Naoki Nakagawa vs Yuta Tomida
UTR Yokohama M02 | Hard | Final
18 Ene 2026, 05:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Naoki Nakagawa
Naoki …: 74,9% Yuta …: 25,1%
¿Por qué Naoki Nakagawa?
UTR 13,50 vs 13,00 (+0,77) — Niveles similares
Naoki …
W27-L22
55% WR
vs UTR 13,2
L1
Yuta …
Sin datos
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Naoki … Yuta … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,57 2,25 63,6%
Gamdom 1,51 2,23 66,2%
IA Fair Odds 1,34 3,98 74,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Naoki …: +16,0% Yuta …: -16,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Naoki Nakagawa
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,50 Pro
UTR Ranking #694
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 75% (8p)
WR Hard 6/19 = 31,6%
Yuta Tomida
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,00 Pro
UTR Ranking #1097
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 90% (10p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Naoki Nakagawa
Record 2025 27W - 22L (55%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 13,2
Últimos 5:
L W L W W
Yuta Tomida
Sin datos UTR v4
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 31,5789
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -7,1014
surface_matches_ratio 19,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 2,0000
surface_wr_p1 31,5789
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 34,7826
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 19,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,3684
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,6333
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,4667
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 54,2537
first_serve_won_diff 64,7000
second_serve_won_diff 48,1000
bp_saved_diff 68,4000
bp_converted_diff 38,9000
aces_per_match_diff 3,7368
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 100,0000
momentum_p2 100,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,0000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 5,0000
match_load_p2 11,0000
match_load_diff -6,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 5,6570
serve_consistency_p2 3,1074
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1842
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,7700
utr_p1 0,6565
utr_p2 0,5659
utr_advantage 5,8355
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23535
API ID 15384044
Gamdom ID 607550
Torneo UTR Yokohama M02
Superficie Hard
Ronda Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23535,
    "api_id": 15384044,
    "gamdom_id": 607550,
    "player1": "Naoki Nakagawa",
    "player2": "Yuta Tomida",
    "tournament": "UTR Yokohama M02",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Final",
    "date": "2026-01-18T01:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.5714285714285714,
      "p2": 2.25
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.51,
      "p2": 2.23
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.54,
      "p2": 2.31
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7488,
    "prob_p2": 0.2512,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7488,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.5,
      "utr_ranking": 694,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 27,
      "utr_v4_losses": 22,
      "utr_v4_wr": 55.10204081632652,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.15,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.19,
          "opponent_name": "Jumpei Yamasaki"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Yuma Tobe"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.94,
          "opponent_name": "Taketo Takamisawa"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.4,
          "opponent_name": "Ryota Tanuma"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.97,
          "opponent_name": "Ryotaro Matsumura"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:56.455042+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 31.57894736842105,
      "wr_surface_wins": 6,
      "wr_surface_total": 19,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 75.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 8
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.0,
      "utr_ranking": 1097,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 90.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.5,
      "ranking": 694,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 13.0,
      "ranking": 1097,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.6564705882352941,
    "utr_p2": 0.5658823529411765,
    "utr_diff": 0.7699999999999996,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 68.4,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 5,
    "match_load_p2": 11,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.6333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 31.57894736842105,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 5.835543766578246,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -6,
    "surface_wr_diff": 31.57894736842105,
    "bp_converted_diff": 38.9,
    "p1_surface_matches": 19,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 54.253684210526316,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 3.736842105263158,
    "combined_confidence": 0.4666666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 64.7,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.3684210526315789,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.656993324627073,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 3.1073928731268055,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 34.78260869565217,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 48.1,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 19.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.1842105263157895,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -7.10144927536232,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}