Alexander Bublik vs Marton Fucsovics
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
21 Ene 2026, 10:50
21 Ene 2026, 10:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alexander Bublik
Alexander …: 65,0%
Marton …: 35,0%
¿Por qué Alexander Bublik?
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alexander … | Marton … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,22 | 4,33 | 82,0% |
| Gamdom | 1,21 | 4,80 | 82,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,54 | 2,86 | 65,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Alexander …: -13,0%
Marton …: +13,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alexander Bublik
Ranking
#10
UTR Rating
15,95 Pro
UTR Ranking
#4
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
20/36 = 55,6%
Marton Fucsovics
Ranking
#54
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
21/29 = 72,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 45,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 5,5000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,7047 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 3,0000 | |
| points_diff | 2116,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 21,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -16,8582 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -14,4520 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,2414 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 55,5556 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 72,4138 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 55,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 69,6970 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 36,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 29,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1111 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,9667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 19,8927 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 6,4352 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -7,1494 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 16,0910 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -0,9372 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 9,4100 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,6000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 40,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 15,5000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,9655 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,3158 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4375 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3333 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,4484 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,4079 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -28,7390 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0106 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2691 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -50,5747 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,9353 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,9353 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23648
API ID
15345298
Gamdom ID
589688
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23648,
"api_id": 15345298,
"gamdom_id": 589688,
"player1": "Alexander Bublik",
"player2": "Marton Fucsovics",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2026-01-21T06:50:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.22,
"p2": 4.333333333333334
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.21,
"p2": 4.8
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.2,
"p2": 4.43
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.65,
"prob_p2": 0.35,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.65,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 10,
"utr_singles": 15.95,
"utr_ranking": 4,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
"wr_surface_wins": 20,
"wr_surface_total": 36,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 54,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 72.41379310344827,
"wr_surface_wins": 21,
"wr_surface_total": 29,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.95,
"ranking": 4,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.9352941176470587,
"utr_p2": 0.9352941176470587,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 5.5,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 60.00000000000001,
"points_diff": 2116,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 16.09099616858238,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.6,
"match_load_p1": 5,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": 39.99999999999998,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 55.55555555555556,
"surface_wr_p2": 72.41379310344827,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 21,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.7047480922384253,
"rank_advantage": 45,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4375,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_diff": -16.858237547892713,
"bp_converted_diff": -0.937164750957848,
"p1_surface_matches": 36,
"p2_surface_matches": 29,
"serve_quality_diff": 19.892720306513397,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9655172413793104,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.3157894736842105,
"aces_per_match_diff": 9.409961685823756,
"combined_confidence": 0.9833333333333334,
"current_streak_diff": 4,
"rank_tier_advantage": 3,
"first_serve_won_diff": 6.4352490421455855,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.1111111111111111,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.448431799203489,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.407891770574975,
"surface_rank_synergy": -28.73904829827229,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.00000000000001,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 69.6969696969697,
"second_serve_won_diff": -7.149425287356323,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.2413793103448276,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 15.5,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -50.57471264367814,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.010555555555555651,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.2691379310344826,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -14.4520202020202,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}