Mackenzie McDonald vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Indian Wells | Hard | Round of 128
06 Mar 2025, 21:00
06 Mar 2025, 21:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Mackenzie … | Alejandro … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Mackenzie McDonald
Ranking
#112
UTR Rating
14.83 Pro
UTR Ranking
#110
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (5p)
WR Hard
42/74 = 56.8%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Ranking
#14
UTR Rating
15.86 Pro
UTR Ranking
#17
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
47/80 = 58.8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -98.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.1250 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -2.0794 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -3.0000 | |
| points_diff | -2076.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -23.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -4.2700 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -1.9231 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.9250 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 55.7428 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 60.0128 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 56.4103 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 58.3333 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 74.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 80.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.1351 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 3.6294 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1.1285 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0.0407 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2.2783 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 1.2341 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1.5265 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 60.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -20.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -22.8300 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 21.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 4.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -5.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -1.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.5725 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.8038 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.4643 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.5227 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8.8538 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6.5790 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 8.8792 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.1554 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.0021 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -1.0300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.8035 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.9247 | |
| utr_advantage | -6.7123 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1073
utr_advantage
0.0633
utr_diff
0.0422
surface_rank_synergy
0.0278
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0246
elite_surface_amplifier
0.0231
points_diff
0.0218
utr_both_pro
0.0203
rank_ratio
0.0183
rank_advantage
0.0182
Info del Partido
Match ID
2344
API ID
13563085
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Indian Wells
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"api_id": 13563085,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Mackenzie McDonald",
"player2": "Alejandro Davidovich Fokina",
"tournament": "Indian Wells",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2025-03-06T21:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
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"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 14.83,
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"wr_surface": 56.75675675675676,
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"wr_surface_total": 74,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 15.86,
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"wr_surface": 58.75,
"wr_surface_wins": 47,
"wr_surface_total": 80,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"features": {
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"best_rank_diff": -23,
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"p1_surface_matches": 74,
"p2_surface_matches": 80,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.13513513513513514,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 3.629436594439184,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.1285119739595473,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.04065444224541892,
"bp_saved_diff": -2.2782540362139514,
"bp_converted_diff": 1.2340847278851683,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.526492137392891,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 60.0,
"momentum_diff": -20.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -22.830000000000013,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 21,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 4,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"match_load_diff": -5,
"h2h_wins_diff": -1,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5725190839694656,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8038147138964578,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4642857142857143,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5227272727272727,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.853772312326564,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.578981760313751,
"surface_rank_synergy": 8.879202765360137,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.15542793791574283,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.002127877237851683,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -1.0299999999999994,
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"utr_p2": 0.9247058823529412,
"utr_advantage": -6.712284131638967,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0182",
"rank_ratio": "0.0183",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.017",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0156",
"points_diff": "0.0218",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0153",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1073",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0246",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0131",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0126",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0118",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0119",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0127",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0129",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0146",
"p1_confidence": "0.0153",
"p2_confidence": "0.0103",
"combined_confidence": "0.0119",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0128",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0129",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0117",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.012",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0124",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0121",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0109",
"momentum_diff": "0.0138",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.013",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0153",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0134",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0115",
"match_load_p1": "0.0128",
"match_load_p2": "0.013",
"match_load_diff": "0.0118",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0148",
"h2h_matches": "0.0081",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0143",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0079",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.013",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0138",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0126",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0116",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0121",
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"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0127",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0135",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0231",
"utr_diff": "0.0422",
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"utr_p2": "0.012",
"utr_advantage": "0.0633",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0203",
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}