Tomas Martin Etcheverry vs Arthur Fery
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
21 Ene 2026, 05:10
21 Ene 2026, 05:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Tomas …: 54,0%
Arthur …: 46,0%
¿Por qué Tomas Martin Etcheverry?
UTR 15,29 vs 14,71
(+0,58)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Tomas … | Arthur … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,62 | 2,30 | 61,7% |
| Gamdom | 1,64 | 2,38 | 61,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,85 | 2,17 | 54,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Tomas …: -4,7%
Arthur …: +4,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Ranking
#62
UTR Rating
15,29 Pro
UTR Ranking
#52
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
14/26 = 53,8%
Arthur Fery
Ranking
#186
UTR Rating
14,71 Pro
UTR Ranking
#132
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
20/28 = 71,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 124,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 3,0328 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,1095 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 579,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 158,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -17,5824 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -13,8750 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,9286 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 53,8462 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 71,4286 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 53,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 68,7500 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 26,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 28,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0769 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,8667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,9333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 5,8301 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 2,0154 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -4,8044 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 1,1473 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -4,2291 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,1319 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 48,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 98,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -50,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -25,6800 | |
| current_streak_diff | -3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,0407 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,2857 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,4286 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,1937 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 2,9812 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -19,5074 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0855 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,3383 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -17,5824 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,5800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8576 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7894 | |
| utr_advantage | 3,8667 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23654
API ID
15345284
Gamdom ID
589699
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23654,
"api_id": 15345284,
"gamdom_id": 589699,
"player1": "Tomas Martin Etcheverry",
"player2": "Arthur Fery",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2026-01-21T01:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.62,
"p2": 2.3
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.64,
"p2": 2.38
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.61,
"p2": 2.29
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5396,
"prob_p2": 0.4604,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5396,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 62,
"utr_singles": 15.29,
"utr_ranking": 52,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 53.84615384615385,
"wr_surface_wins": 14,
"wr_surface_total": 26,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 186,
"utr_singles": 14.71,
"utr_ranking": 132,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 71.42857142857143,
"wr_surface_wins": 20,
"wr_surface_total": 28,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.29,
"ranking": 52,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.71,
"ranking": 132,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.8576470588235293,
"utr_p2": 0.7894117647058825,
"utr_diff": 0.5799999999999983,
"rank_ratio": 3.0327868852459017,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 48.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 579,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 1.1472527472527503,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666667,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": -49.99999999999998,
"p1_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 53.84615384615385,
"surface_wr_p2": 71.42857142857143,
"utr_advantage": 3.866666666666655,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 158,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.1094819609050135,
"rank_advantage": 124,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.2857142857142857,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.42857142857142855,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": -17.582417582417584,
"bp_converted_diff": -4.229120879120877,
"p1_surface_matches": 26,
"p2_surface_matches": 28,
"serve_quality_diff": 5.830109890109895,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0406504065040652,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.1318681318681314,
"combined_confidence": 0.9,
"current_streak_diff": -3,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 2.015384615384619,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.07692307692307693,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.193745823087282,
"serve_consistency_p2": 2.981238760885305,
"surface_rank_synergy": -19.50737513679145,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 53.333333333333336,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 68.75,
"second_serve_won_diff": -4.804395604395609,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.9285714285714286,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -25.679999999999993,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -17.582417582417584,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.08553846153846156,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.3382857142857143,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -13.874999999999998,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}