Mirjana Jovanovic vs Rachael Phelan
UTR Carvoeiro W02 | Hard |
20 Ene 2026, 13:00
20 Ene 2026, 13:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Mirjana Jovanovic
Mirjana …: 75,0%
Rachael …: 25,0%
¿Por qué Mirjana Jovanovic?
UTR 9,69 vs 8,00
(+1,69)
— Ligera ventaja
Mirjana …
W27-L44
38% WR
vs UTR 9,9
L3
Rachael …
W8-L14
36% WR
vs UTR 8,5
L8
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Mirjana … | Rachael … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gamdom | 1,03 | 7,00 | 97,1% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,33 | 4,00 | 75,0% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Mirjana Jovanovic
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
9,69 Pro
UTR Ranking
#1194
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
17% (6p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Rachael Phelan
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
8,00 General
UTR Ranking
#5790
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (5p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Mirjana Jovanovic
Record 2025
27W - 44L (38%)
Racha
3L
UTR Oponentes
9,9
Últimos 5:
L
L
L
W
W
Rachael Phelan
Record 2025
8W - 14L (36%)
Racha
8L
UTR Oponentes
8,5
Últimos 5:
L
L
L
L
L
Análisis Momentum
Mirjana Jovanovic ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 9,9 vs 8,5).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,1500 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,8163 | |
| momentum_p2 | 32,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 8,8163 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 6,6122 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 9,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,6670 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,0665 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 1,6900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,1988 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| utr_advantage | 19,1068 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23465
API ID
15381682
Gamdom ID
606691
Torneo
UTR Carvoeiro W02
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23465,
"api_id": 15381682,
"gamdom_id": 606691,
"player1": "Mirjana Jovanovic",
"player2": "Rachael Phelan",
"tournament": "UTR Carvoeiro W02",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-20T09:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.03,
"p2": 7.0
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.05,
"p2": 8.0
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7503,
"prob_p2": 0.2497,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7503,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 9.69,
"utr_ranking": 1194,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 27,
"utr_v4_losses": 44,
"utr_v4_wr": 38.028169014084504,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 3,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.9,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.63,
"opponent_name": "Ekaterina Maklakova"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.4,
"opponent_name": "Maria Kalyakina"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 9.87,
"opponent_name": "Sarafina Olivia Hansen"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Zejda Veljacic"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Valeryia Darashuk"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:53.522862+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 16.666666666666664,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 6
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 8.0,
"utr_ranking": 5790,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 8,
"utr_v4_losses": 14,
"utr_v4_wr": 36.36363636363637,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 8,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 8.49,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Samaya Smith"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Armira Kockinis"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.54,
"opponent_name": "Kylie Mckenzie"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Tanvi Pandey"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Kara Garcia"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:14.915916+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 9.69,
"ranking": 1194,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 8.0,
"ranking": 5790,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.19882352941176465,
"utr_p2": 0.0,
"utr_diff": 1.6899999999999995,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 40.816326530612244,
"momentum_p2": 32.0,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.15000000000000002,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": 8.816326530612244,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 19.106840022611642,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.6669507900837,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.066510358376225,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 6.612244897959187,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 9,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}