Aleksandr Braynin vs Otso Martikainen
UTR Trnava M01 | Hard |
21 Ene 2026, 12:00
21 Ene 2026, 12:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Aleksandr Braynin
Aleksandr …: 73,2%
Otso …: 26,8%
¿Por qué Aleksandr Braynin?
UTR 13,02 vs 12,00
(+1,02)
— Ligera ventaja
Aleksandr …
W30-L35
46% WR
vs UTR 13,0
W1
Otso …
W46-L21
69% WR
vs UTR 11,5
W4
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (32%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Aleksandr … | Otso … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gamdom | 1,07 | 5,60 | 93,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,37 | 3,73 | 73,2% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Aleksandr Braynin
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,02 Pro
UTR Ranking
#1074
Forma L5
67% (3p)
Forma L10
67% (3p)
WR Hard
0/1 = 0,0%
Otso Martikainen
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
12,00 Pro
UTR Ranking
#1635
Forma L5
0% (2p)
Forma L10
0% (2p)
WR Hard
0/1 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Aleksandr Braynin
Record 2025
30W - 35L (46%)
Racha
1W
UTR Oponentes
13,0
Últimos 5:
W
L
L
W
W
Otso Martikainen
Record 2025
46W - 21L (69%)
Racha
4W
UTR Oponentes
11,5
Últimos 5:
W
W
W
W
L
Análisis Momentum
Otso Martikainen en racha: 4 victorias seguidas.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 2,7429 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 3,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 8,5714 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 3,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -1,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3400 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3200 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 51,4633 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 62,7000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 42,6000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 56,2000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 25,7000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,6667 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 1,5000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 98,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 78,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 1,0200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5906 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4706 | |
| utr_advantage | 8,1535 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23399
API ID
15380341
Gamdom ID
605304
Torneo
UTR Trnava M01
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23399,
"api_id": 15380341,
"gamdom_id": 605304,
"player1": "Aleksandr Braynin",
"player2": "Otso Martikainen",
"tournament": "UTR Trnava M01",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-21T08:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.07,
"p2": 5.6
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.08,
"p2": 6.65
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7316,
"prob_p2": 0.2684,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7316,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.02,
"utr_ranking": 1074,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 30,
"utr_v4_losses": 35,
"utr_v4_wr": 46.15384615384615,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.99,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Karim Mabrouk"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.11,
"opponent_name": "Michael Bassem Sobhy"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.52,
"opponent_name": "Nikolay Vylegzhanin"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.78,
"opponent_name": "Luca Potenza"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.98,
"opponent_name": "Dimitris Azoidis"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:07.195614+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 1,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 12.0,
"utr_ranking": 1635,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 46,
"utr_v4_losses": 21,
"utr_v4_wr": 68.65671641791045,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 4,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.45,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Lauri Kiiski"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Ville-Petteri AHTI"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Juho-Eric Biggs"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Santtu Leskinen"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 14.38,
"opponent_name": "Edas Butvilas"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:07.510597+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 1,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 0.0,
"form_l5_matches": 2,
"form_l10_matches": 2
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 13.02,
"ranking": 1074,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.0,
"ranking": 1635,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.5905882352941176,
"utr_p2": 0.47058823529411764,
"utr_diff": 1.0199999999999996,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 0.0,
"momentum_p2": 0.0,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 56.20000000000001,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.33999999999999997,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 8.153477218225417,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 25.7,
"p1_surface_matches": 3,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 51.46333333333334,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.6666666666666665,
"combined_confidence": 0.31999999999999995,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 62.70000000000001,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -1.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 8.571428571428571,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 42.6,
"surface_matches_ratio": 3.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 1.5,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 98,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 78,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.7428571428571424,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}