Tomas Talajka vs Aleksandr Braynin
UTR Trnava M01 | Hard |
19 Ene 2026, 14:30
19 Ene 2026, 14:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Aleksandr Braynin
Tomas …: 22,7%
Aleksandr …: 77,3%
¿Por qué Aleksandr Braynin?
UTR 11,00 vs 13,02
(-2,02)
— Ventaja clara
Tomas …
W7-L26
21% WR
vs UTR 11,7
L6
Aleksandr …
W30-L35
46% WR
vs UTR 13,0
W1
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (32%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Tomas … | Aleksandr … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gamdom | 7,20 | 1,03 | 13,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 4,41 | 1,29 | 22,7% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tomas Talajka
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
11,00 General
UTR Ranking
#6094
Forma L5
0% (3p)
Forma L10
0% (3p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Aleksandr Braynin
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,02 Pro
UTR Ranking
#1074
Forma L5
0% (1p)
Forma L10
0% (1p)
WR Hard
0/1 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Tomas Talajka
Record 2025
7W - 26L (21%)
Racha
6L
UTR Oponentes
11,7
Últimos 5:
L
L
L
L
L
Aleksandr Braynin
Record 2025
30W - 35L (46%)
Racha
1W
UTR Oponentes
13,0
Últimos 5:
W
L
L
W
W
Análisis Momentum
Aleksandr Braynin ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 13,0 vs 11,7).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 13,2571 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 8,5714 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 3,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3400 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3200 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -51,4633 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -62,7000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -42,6000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -56,2000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -25,7000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -3,6667 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -1,5000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 29,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 98,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 2,5923 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -2,0200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,3529 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5906 | |
| utr_advantage | -16,8193 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23405
API ID
15380333
Gamdom ID
605300
Torneo
UTR Trnava M01
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23405,
"api_id": 15380333,
"gamdom_id": 605300,
"player1": "Tomas Talajka",
"player2": "Aleksandr Braynin",
"tournament": "UTR Trnava M01",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-19T10:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 7.2,
"p2": 1.03
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 8.77,
"p2": 1.13
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2267,
"prob_p2": 0.7733,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7733,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 11.0,
"utr_ranking": 6094,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 7,
"utr_v4_losses": 26,
"utr_v4_wr": 21.21212121212121,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 6,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.66,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.8,
"opponent_name": "Xavier Jakubovic"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.6,
"opponent_name": "Sebastian Prechtel"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.54,
"opponent_name": "Peter Alam"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Oscar Brown"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.23,
"opponent_name": "Daniel De Jonge"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:51.678177+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 0.0,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.02,
"utr_ranking": 1074,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 30,
"utr_v4_losses": 35,
"utr_v4_wr": 46.15384615384615,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.99,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Karim Mabrouk"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.11,
"opponent_name": "Michael Bassem Sobhy"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.52,
"opponent_name": "Nikolay Vylegzhanin"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.78,
"opponent_name": "Luca Potenza"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.98,
"opponent_name": "Dimitris Azoidis"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:07.195614+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 1,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 0.0,
"form_l5_matches": 1,
"form_l10_matches": 1
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.0,
"ranking": 6094,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": 13.02,
"ranking": 1074,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.35294117647058826,
"utr_p2": 0.5905882352941176,
"utr_diff": -2.0199999999999996,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 0.0,
"momentum_p2": 0.0,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -56.20000000000001,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.33999999999999997,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": -16.819317235636966,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": -25.7,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 3,
"serve_quality_diff": -51.46333333333334,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -3.6666666666666665,
"combined_confidence": 0.31999999999999995,
"current_streak_diff": -2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -62.70000000000001,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 2.5922672318670172,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 8.571428571428571,
"second_serve_won_diff": -42.6,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -1.5,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 29,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 98,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 13.257142857142856,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}