Alan Magadan vs Daniil Kakhniuk
UTR PTT Bonita Springs Men +H 01 | Clay |
19 Ene 2026, 21:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alan Magadan
Alan …: 80,3% Daniil …: 19,7%
¿Por qué Alan Magadan?
UTR 13,29 vs 12,69 (+0,60) — Niveles similares
Alan …
W53-L29
65% WR
vs UTR 12,7
L1
Daniil …
W50-L39
56% WR
vs UTR 11,9
W1
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (33%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Alan … Daniil … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,25 3,75 80,0%
Gamdom 1,28 3,05 78,1%
IA Fair Odds 1,24 5,08 80,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Alan …: +5,3% Daniil …: -5,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alan Magadan
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,29 General
UTR Ranking #1051
Forma L5 50% (4p)
Forma L10 50% (4p)
WR Clay 0/0 = 0,0%
Daniil Kakhniuk
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,69 Pro
UTR Ranking #1526
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Clay 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Alan Magadan
Record 2025 53W - 29L (65%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 12,7
Últimos 5:
L W W L W
Daniil Kakhniuk
Record 2025 50W - 39L (56%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 11,9
Últimos 5:
W L W W W
Análisis Momentum
Alan Magadan ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 12,7 vs 11,9).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 50,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 4,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 2,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 4,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3533
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3267
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 54,7400
first_serve_won_diff 72,3000
second_serve_won_diff 50,3000
bp_saved_diff 57,9000
bp_converted_diff 25,9000
aces_per_match_diff 1,7500
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,1000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 51,0204
momentum_p2 78,0000
momentum_diff -26,9796
weighted_momentum_diff -17,6878
current_streak_diff -3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 187,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 15,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 9,0539
serve_consistency_p2 6,4744
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,6000
utr_p1 0,6224
utr_p2 0,5518
utr_advantage 4,6189
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23568
API ID 15381357
Gamdom ID 606521
Torneo UTR PTT Bonita Springs Men +H 01
Superficie Clay
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23568,
    "api_id": 15381357,
    "gamdom_id": 606521,
    "player1": "Alan Magadan",
    "player2": "Daniil Kakhniuk",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Bonita Springs Men +H 01",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-19T17:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.25,
      "p2": 3.75
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.28,
      "p2": 3.05
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.28,
      "p2": 3.33
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8033,
    "prob_p2": 0.1967,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8033,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.29,
      "utr_ranking": 1051,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 53,
      "utr_v4_losses": 29,
      "utr_v4_wr": 64.63414634146342,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.65,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.31,
          "opponent_name": "Peter Bertran"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.01,
          "opponent_name": "Jesse Flores"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.45,
          "opponent_name": "Juan Jose Bianchi"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.38,
          "opponent_name": "Taha Baadi"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.81,
          "opponent_name": "Nicaise Muamba"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:05.052045+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.69,
      "utr_ranking": 1526,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 50,
      "utr_v4_losses": 39,
      "utr_v4_wr": 56.17977528089888,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.88,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.93,
          "opponent_name": "Matei Todoran"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.67,
          "opponent_name": "Luke Hooper"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Daniil Lunev"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.02,
          "opponent_name": "Leon Formella"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.14,
          "opponent_name": "Yaroslav Demin"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:56.374296+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.29,
      "ranking": 1051,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.69,
      "ranking": 1526,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.6223529411764704,
    "utr_p2": 0.5517647058823529,
    "utr_diff": 0.5999999999999996,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 51.02040816326531,
    "momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 57.9,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.09999999999999998,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -26.979591836734677,
    "p1_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 4.618937644341799,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 50.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 25.9,
    "p1_surface_matches": 4,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 54.739999999999995,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.75,
    "combined_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": -3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 72.3,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.053901948655493,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.474442043729165,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 50.3,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 4.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -17.68775510204081,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 187,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 15,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}