Ekaterina Maklakova vs Jade Bornay
UTR Dubai W01 | Hard |
21 Ene 2026, 11:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ekaterina Maklakova
Ekaterina …: 76,1% Jade …: 23,9%
¿Por qué Ekaterina Maklakova?
UTR 10,82 vs 10,00 (+1,58) — Ligera ventaja
Ekaterina …
W33-L18
65% WR
vs UTR 10,3
W4
Jade …
W23-L9
72% WR
vs UTR 8,7
W5
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Ekaterina … Jade … Prob Impl. P1
Gamdom 1,16 4,00 86,2%
IA Fair Odds 1,31 4,19 76,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ekaterina Maklakova
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 10,82 Pro
UTR Ranking #602
Forma L5 100% (4p)
Forma L10 100% (4p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Jade Bornay
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 10,00 Pro
UTR Ranking #1020
Forma L5 0% (1p)
Forma L10 0% (1p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Ekaterina Maklakova
Record 2025 33W - 18L (65%)
Racha 4W
UTR Oponentes 10,3
Últimos 5:
W W W W L
Jade Bornay
Record 2025 23W - 9L (72%)
Racha 5W
UTR Oponentes 8,7
Últimos 5:
W W W W W
Análisis Momentum
Ekaterina Maklakova en racha: 4 victorias seguidas.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,5000
last3_wr_diff 0,5000
momentum_p1 100,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff 50,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 50,0000
current_streak_diff 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 43,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 30,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 6,7790
serve_consistency_p2 10,0000
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 1,5800
utr_p1 0,3035
utr_p2 0,1176
utr_advantage 16,1389
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23519
API ID 15381592
Gamdom ID 606579
Torneo UTR Dubai W01
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23519,
    "api_id": 15381592,
    "gamdom_id": 606579,
    "player1": "Ekaterina Maklakova",
    "player2": "Jade Bornay",
    "tournament": "UTR Dubai W01",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-21T07:35:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.16,
      "p2": 4.0
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.2,
      "p2": 4.12
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7613,
    "prob_p2": 0.2387,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7613,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 10.82,
      "utr_ranking": 602,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 33,
      "utr_v4_losses": 18,
      "utr_v4_wr": 64.70588235294117,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 4,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 10.31,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.11,
          "opponent_name": "Andrea Obradovic"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.68,
          "opponent_name": "Mirjana Jovanovic"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Magdalena Hedrzak"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Veronika Kulhava"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.89,
          "opponent_name": "Ekaterina Ovcharenko"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:08.089117+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 10.0,
      "utr_ranking": 1020,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 23,
      "utr_v4_losses": 9,
      "utr_v4_wr": 71.875,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 5,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 8.66,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 7.0,
          "opponent_name": "Laura Ollich"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.69,
          "opponent_name": "Carlota Corte"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.59,
          "opponent_name": "Carlota Garcia Alonso"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.03,
          "opponent_name": "Maria Trujillo Garnica"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.83,
          "opponent_name": "Marie Mattel"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:46.869464+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 1,
      "form_l10_matches": 1
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 10.82,
      "ranking": 602,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 10.0,
      "ranking": 1020,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.3035294117647059,
    "utr_p2": 0.11764705882352941,
    "utr_diff": 1.58,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 100.0,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.5,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.5,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 50.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 16.13891726251277,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": 2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.778996865203759,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 50.0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 43,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}