Mirjana Jovanovic vs Aleksandra Stevanovic
UTR Carvoeiro W01 | Hard | Semifinals
19 Ene 2026, 13:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Mirjana Jovanovic
Mirjana …: 57,5% Aleksandra …: 42,5%
¿Por qué Mirjana Jovanovic?
UTR 9,69 vs 9,00 (+0,69) — Niveles similares
Mirjana …
W27-L44
38% WR
vs UTR 9,9
L3
Aleksandra …
W21-L29
42% WR
vs UTR 9,0
L2
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Mirjana … Aleksandra … Prob Impl. P1
Gamdom 1,20 3,60 83,3%
IA Fair Odds 1,74 2,36 57,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Mirjana Jovanovic
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 9,69 Pro
UTR Ranking #1194
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 20% (5p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Aleksandra Stevanovic
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 9,00 General
UTR Ranking #3774
Forma L5 25% (4p)
Forma L10 25% (4p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Mirjana Jovanovic
Record 2025 27W - 44L (38%)
Racha 3L
UTR Oponentes 9,9
Últimos 5:
L L L W W
Aleksandra Stevanovic
Record 2025 21W - 29L (42%)
Racha 2L
UTR Oponentes 9,0
Últimos 5:
L L W L L
Análisis Momentum
Momentum similar entre ambos jugadores.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,0500
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 30,0000
momentum_p2 30,6122
momentum_diff -0,6122
weighted_momentum_diff -0,4592
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 7,7583
serve_consistency_p2 9,2741
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,6900
utr_p1 0,1988
utr_p2 0,1176
utr_advantage 7,3836
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23630
API ID 15391542
Gamdom ID 611956
Torneo UTR Carvoeiro W01
Superficie Hard
Ronda Semifinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23630,
    "api_id": 15391542,
    "gamdom_id": 611956,
    "player1": "Mirjana Jovanovic",
    "player2": "Aleksandra Stevanovic",
    "tournament": "UTR Carvoeiro W01",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Semifinals",
    "date": "2026-01-19T09:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.2,
      "p2": 3.6
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.19,
      "p2": 4.0
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5754,
    "prob_p2": 0.4246,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5754,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 9.69,
      "utr_ranking": 1194,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 27,
      "utr_v4_losses": 44,
      "utr_v4_wr": 38.028169014084504,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 3,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.9,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.63,
          "opponent_name": "Ekaterina Maklakova"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.4,
          "opponent_name": "Maria Kalyakina"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 9.87,
          "opponent_name": "Sarafina Olivia Hansen"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Zejda Veljacic"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Valeryia Darashuk"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:53.522862+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 5
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 9.0,
      "utr_ranking": 3774,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 21,
      "utr_v4_losses": 29,
      "utr_v4_wr": 42.0,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 2,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.04,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Yana Tsion Leonova"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Ana Vilcek"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 8.4,
          "opponent_name": "Emma Mazzoni"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Nikola Homolkov\u00e1"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Azzurra Cremonini"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:07.433923+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 25.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 25.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 9.69,
      "ranking": 1194,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 9.0,
      "ranking": 3774,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.19882352941176465,
    "utr_p2": 0.11764705882352941,
    "utr_diff": 0.6899999999999995,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 30.0,
    "momentum_p2": 30.612244897959183,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.04999999999999999,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": -0.612244897959183,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 7.383627608346704,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.758325383994316,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.274076107856835,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -0.4591836734693828,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}