Tomas Martin Etcheverry vs Arthur Fery
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 64
21 Ene 2026, 05:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Tomas …: 54,0% Arthur …: 46,0%
¿Por qué Tomas Martin Etcheverry?
UTR 15,29 vs 14,71 (+0,58) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Tomas … Arthur … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,62 2,30 61,7%
Gamdom 1,64 2,38 61,0%
IA Fair Odds 1,85 2,17 54,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Tomas …: -4,7% Arthur …: +4,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Ranking #62
UTR Rating 15,29 Pro
UTR Ranking #52
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 14/26 = 53,8%
Arthur Fery
Ranking #186
UTR Rating 14,71 Pro
UTR Ranking #132
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 20/28 = 71,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 124,0000
rank_ratio 3,0328
log_rank_ratio 1,1095
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 579,0000
best_rank_diff 158,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -17,5824
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -13,8750
surface_matches_ratio 0,9286
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 53,8462
surface_wr_p2 71,4286
surface_wr_p1_stable 53,3333
surface_wr_p2_stable 68,7500
p1_surface_matches 26,0000
p2_surface_matches 28,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0769
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,8667
p2_confidence 0,9333
combined_confidence 0,9000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 5,8301
first_serve_won_diff 2,0154
second_serve_won_diff -4,8044
bp_saved_diff 1,1473
bp_converted_diff -4,2291
aces_per_match_diff 3,1319
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff -0,6667
momentum_p1 48,0000
momentum_p2 98,0000
momentum_diff -50,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -25,6800
current_streak_diff -3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 3,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,0407
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,2857
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,4286
serve_consistency_p1 7,1937
serve_consistency_p2 2,9812
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -19,5074
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0855
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,3383
elite_surface_amplifier -17,5824
UTR
utr_diff 0,5800
utr_p1 0,8576
utr_p2 0,7894
utr_advantage 3,8667
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23654
API ID 15345284
Gamdom ID 589699
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 64
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23654,
    "api_id": 15345284,
    "gamdom_id": 589699,
    "player1": "Tomas Martin Etcheverry",
    "player2": "Arthur Fery",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 64",
    "date": "2026-01-21T01:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.62,
      "p2": 2.3
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.64,
      "p2": 2.38
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.61,
      "p2": 2.29
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5396,
    "prob_p2": 0.4604,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5396,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 62,
      "utr_singles": 15.29,
      "utr_ranking": 52,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 53.84615384615385,
      "wr_surface_wins": 14,
      "wr_surface_total": 26,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 186,
      "utr_singles": 14.71,
      "utr_ranking": 132,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 71.42857142857143,
      "wr_surface_wins": 20,
      "wr_surface_total": 28,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.29,
      "ranking": 52,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.71,
      "ranking": 132,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8576470588235293,
    "utr_p2": 0.7894117647058825,
    "utr_diff": 0.5799999999999983,
    "rank_ratio": 3.0327868852459017,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 48.00000000000001,
    "momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 579,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 1.1472527472527503,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666667,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": -49.99999999999998,
    "p1_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 53.84615384615385,
    "surface_wr_p2": 71.42857142857143,
    "utr_advantage": 3.866666666666655,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 158,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.1094819609050135,
    "rank_advantage": 124,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.2857142857142857,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.42857142857142855,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -17.582417582417584,
    "bp_converted_diff": -4.229120879120877,
    "p1_surface_matches": 26,
    "p2_surface_matches": 28,
    "serve_quality_diff": 5.830109890109895,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0406504065040652,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 3.1318681318681314,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9,
    "current_streak_diff": -3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 2.015384615384619,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.07692307692307693,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.193745823087282,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 2.981238760885305,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -19.50737513679145,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 53.333333333333336,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 68.75,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -4.804395604395609,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.9285714285714286,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -25.679999999999993,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -17.582417582417584,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.08553846153846156,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.3382857142857143,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -13.874999999999998,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}