Yelizaveta Trush vs Yuliya Hatouka
UTR Carvoeiro W02 | Hard |
24 Ene 2026, 22:00
24 Ene 2026, 22:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Yuliya Hatouka
Yelizaveta …: 23,0%
Yuliya …: 77,1%
¿Por qué Yuliya Hatouka?
UTR 9,00 vs 10,76
(-1,75)
— Ligera ventaja
Yelizaveta …
W21-L21
50% WR
vs UTR 9,3
W2
Yuliya …
W30-L20
60% WR
vs UTR 10,2
L1
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Yelizaveta … | Yuliya … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gamdom | 7,60 | 1,02 | 13,2% |
| IA Fair Odds | 4,36 | 1,30 | 23,0% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Yelizaveta Trush
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
9,00 Pro
UTR Ranking
#1176
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
38% (8p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Yuliya Hatouka
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
10,76 Pro
UTR Ranking
#637
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
90% (10p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Yelizaveta Trush
Record 2025
21W - 21L (50%)
Racha
2W
UTR Oponentes
9,3
Últimos 5:
W
W
L
L
W
Yuliya Hatouka
Record 2025
30W - 20L (60%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
10,2
Últimos 5:
L
W
L
L
W
Análisis Momentum
Yuliya Hatouka ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 10,2 vs 9,3).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4667 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 44,4444 | |
| momentum_p2 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -35,5556 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -26,6667 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 14,4130 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,9951 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -1,7500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,1176 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,3235 | |
| utr_advantage | -17,7215 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23479
API ID
15381690
Gamdom ID
606681
Torneo
UTR Carvoeiro W02
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23479,
"api_id": 15381690,
"gamdom_id": 606681,
"player1": "Yelizaveta Trush",
"player2": "Yuliya Hatouka",
"tournament": "UTR Carvoeiro W02",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-24T18:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 7.6,
"p2": 1.02
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 11.2,
"p2": 1.03
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2295,
"prob_p2": 0.7705,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7705,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 9.0,
"utr_ranking": 1176,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 21,
"utr_v4_losses": 21,
"utr_v4_wr": 50.0,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 2,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.27,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Nela \u0160\u00edlov\u00e1"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 8.0,
"opponent_name": "Terezia Perhacova"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 9.87,
"opponent_name": "Oliwia Szymczuch"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Khrystyna Vozniak"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.12,
"opponent_name": "Nikola Koprivova"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:59:04.243881+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 37.5,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 8
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 10.76,
"utr_ranking": 637,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 30,
"utr_v4_losses": 20,
"utr_v4_wr": 60.0,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 10.19,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.13,
"opponent_name": "Hibah Shaikh"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 10.38,
"opponent_name": "Maddy Zampardo"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.89,
"opponent_name": "Sofia Elena Cabezas Dominguez"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.2,
"opponent_name": "Zoie Epps"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 10.77,
"opponent_name": "Ziva Falkner"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:59:07.220873+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 90.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 9.0,
"ranking": 1176,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": 10.76,
"ranking": 637,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.11764705882352941,
"utr_p2": 0.3235294117647059,
"utr_diff": -1.75,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 44.44444444444445,
"momentum_p2": 80.0,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.46666666666666673,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": -35.55555555555555,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": -17.72151898734177,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 14.413049190118173,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.995149374821158,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -26.666666666666664,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 4,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}