Alexander Bublik vs Marton Fucsovics
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
21 Ene 2026, 10:50
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alexander Bublik
Alexander …: 65,0% Marton …: 35,0%
¿Por qué Alexander Bublik?
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Alexander … Marton … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,22 4,33 82,0%
Gamdom 1,21 4,80 82,6%
IA Fair Odds 1,54 2,86 65,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Alexander …: -13,0% Marton …: +13,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alexander Bublik
Ranking #10
UTR Rating 15,95 Pro
UTR Ranking #4
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 20/36 = 55,6%
Marton Fucsovics
Ranking #54
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 21/29 = 72,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 45,0000
rank_ratio 5,5000
log_rank_ratio 1,7047
rank_tier_advantage 3,0000
points_diff 2116,0000
best_rank_diff 21,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -16,8582
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -14,4520
surface_matches_ratio 1,2414
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 55,5556
surface_wr_p2 72,4138
surface_wr_p1_stable 55,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 69,6970
p1_surface_matches 36,0000
p2_surface_matches 29,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1111
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,9667
combined_confidence 0,9833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 19,8927
first_serve_won_diff 6,4352
second_serve_won_diff -7,1494
bp_saved_diff 16,0910
bp_converted_diff -0,9372
aces_per_match_diff 9,4100
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,6000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 100,0000
momentum_p2 60,0000
momentum_diff 40,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 15,5000
current_streak_diff 4,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 5,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff 2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,9655
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,3158
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4375
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3333
serve_consistency_p1 5,4484
serve_consistency_p2 6,4079
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -28,7390
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0106
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,2691
elite_surface_amplifier -50,5747
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,9353
utr_p2 0,9353
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23648
API ID 15345298
Gamdom ID 589688
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 64
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23648,
    "api_id": 15345298,
    "gamdom_id": 589688,
    "player1": "Alexander Bublik",
    "player2": "Marton Fucsovics",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 64",
    "date": "2026-01-21T06:50:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.22,
      "p2": 4.333333333333334
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.21,
      "p2": 4.8
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.2,
      "p2": 4.43
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.65,
    "prob_p2": 0.35,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.65,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 10,
      "utr_singles": 15.95,
      "utr_ranking": 4,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
      "wr_surface_wins": 20,
      "wr_surface_total": 36,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 54,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 72.41379310344827,
      "wr_surface_wins": 21,
      "wr_surface_total": 29,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.95,
      "ranking": 4,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.9352941176470587,
    "utr_p2": 0.9352941176470587,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 5.5,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 60.00000000000001,
    "points_diff": 2116,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 16.09099616858238,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.6,
    "match_load_p1": 5,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": 39.99999999999998,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 55.55555555555556,
    "surface_wr_p2": 72.41379310344827,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 21,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.7047480922384253,
    "rank_advantage": 45,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4375,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 2,
    "surface_wr_diff": -16.858237547892713,
    "bp_converted_diff": -0.937164750957848,
    "p1_surface_matches": 36,
    "p2_surface_matches": 29,
    "serve_quality_diff": 19.892720306513397,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9655172413793104,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.3157894736842105,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 9.409961685823756,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9833333333333334,
    "current_streak_diff": 4,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 3,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 6.4352490421455855,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.1111111111111111,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.448431799203489,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.407891770574975,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -28.73904829827229,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 55.00000000000001,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 69.6969696969697,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -7.149425287356323,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.2413793103448276,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 15.5,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -50.57471264367814,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.010555555555555651,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.2691379310344826,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -14.4520202020202,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}