Francisco Cerundolo vs Damir Džumhur
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
21 Ene 2026, 04:00
21 Ene 2026, 04:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Francisco Cerundolo
Francisco …: 76,3%
Damir …: 23,7%
¿Por qué Francisco Cerundolo?
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Francisco … | Damir … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,25 | 4,00 | 80,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,31 | 4,22 | 76,3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Francisco …: +0,1%
Damir …: -0,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Francisco Cerundolo
Ranking
#21
UTR Rating
15,35 Pro
UTR Ranking
#43
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
15/25 = 60,0%
Damir Džumhur
Ranking
#66
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
9/21 = 42,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 46,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 3,3000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,1939 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 1198,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 5,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 17,1429 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 11,2092 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,1905 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 42,8571 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 58,6207 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 44,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 25,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 21,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,8333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,7000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7667 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 9,0185 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 8,4829 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -3,5686 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 1,3114 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -6,8600 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,9238 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 42,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 8,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 8,2240 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 2,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 2,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,4000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7391 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,4949 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,7273 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3750 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,7560 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,4083 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 20,4672 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0540 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0254 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 34,2857 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8647 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8647 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23652
API ID
15345288
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23652,
"api_id": 15345288,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Francisco Cerundolo",
"player2": "Damir D\u017eumhur",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2026-01-21T00:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.25,
"p2": 4.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.21,
"p2": 4.29
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7629,
"prob_p2": 0.2371,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7629,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 21,
"utr_singles": 15.35,
"utr_ranking": 43,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 60.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 25,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 66,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
"wr_surface_wins": 9,
"wr_surface_total": 21,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.35,
"ranking": 43,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.8647058823529411,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 3.3,
"h2h_matches": 2,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 42.00000000000001,
"points_diff": 1198,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 1.3114285714285643,
"h2h_wins_diff": 2,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": 7.999999999999993,
"p1_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.7,
"surface_wr_p1": 60.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 42.857142857142854,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 5,
"h2h_on_surface": 1,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.1939224684724346,
"rank_advantage": 46,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7272727272727273,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.375,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 17.142857142857146,
"bp_converted_diff": -6.859999999999992,
"p1_surface_matches": 25,
"p2_surface_matches": 21,
"serve_quality_diff": 9.018476190476193,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7391304347826086,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.494949494949495,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.923809523809524,
"combined_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"first_serve_won_diff": 8.482857142857135,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.4,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.756028443618296,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.408334900786074,
"surface_rank_synergy": 20.467242316670312,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.620689655172406,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 44.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": -3.568571428571431,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.1904761904761905,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 8.224000000000004,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 34.28571428571429,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.05399999999999994,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.02542857142857141,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 11.209195402298844,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 2,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}