Brody Nejedly Krall vs Stefan Menichella
UTR Newport Beach M03 | Hard |
19 Ene 2026, 22:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Stefan Menichella
Brody …: 29,1% Stefan …: 70,9%
¿Por qué Stefan Menichella?
UTR 11,00 vs 12,44 (-1,44) — Ligera ventaja
Brody …
W44-L54
45% WR
vs UTR 11,7
L6
Stefan …
W23-L16
59% WR
vs UTR 11,7
W2
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Brody … Stefan … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 3,75 1,25 26,7%
Gamdom 3,25 1,24 30,8%
IA Fair Odds 3,44 1,41 29,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Brody …: +4,1% Stefan …: -4,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Brody Nejedly Krall
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 11,00 General
UTR Ranking #4841
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 20% (10p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Stefan Menichella
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,44 Pro
UTR Ranking #1592
Forma L5 50% (0p)
Forma L10 50% (0p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Brody Nejedly Krall
Record 2025 44W - 54L (45%)
Racha 6L
UTR Oponentes 11,7
Últimos 5:
L L L L L
Stefan Menichella
Record 2025 23W - 16L (59%)
Racha 2W
UTR Oponentes 11,7
Últimos 5:
W W L W W
Análisis Momentum
Momentum similar entre ambos jugadores.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,3000
last3_wr_diff -0,1667
momentum_p1 40,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff -10,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 5,0000
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 4,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 30,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 4,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 6,2574
serve_consistency_p2 10,0000
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -1,4400
utr_p1 0,3529
utr_p2 0,5224
utr_advantage -12,2867
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23570
API ID 15382518
Gamdom ID 606896
Torneo UTR Newport Beach M03
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23570,
    "api_id": 15382518,
    "gamdom_id": 606896,
    "player1": "Brody Nejedly Krall",
    "player2": "Stefan Menichella",
    "tournament": "UTR Newport Beach M03",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-19T18:45:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 3.75,
      "p2": 1.25
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 3.25,
      "p2": 1.24
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 3.62,
      "p2": 1.24
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2911,
    "prob_p2": 0.7089,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7089,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 11.0,
      "utr_ranking": 4841,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 44,
      "utr_v4_losses": 54,
      "utr_v4_wr": 44.89795918367347,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 6,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.73,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Pavan Uppu"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Sean Grosman"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Evan Sharygin"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.51,
          "opponent_name": "Ilias Hirani Worthington"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.19,
          "opponent_name": "Derek Pham"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:41.617685+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.44,
      "utr_ranking": 1592,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 23,
      "utr_v4_losses": 16,
      "utr_v4_wr": 58.97435897435898,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 2,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.67,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.56,
          "opponent_name": "Krish Arora"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.78,
          "opponent_name": "Dillon Beckles"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.98,
          "opponent_name": "Garrett Johns"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Brayden Tallakson"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Dev Mangat"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:39.591368+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50,
      "form_l10_wr": 50,
      "form_l5_matches": 0,
      "form_l10_matches": 0
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.0,
      "ranking": 4841,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.44,
      "ranking": 1592,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.35294117647058826,
    "utr_p2": 0.5223529411764706,
    "utr_diff": -1.4399999999999995,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 40.0,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.16666666666666669,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.3,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -10.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": -12.286689419795218,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 4,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.257417422807108,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 5.0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 4,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}