Tomas Talajka vs Botond Kisantal
UTR Trnava M01 | Hard |
21 Ene 2026, 13:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Botond Kisantal
Tomas …: 22,6% Botond …: 77,5%
¿Por qué Botond Kisantal?
UTR 11,00 vs 12,32 (-1,31) — Ligera ventaja
Tomas …
W7-L26
21% WR
vs UTR 11,7
L6
Botond …
W35-L41
46% WR
vs UTR 12,2
L1
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Tomas … Botond … Prob Impl. P1
Gamdom 3,90 1,17 25,6%
IA Fair Odds 4,43 1,29 22,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tomas Talajka
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 11,00 General
UTR Ranking #6094
Forma L5 0% (5p)
Forma L10 0% (5p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Botond Kisantal
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,32 Pro
UTR Ranking #1697
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 33% (9p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Tomas Talajka
Record 2025 7W - 26L (21%)
Racha 6L
UTR Oponentes 11,7
Últimos 5:
L L L L L
Botond Kisantal
Record 2025 35W - 41L (46%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 12,2
Últimos 5:
L W W L W
Análisis Momentum
Botond Kisantal ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 12,2 vs 11,7).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 0,0000
momentum_p2 8,0000
momentum_diff -8,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -6,0000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 29,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 3,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff -4,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 2,5923
serve_consistency_p2 9,4679
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -1,3100
utr_p1 0,3529
utr_p2 0,5071
utr_advantage -11,2398
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23404
API ID 15380319
Gamdom ID 605333
Torneo UTR Trnava M01
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23404,
    "api_id": 15380319,
    "gamdom_id": 605333,
    "player1": "Tomas Talajka",
    "player2": "Botond Kisantal",
    "tournament": "UTR Trnava M01",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-21T09:40:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 3.9,
      "p2": 1.17
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 4.21,
      "p2": 1.18
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2255,
    "prob_p2": 0.7745,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7745,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 11.0,
      "utr_ranking": 6094,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 7,
      "utr_v4_losses": 26,
      "utr_v4_wr": 21.21212121212121,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 6,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.66,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.8,
          "opponent_name": "Xavier Jakubovic"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.6,
          "opponent_name": "Sebastian Prechtel"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.54,
          "opponent_name": "Peter Alam"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Oscar Brown"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.23,
          "opponent_name": "Daniel De Jonge"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:51.678177+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 5
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.32,
      "utr_ranking": 1697,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 35,
      "utr_v4_losses": 41,
      "utr_v4_wr": 46.05263157894737,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.15,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.03,
          "opponent_name": "Gergely Madarasz"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.2,
          "opponent_name": "Herman Hoeyeraal"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.44,
          "opponent_name": "Obrad Markovski"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.44,
          "opponent_name": "Semen Pankin"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Joshua Oakley"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:39.924638+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 9
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.0,
      "ranking": 6094,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.32,
      "ranking": 1697,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.35294117647058826,
    "utr_p2": 0.5070588235294118,
    "utr_diff": -1.3100000000000005,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 0.0,
    "momentum_p2": 8.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.2,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": -8.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": -11.239811239811242,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -4,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 2.5922672318670172,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.46789358529322,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -6.0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 29,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}