Ali Collins vs Maria Golovina
UTR Dubai W01 | Hard |
21 Ene 2026, 10:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Maria Golovina
Ali …: 23,4% Maria …: 76,6%
¿Por qué Maria Golovina?
UTR 8,00 vs 11,00 (-2,94) — Ventaja clara
Ali …
W0-L0
0% WR
vs UTR 0,0
Maria …
W45-L17
73% WR
vs UTR 10,2
W1
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Ali … Maria … Prob Impl. P1
Gamdom 8,00 1,02 12,5%
IA Fair Odds 4,27 1,31 23,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ali Collins
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 8,00 General
UTR Ranking #4897
Forma L5 0% (5p)
Forma L10 0% (6p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Maria Golovina
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 11,00 Pro
UTR Ranking #500
Forma L5 100% (1p)
Forma L10 100% (1p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Ali Collins
Record 2025 0W - 0L (0%)
Racha -
UTR Oponentes 0,0
Maria Golovina
Record 2025 45W - 17L (73%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 10,2
Últimos 5:
W L L W W
Análisis Momentum
Maria Golovina ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 10,2 vs 0,0).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,5000
last3_wr_diff -0,5000
momentum_p1 0,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff -50,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -25,0000
current_streak_diff -4,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 36,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 30,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 12,6668
serve_consistency_p2 10,0000
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -2,9400
utr_p1 0,0000
utr_p2 0,3459
utr_advantage -31,0454
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23493
API ID 15381555
Gamdom ID 606585
Torneo UTR Dubai W01
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23493,
    "api_id": 15381555,
    "gamdom_id": 606585,
    "player1": "Ali Collins",
    "player2": "Maria Golovina",
    "tournament": "UTR Dubai W01",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-21T06:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 8.0,
      "p2": 1.02
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 15.13,
      "p2": 1.02
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2344,
    "prob_p2": 0.7656,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7656,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 8.0,
      "utr_ranking": 4897,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 0,
      "utr_v4_losses": 0,
      "utr_v4_wr": 0,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 0,
      "utr_v4_recent": [],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:14.245632+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 6
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 11.0,
      "utr_ranking": 500,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 45,
      "utr_v4_losses": 17,
      "utr_v4_wr": 72.58064516129032,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 10.2,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Ipek Oz"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.12,
          "opponent_name": "Valentina Ryser"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.92,
          "opponent_name": "Edda Mamedova"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Denise Hrdinkova"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Magdalena Hedrzak"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:34.657947+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 1,
      "form_l10_matches": 1
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 8.0,
      "ranking": 4897,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.0,
      "ranking": 500,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.0,
    "utr_p2": 0.3458823529411764,
    "utr_diff": -2.9399999999999995,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 0.0,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.5,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.5,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -50.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": -31.045406546990495,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": -4,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 12.666801505041937,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -25.0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 36,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}