Emilio Nava vs Cameron Norrie
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
21 Ene 2026, 10:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Cameron Norrie
Emilio …: 46,4% Cameron …: 53,6%
¿Por qué Cameron Norrie?
UTR 14,99 vs 15,38 (-0,39) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Emilio … Cameron … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 3,00 1,40 33,3%
Gamdom 2,95 1,45 33,9%
IA Fair Odds 2,15 1,87 46,4%
Edge vs Mercado: Emilio …: +14,6% Cameron …: -14,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Emilio Nava
Ranking #89
UTR Rating 14,99 Pro
UTR Ranking #92
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 8/15 = 53,3%
Cameron Norrie
Ranking #27
UTR Rating 15,38 Pro
UTR Ranking #36
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 19/37 = 51,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -60,0000
rank_ratio 0,3182
log_rank_ratio -1,1451
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -861,0000
best_rank_diff -80,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 1,9820
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 1,0591
surface_matches_ratio 0,4054
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 53,3333
surface_wr_p2 51,3514
surface_wr_p1_stable 52,6316
surface_wr_p2_stable 51,2195
p1_surface_matches 15,0000
p2_surface_matches 37,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0667
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,5000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,7500
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 6,3070
first_serve_won_diff 0,7135
second_serve_won_diff -6,7243
bp_saved_diff 3,8297
bp_converted_diff 3,0865
aces_per_match_diff 3,9838
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 68,0000
momentum_p2 62,0000
momentum_diff 6,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 4,8680
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6585
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,0068
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,7143
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4348
serve_consistency_p1 9,0941
serve_consistency_p2 9,2388
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -2,2696
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0933
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0465
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,3900
utr_p1 0,8224
utr_p2 0,8682
utr_advantage -2,5683
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23650
API ID 15345289
Gamdom ID 589706
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 64
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23650,
    "api_id": 15345289,
    "gamdom_id": 589706,
    "player1": "Emilio Nava",
    "player2": "Cameron Norrie",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 64",
    "date": "2026-01-21T06:45:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 3.0,
      "p2": 1.4
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.95,
      "p2": 1.45
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.86,
      "p2": 1.41
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4642,
    "prob_p2": 0.5358,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5358,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 89,
      "utr_singles": 14.99,
      "utr_ranking": 92,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 53.333333333333336,
      "wr_surface_wins": 8,
      "wr_surface_total": 15,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 27,
      "utr_singles": 15.38,
      "utr_ranking": 36,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 51.35135135135135,
      "wr_surface_wins": 19,
      "wr_surface_total": 37,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "score": 14.99,
      "ranking": 92,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.38,
      "ranking": 36,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.8682352941176471,
    "utr_diff": -0.39000000000000057,
    "rank_ratio": 0.3181818181818182,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 68.0,
    "momentum_p2": 62.000000000000014,
    "points_diff": -861,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 3.8297297297297206,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": 5.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 0.5,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 53.333333333333336,
    "surface_wr_p2": 51.35135135135135,
    "utr_advantage": -2.5683240039512714,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -80,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.1451323043030026,
    "rank_advantage": -60,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7142857142857143,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.43478260869565216,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 1.9819819819819884,
    "bp_converted_diff": 3.0864864864864856,
    "p1_surface_matches": 15,
    "p2_surface_matches": 37,
    "serve_quality_diff": 6.307027027027019,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6585365853658537,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0068493150684932,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 3.9837837837837835,
    "combined_confidence": 0.75,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0.7135135135135187,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.06666666666666667,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.094140711991587,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.23878658839059,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -2.2696315941140663,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 52.63157894736842,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 51.21951219512195,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -6.724324324324321,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.40540540540540543,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 4.867999999999995,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.09333333333333338,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.04648648648648657,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.0590500641848504,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}