Tomas Talajka vs Aleksandr Braynin
UTR Trnava M01 | Hard |
19 Ene 2026, 14:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Aleksandr Braynin
Tomas …: 22,7% Aleksandr …: 77,3%
¿Por qué Aleksandr Braynin?
UTR 11,00 vs 13,02 (-2,02) — Ventaja clara
Tomas …
W7-L26
21% WR
vs UTR 11,7
L6
Aleksandr …
W30-L35
46% WR
vs UTR 13,0
W1
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (32%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Tomas … Aleksandr … Prob Impl. P1
Gamdom 7,20 1,03 13,9%
IA Fair Odds 4,41 1,29 22,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tomas Talajka
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 11,00 General
UTR Ranking #6094
Forma L5 0% (3p)
Forma L10 0% (3p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Aleksandr Braynin
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,02 Pro
UTR Ranking #1074
Forma L5 0% (1p)
Forma L10 0% (1p)
WR Hard 0/1 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Tomas Talajka
Record 2025 7W - 26L (21%)
Racha 6L
UTR Oponentes 11,7
Últimos 5:
L L L L L
Aleksandr Braynin
Record 2025 30W - 35L (46%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 13,0
Últimos 5:
W L L W W
Análisis Momentum
Aleksandr Braynin ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 13,0 vs 11,7).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 13,2571
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 8,5714
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 3,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3400
combined_confidence 0,3200
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -51,4633
first_serve_won_diff -62,7000
second_serve_won_diff -42,6000
bp_saved_diff -56,2000
bp_converted_diff -25,7000
aces_per_match_diff -3,6667
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 0,0000
momentum_p2 0,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -1,5000
current_streak_diff -2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 29,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 98,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 2,5923
serve_consistency_p2 10,0000
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -2,0200
utr_p1 0,3529
utr_p2 0,5906
utr_advantage -16,8193
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23405
API ID 15380333
Gamdom ID 605300
Torneo UTR Trnava M01
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23405,
    "api_id": 15380333,
    "gamdom_id": 605300,
    "player1": "Tomas Talajka",
    "player2": "Aleksandr Braynin",
    "tournament": "UTR Trnava M01",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-19T10:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 7.2,
      "p2": 1.03
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 8.77,
      "p2": 1.13
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2267,
    "prob_p2": 0.7733,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7733,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 11.0,
      "utr_ranking": 6094,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 7,
      "utr_v4_losses": 26,
      "utr_v4_wr": 21.21212121212121,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 6,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.66,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.8,
          "opponent_name": "Xavier Jakubovic"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.6,
          "opponent_name": "Sebastian Prechtel"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.54,
          "opponent_name": "Peter Alam"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Oscar Brown"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.23,
          "opponent_name": "Daniel De Jonge"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:51.678177+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 3,
      "form_l10_matches": 3
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.02,
      "utr_ranking": 1074,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 30,
      "utr_v4_losses": 35,
      "utr_v4_wr": 46.15384615384615,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.99,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Karim Mabrouk"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.11,
          "opponent_name": "Michael Bassem Sobhy"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.52,
          "opponent_name": "Nikolay Vylegzhanin"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.78,
          "opponent_name": "Luca Potenza"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.98,
          "opponent_name": "Dimitris Azoidis"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:07.195614+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 1,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 1,
      "form_l10_matches": 1
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.0,
      "ranking": 6094,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 13.02,
      "ranking": 1074,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.35294117647058826,
    "utr_p2": 0.5905882352941176,
    "utr_diff": -2.0199999999999996,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 0.0,
    "momentum_p2": 0.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -56.20000000000001,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.33999999999999997,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": -16.819317235636966,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": -25.7,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 3,
    "serve_quality_diff": -51.46333333333334,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -3.6666666666666665,
    "combined_confidence": 0.31999999999999995,
    "current_streak_diff": -2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -62.70000000000001,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 2.5922672318670172,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 8.571428571428571,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -42.6,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -1.5,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 29,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 98,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 13.257142857142856,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}