Michael Zheng vs Corentin Moutet
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
21 Ene 2026, 09:00
21 Ene 2026, 09:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Corentin Moutet
Michael …: 35,5%
Corentin …: 64,5%
¿Por qué Corentin Moutet?
UTR 14,75 vs 15,53
(-0,78)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Michael … | Corentin … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,10 | 1,73 | 47,6% |
| Gamdom | 2,28 | 1,69 | 43,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,81 | 1,55 | 35,5% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Michael …: -9,6%
Corentin …: +9,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Michael Zheng
Ranking
#174
UTR Rating
14,75 General
UTR Ranking
#124
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
83% (6p)
WR Hard
22/29 = 75,9%
Corentin Moutet
Ranking
#37
UTR Rating
15,53 Pro
UTR Ranking
#26
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
22/38 = 57,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -140,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,1954 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,6327 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| points_diff | -1046,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -143,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 17,9673 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 15,3247 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,7632 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 3,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 75,8621 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 57,8947 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 72,7273 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 57,1429 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 29,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 38,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,5172 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,9667 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 4,9136 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 5,8966 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0,7085 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 3,4768 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 1,8551 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,0889 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 98,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 48,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 50,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 26,2950 | |
| current_streak_diff | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,9679 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6154 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,5723 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,5660 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -29,3352 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,3986 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0611 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,7800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7941 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8859 | |
| utr_advantage | -5,1519 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23653
API ID
15345297
Gamdom ID
589695
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23653,
"api_id": 15345297,
"gamdom_id": 589695,
"player1": "Michael Zheng",
"player2": "Corentin Moutet",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2026-01-21T05:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.1,
"p2": 1.73
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.28,
"p2": 1.69
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.21,
"p2": 1.66
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3554,
"prob_p2": 0.6446,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6446,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 14.75,
"utr_ranking": 124,
"utr_division": "General",
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"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 75.86206896551724,
"wr_surface_wins": 22,
"wr_surface_total": 29,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 83.33333333333334,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 6
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 15.53,
"utr_ranking": 26,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 57.89473684210527,
"wr_surface_wins": 22,
"wr_surface_total": 38,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
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},
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"ranking": 26,
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}
},
"features": {
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"utr_diff": -0.7799999999999994,
"rank_ratio": 0.19540229885057472,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 48.00000000000001,
"points_diff": -1046,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 3.4767695099818496,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666667,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 49.99999999999998,
"p1_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 75.86206896551724,
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"utr_advantage": -5.151915455746363,
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"best_rank_diff": -143,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.6326947745983675,
"rank_advantage": -140,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
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"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 3,
"surface_wr_diff": 17.96733212341197,
"bp_converted_diff": 1.8550816696914794,
"p1_surface_matches": 29,
"p2_surface_matches": 38,
"serve_quality_diff": 4.913620689655168,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.967948717948718,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.0889292196007263,
"combined_confidence": 0.9833333333333334,
"current_streak_diff": 3,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"first_serve_won_diff": 5.896642468239563,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.5172413793103449,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.572293926130924,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.566023834128723,
"surface_rank_synergy": -29.335169271368116,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 72.72727272727273,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 57.14285714285714,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.7085299455535363,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.7631578947368421,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 26.294999999999987,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.3986206896551724,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.06105263157894736,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 15.324675324675336,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 3
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"feature_importance": {}
}