcel Musil"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Tomas Talajka"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.97,
"opponent_name": "Jonas GUNDACKER"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:59:01.859374+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 0.0,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 12.74,
"utr_ranking": 1350,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 24,
"utr_v4_losses": 24,
"utr_v4_wr": 50.0,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.0,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.97,
"opponent_name": "Jonas GUNDACKER"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Tomas Talajka"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.6,
"opponent_name": "Sebastian Prechtel"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.23,
"opponent_name": "Daniel De Jonge"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Oscar Brown"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:11.098980+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.0,
"ranking": 1976,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.74,
"ranking": 1350,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.35294117647058826,
"utr_p2": 0.5564705882352942,
"utr_diff": -1.7300000000000004,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 60.0,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.16666666666666663,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.30000000000000004,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -10.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": -14.580699536451752,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.180917188639397,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -20.0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 30,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 29,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}