Frances Tiafoe vs Francisco Comesaña
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
21 Ene 2026, 13:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Frances Tiafoe
Frances …: 63,4% Francisco …: 36,6%
¿Por qué Frances Tiafoe?
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Frances … Francisco … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,36 3,20 73,5%
Gamdom 1,41 3,15 70,9%
IA Fair Odds 1,58 2,73 63,4%
Edge vs Mercado: Frances …: -6,7% Francisco …: +6,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Frances Tiafoe
Ranking #34
UTR Rating 15,18 Pro
UTR Ranking #62
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 14/26 = 53,8%
Francisco Comesaña
Ranking #68
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 11/22 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 37,0000
rank_ratio 2,1935
log_rank_ratio 0,7855
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 671,0000
best_rank_diff 44,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 3,8462
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 2,6667
surface_matches_ratio 1,1818
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 53,8462
surface_wr_p2 50,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 53,3333
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 26,0000
p2_surface_matches 22,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0769
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,8667
p2_confidence 0,7333
combined_confidence 0,8000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 2,9126
first_serve_won_diff 1,4413
second_serve_won_diff 4,8357
bp_saved_diff -1,2972
bp_converted_diff -4,7734
aces_per_match_diff 0,3706
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 60,0000
momentum_p2 60,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -2,3310
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,4898
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,1513
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5385
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,2500
serve_consistency_p1 7,0704
serve_consistency_p2 7,9788
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 3,0212
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0015
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0370
elite_surface_amplifier 3,8462
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,8447
utr_p2 0,8447
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23651
API ID 15345291
Gamdom ID 589697
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 64
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23651,
    "api_id": 15345291,
    "gamdom_id": 589697,
    "player1": "Frances Tiafoe",
    "player2": "Francisco Comesa\u00f1a",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 64",
    "date": "2026-01-21T09:45:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.3599999999999999,
      "p2": 3.2
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.41,
      "p2": 3.15
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.4,
      "p2": 2.9
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6343,
    "prob_p2": 0.3657,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6343,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 34,
      "utr_singles": 15.18,
      "utr_ranking": 62,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 53.84615384615385,
      "wr_surface_wins": 14,
      "wr_surface_total": 26,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 68,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 11,
      "wr_surface_total": 22,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "ranking": 62,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_diff": 0.0,
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    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 60.00000000000001,
    "momentum_p2": 60.00000000000001,
    "points_diff": 671,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -1.297202797202786,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
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    "p1_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 0.7333333333333334,
    "surface_wr_p1": 53.84615384615385,
    "surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
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    "best_rank_diff": 44,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.7855205006909604,
    "rank_advantage": 37,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5384615384615384,
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    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 3.8461538461538467,
    "bp_converted_diff": -4.773426573426569,
    "p1_surface_matches": 26,
    "p2_surface_matches": 22,
    "serve_quality_diff": 2.912587412587399,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.489795918367347,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.1512605042016806,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.37062937062936996,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 1.4412587412587357,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.07692307692307693,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.070350006117652,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.9787665091033775,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 3.0212326949652324,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 53.333333333333336,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 4.83566433566434,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.1818181818181819,
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    "days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.001461538461538514,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.03699999999999992,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.6666666666666687,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}