Francisco Cerundolo vs Damir Džumhur
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
21 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Francisco Cerundolo
Francisco …: 76,3% Damir …: 23,7%
¿Por qué Francisco Cerundolo?
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Francisco … Damir … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,25 4,00 80,0%
IA Fair Odds 1,31 4,22 76,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Francisco …: +0,1% Damir …: -0,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Francisco Cerundolo
Ranking #21
UTR Rating 15,35 Pro
UTR Ranking #43
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 15/25 = 60,0%
Damir Džumhur
Ranking #66
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 9/21 = 42,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 46,0000
rank_ratio 3,3000
log_rank_ratio 1,1939
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 1198,0000
best_rank_diff 5,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 17,1429
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 11,2092
surface_matches_ratio 1,1905
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 60,0000
surface_wr_p2 42,8571
surface_wr_p1_stable 58,6207
surface_wr_p2_stable 44,0000
p1_surface_matches 25,0000
p2_surface_matches 21,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,8333
p2_confidence 0,7000
combined_confidence 0,7667
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 9,0185
first_serve_won_diff 8,4829
second_serve_won_diff -3,5686
bp_saved_diff 1,3114
bp_converted_diff -6,8600
aces_per_match_diff 2,9238
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 50,0000
momentum_p2 42,0000
momentum_diff 8,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 8,2240
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 2,0000
h2h_matches 2,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1,0000
h2h_on_surface 1,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,4000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7391
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,4949
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,7273
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3750
serve_consistency_p1 8,7560
serve_consistency_p2 7,4083
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 20,4672
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0540
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0254
elite_surface_amplifier 34,2857
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,8647
utr_p2 0,8647
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23652
API ID 15345288
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 64
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23652,
    "api_id": 15345288,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Francisco Cerundolo",
    "player2": "Damir D\u017eumhur",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 64",
    "date": "2026-01-21T00:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.25,
      "p2": 4.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
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      "p2": 4.29
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7629,
    "prob_p2": 0.2371,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7629,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
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      "ranking": 21,
      "utr_singles": 15.35,
      "utr_ranking": 43,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
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      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 60.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 25,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 66,
      "utr_singles": null,
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      "wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
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      "wr_surface_total": 21,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
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      "form_l10_matches": 10
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  },
  "utr": {
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    },
    "p2": {
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  },
  "features": {
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    "h2h_matches": 2,
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    "points_diff": 1198,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 1.3114285714285643,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 2,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
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    "p1_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.7,
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    "bp_converted_diff": -6.859999999999992,
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    "p2_surface_matches": 21,
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    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7391304347826086,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.494949494949495,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.923809523809524,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 8.482857142857135,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.4,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.756028443618296,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.408334900786074,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 20.467242316670312,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.620689655172406,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 44.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -3.568571428571431,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.1904761904761905,
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    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 11.209195402298844,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 2,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
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  "feature_importance": {}
}