Frances Tiafoe vs Francisco Comesaña
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
21 Ene 2026, 13:45
21 Ene 2026, 13:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Frances Tiafoe
Frances …: 63,4%
Francisco …: 36,6%
¿Por qué Frances Tiafoe?
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Frances … | Francisco … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,36 | 3,20 | 73,5% |
| Gamdom | 1,41 | 3,15 | 70,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,58 | 2,73 | 63,4% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Frances …: -6,7%
Francisco …: +6,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Frances Tiafoe
Ranking
#34
UTR Rating
15,18 Pro
UTR Ranking
#62
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
14/26 = 53,8%
Francisco Comesaña
Ranking
#68
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
11/22 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 37,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,1935 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,7855 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 671,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 44,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 3,8462 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 2,6667 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,1818 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 53,8462 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 53,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 26,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 22,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0769 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,8667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,7333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 2,9126 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1,4413 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 4,8357 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -1,2972 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -4,7734 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,3706 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -2,3310 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,4898 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,1513 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5385 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,2500 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,0704 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,9788 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 3,0212 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0015 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0370 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 3,8462 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8447 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8447 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23651
API ID
15345291
Gamdom ID
589697
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23651,
"api_id": 15345291,
"gamdom_id": 589697,
"player1": "Frances Tiafoe",
"player2": "Francisco Comesa\u00f1a",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2026-01-21T09:45:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.3599999999999999,
"p2": 3.2
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.41,
"p2": 3.15
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.4,
"p2": 2.9
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6343,
"prob_p2": 0.3657,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6343,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 34,
"utr_singles": 15.18,
"utr_ranking": 62,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 53.84615384615385,
"wr_surface_wins": 14,
"wr_surface_total": 26,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 68,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 22,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 62,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 2.193548387096774,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 60.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 60.00000000000001,
"points_diff": 671,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -1.297202797202786,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.7333333333333334,
"surface_wr_p1": 53.84615384615385,
"surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 44,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.7855205006909604,
"rank_advantage": 37,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5384615384615384,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.25,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": 3.8461538461538467,
"bp_converted_diff": -4.773426573426569,
"p1_surface_matches": 26,
"p2_surface_matches": 22,
"serve_quality_diff": 2.912587412587399,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.489795918367347,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.1512605042016806,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.37062937062936996,
"combined_confidence": 0.8,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.4412587412587357,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.07692307692307693,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.070350006117652,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.9787665091033775,
"surface_rank_synergy": 3.0212326949652324,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 53.333333333333336,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 4.83566433566434,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.1818181818181819,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -2.331000000000003,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 3.8461538461538467,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.001461538461538514,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.03699999999999992,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.6666666666666687,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}