Michael Zheng vs Corentin Moutet
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
21 Ene 2026, 09:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Corentin Moutet
Michael …: 35,5% Corentin …: 64,5%
¿Por qué Corentin Moutet?
UTR 14,75 vs 15,53 (-0,78) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Michael … Corentin … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,10 1,73 47,6%
Gamdom 2,28 1,69 43,9%
IA Fair Odds 2,81 1,55 35,5%
Edge vs Mercado: Michael …: -9,6% Corentin …: +9,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Michael Zheng
Ranking #174
UTR Rating 14,75 General
UTR Ranking #124
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 83% (6p)
WR Hard 22/29 = 75,9%
Corentin Moutet
Ranking #37
UTR Rating 15,53 Pro
UTR Ranking #26
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 22/38 = 57,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -140,0000
rank_ratio 0,1954
log_rank_ratio -1,6327
rank_tier_advantage -2,0000
points_diff -1046,0000
best_rank_diff -143,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 17,9673
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 15,3247
surface_matches_ratio 0,7632
surface_tournaments_won_diff 3,0000
surface_wr_p1 75,8621
surface_wr_p2 57,8947
surface_wr_p1_stable 72,7273
surface_wr_p2_stable 57,1429
p1_surface_matches 29,0000
p2_surface_matches 38,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,5172
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,9667
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,9833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 4,9136
first_serve_won_diff 5,8966
second_serve_won_diff -0,7085
bp_saved_diff 3,4768
bp_converted_diff 1,8551
aces_per_match_diff 1,0889
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,6667
momentum_p1 98,0000
momentum_p2 48,0000
momentum_diff 50,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 26,2950
current_streak_diff 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,9679
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6154
serve_consistency_p1 5,5723
serve_consistency_p2 5,5660
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -29,3352
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,3986
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0611
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,7800
utr_p1 0,7941
utr_p2 0,8859
utr_advantage -5,1519
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23653
API ID 15345297
Gamdom ID 589695
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 64
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23653,
    "api_id": 15345297,
    "gamdom_id": 589695,
    "player1": "Michael Zheng",
    "player2": "Corentin Moutet",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 64",
    "date": "2026-01-21T05:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.1,
      "p2": 1.73
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.28,
      "p2": 1.69
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.21,
      "p2": 1.66
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3554,
    "prob_p2": 0.6446,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6446,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 174,
      "utr_singles": 14.75,
      "utr_ranking": 124,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 75.86206896551724,
      "wr_surface_wins": 22,
      "wr_surface_total": 29,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 83.33333333333334,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 6
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 37,
      "utr_singles": 15.53,
      "utr_ranking": 26,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 57.89473684210527,
      "wr_surface_wins": 22,
      "wr_surface_total": 38,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.75,
      "ranking": 124,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.53,
      "ranking": 26,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7941176470588235,
    "utr_p2": 0.8858823529411763,
    "utr_diff": -0.7799999999999994,
    "rank_ratio": 0.19540229885057472,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 48.00000000000001,
    "points_diff": -1046,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 3.4767695099818496,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666667,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 49.99999999999998,
    "p1_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 75.86206896551724,
    "surface_wr_p2": 57.89473684210527,
    "utr_advantage": -5.151915455746363,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -143,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.6326947745983675,
    "rank_advantage": -140,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6153846153846154,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 3,
    "surface_wr_diff": 17.96733212341197,
    "bp_converted_diff": 1.8550816696914794,
    "p1_surface_matches": 29,
    "p2_surface_matches": 38,
    "serve_quality_diff": 4.913620689655168,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.967948717948718,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.0889292196007263,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9833333333333334,
    "current_streak_diff": 3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 5.896642468239563,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.5172413793103449,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.572293926130924,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.566023834128723,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -29.335169271368116,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 72.72727272727273,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 57.14285714285714,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.7085299455535363,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.7631578947368421,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 26.294999999999987,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.3986206896551724,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.06105263157894736,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 15.324675324675336,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 3
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}